MLB Player Props Guide: Yankees vs Phillies 7/29

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:44:08 PM
MLB Player Props Guide: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/29
Photo Credit: © Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports
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Game Summary
On Monday, the New York Yankees (62-45) will visit the Philadelphia Phillies (65-40) at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The game is scheduled to start at 6:40 p.m. EDT. This will be the first game of a three-game series between these two powerhouse teams. The Phillies come into this series leading the NL East, while the Yankees are currently second in the AL East.
The Phillies have been dominant at home with a 38-18 record and have an impressive overall record of 65-40. When the Phillies score five or more runs, they have a nearly unbeatable 46-6 record. On the other hand, the Yankees have been solid on the road with a 35-22 record and an overall record of 62-45. When the Yankees have more hits than their opponents, they boast a 49-9 record.
Top performers for the Phillies include Bryce Harper, who has 22 doubles, 24 home runs, and 67 RBIs. Trea Turner has also been hot recently, going 9-for-40 with three home runs and five RBIs over the last 10 games. For the Yankees, Aaron Judge has been stellar, hitting .314 with 37 home runs, 84 walks, and 96 RBIs. Juan Soto has also been a key contributor, going 15-for-42 with five doubles, a triple, four home runs, and eight RBIs over the last 10 games.
In their last 10 games, the Phillies have struggled a bit, going 3-7 with a .220 batting average and a 5.12 ERA, being outscored by 11 runs. The Yankees have fared slightly better, going 4-6 with a .277 batting average and a 4.94 ERA, being outscored by one run.
Injuries could play a role in this matchup. The Phillies are missing key pitchers like Ranger Suarez, Luis Ortiz, Spencer Turnbull, Taijuan Walker, and Dylan Covey due to various injuries. The Yankees are dealing with significant injuries as well, with Jose Trevino, Nick Burdi, Giancarlo Stanton, Anthony Rizzo, Clarke Schmidt, Cody Poteet, Ian Hamilton, Jon Berti, Jonathan Loaisiga, JT Brubaker, and Lou Trivino all on the injured list.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Kyle Schwarber in tonight's game:
- Batter Hits: 0.5, Over -170
- Batter Home Runs: 0.5, Over +260
- Batter RBIs: 0.5, Over +140
- Batter Runs Scored: 1.5, Over +360
- Batter Singles: 0.5, Over +145
- Batter Total Bases: 1.5, Over +125
Player Analysis
Kyle Schwarber has been a critical part of the Phillies' lineup this season. With his ability to hit for power, he poses a constant threat to any opposing pitcher. Schwarber has accumulated 22 doubles, 24 home runs, and 67 RBIs this season. His recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, but he remains a player who can change the game with one swing of the bat.
In his last 10 games, Schwarber has shown flashes of his power, though his overall batting average has dipped. He has managed to hit three home runs and drive in five RBIs over his last 40 at-bats. Despite the recent dip in form, Schwarber's ability to hit home runs makes him a valuable asset for prop bets, especially when facing a pitcher who might be prone to giving up long balls.
Opposing Analysis
Schwarber will be facing Yankees' starting pitcher Luis Gil, who comes into the game with a 10-5 record, a 3.10 ERA, and a 1.08 WHIP. Gil has been effective this season, striking out 124 batters over his innings pitched. However, he has shown some vulnerability to power hitters, giving up a few home runs in critical situations.
The Yankees' bullpen has been relatively solid, but they have had their moments of inconsistency, particularly in high-leverage situations. This could play into Schwarber's favor, as he might get an opportunity to face a less-than-stellar reliever later in the game if Gil exits early.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Gil | Yankees | 10-5 | 3.10 | 124 |
| Zack Wheeler | Phillies | 10-4 | 2.55 | 133 |
Team Previews
New York Yankees
The Yankees have been one of the best teams in the league this season. They are currently second in the AL East with a 62-45 record. Offensively, they rank fifth in hits (916), fifth in runs (512), and fourth in batting average (.256). Their pitching staff has been stellar, with a team ERA of 3.43, which ranks second in the league. They have also been solid defensively, committing 59 errors, which ties them for ninth in the league.
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies lead the NL East with a 65-40 record. Their offense has been potent, leading the league in runs scored (539). They rank tenth in hits (895) and eleventh in batting average (.250). Their pitching staff has also been effective, with a team ERA of 3.67, ranking fifth in the league. Defensively, the Phillies have committed 63 errors, ranking seventh in the league.
Team Injuries
New York Yankees
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | C | Quadriceps | 10-Day IL |
| Nick Burdi | RP | Hip | 60-Day IL |
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | Hamstring | 10-Day IL |
| Anthony Rizzo | 1B | Wrist | 60-Day IL |
| Clarke Schmidt | SP | Lat | 60-Day IL |
| Cody Poteet | SP | Triceps | 15-Day IL |
| Ian Hamilton | RP | Lat | 15-Day IL |
| Jon Berti | 3B | Calf | 60-Day IL |
| Jonathan Loaisiga | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| JT Brubaker | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Lou Trivino | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Philadelphia Phillies
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez | SP | Back | 15-Day IL |
| Luis Ortiz | RP | Ankle | 60-Day IL |
| Spencer Turnbull | SP | Back | 15-Day IL |
| Taijuan Walker | SP | Finger | 15-Day IL |
| Dylan Covey | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
New York Yankees
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Tampa Bay | W 6-1 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Tampa Bay | L 9-1 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Tampa Bay | L 6-4 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Tampa Bay | W 9-1 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs New York | L 3-2 | L |
Philadelphia Phillies
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Pittsburgh | L 8-7 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Pittsburgh | L 4-1 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Pittsburgh | W 6-0 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Minnesota | L 7-2 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Minnesota | W 3-0 | W |
Prediction
Considering Kyle Schwarber's power-hitting ability and the current form of Yankees' pitcher Luis Gil, the prop bet that stands out the most for Schwarber is the "Over 0.5 Home Runs" at +260 odds. Gil has shown some vulnerability to power hitters, and Schwarber's capability to hit long balls makes this bet an attractive option. With the Phillies playing at home and looking to make a strong start to the series, Schwarber could very well capitalize on this opportunity.
Pick: Over 0.5 Home Runs for Kyle Schwarber (+260)
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