MLB Player Props Guide: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27

MLB Player Props Guide: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27

Date: July 27, 2024

Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona

Photo Credit: © Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

As the Pittsburgh Pirates (52-51) take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (54-50) at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona, the Diamondbacks are looking to extend their 1-0 series lead. Both teams have shown decent form recently, with Arizona holding a 27-24 record at home and Pittsburgh posting a 26-25 record on the road. The Diamondbacks have an overall record of 54-50, while the Pirates stand at 52-51.

The Diamondbacks have been particularly strong when scoring five or more runs, achieving an impressive 41-10 record in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have the sixth-best team ERA in the National League at 3.78, which could make for an intriguing matchup against Arizona's offense.

Arizona's top performer, Corbin Carroll, has accumulated 16 doubles, seven triples, six home runs, and 35 RBIs. Ketel Marte has been in excellent form, going 14-for-35 with a double and four home runs over his last 10 games. Pittsburgh's Oneil Cruz has been a key player with 21 doubles, a triple, and 15 home runs, while Bryan Reynolds has also been productive, going 14-for-38 with a double, a home run, and five RBIs over the last 10 games.

Both teams have been competitive in their last 10 games, with the Diamondbacks and Pirates each going 7-3. Arizona has posted a .254 batting average and a 3.64 ERA, outscoring opponents by 17 runs. Pittsburgh has a .258 batting average and a 2.53 ERA, outscoring opponents by 14 runs.

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Player Prop Odds

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Jack Suwinski Player Props:

• Batter Doubles 0.5: Over +400, Under -650
• Batter Hits 0.5: Over -170
• Batter RBIs 0.5: Over +220, Under -300
• Batter Runs Scored 0.5: Over +180, Under -250
• Batter Singles 0.5: Over +140, Under -185
• Batter Total Bases 0.5: Over -150, Under +115

Player Analysis

Jack Suwinski has been a consistent performer for the Pirates this season. With a batting average of .245, 15 home runs, and 51 RBIs, Suwinski has shown his ability to contribute significantly to the team's offense. His performance against right-handed pitchers has been particularly noteworthy, with a .265 batting average and a higher slugging percentage. Given his current form and the favorable matchup against Brandon Pfaadt, Suwinski has a good chance of exceeding his prop expectations.

Opposing Analysis

Brandon Pfaadt (4-6, 3.74 ERA) has been a solid pitcher for the Diamondbacks this season. However, he has struggled at times against left-handed hitters, allowing a higher batting average and slugging percentage compared to right-handed hitters. This could play to Suwinski's advantage, as he is a left-handed batter with the ability to exploit Pfaadt's weaknesses.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Marco Gonzales (PIT)	1-1	2.70	19
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI)	4-6	3.74	111

Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have been strong offensively with 888 hits and 513 runs, ranking 8th and 3rd in the league, respectively. They have a team batting average of .253, placing them 8th overall. Their pitching staff has also been solid, boasting a team ERA of 3.78, ranking 6th in the NL. However, they have struggled with fielding, committing 42 errors, which is the 30th worst in the league.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks have struggled offensively compared to the Pirates, ranking 26th in hits (807) and 23rd in runs (425). Their team batting average of .232 is also relatively low, ranking 25th overall. However, their pitching has been a strength, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking 11th in the league. Their defense has been average, committing 50 errors, which places them in the middle of the pack.

Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Bailey Falter	RP	Arm	15-Day IL
Daulton Jefferies	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Jared Jones	RP	Lat	15-Day IL
Ryan Borucki	RP	Tricep	60-Day IL
Dauri Moreta	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Endy Rodriguez	C	Elbow	60-Day IL
Johan Oviedo	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Blake Walston	RP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Merrill Kelly	SP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Kyle Nelson	RP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Drey Jameson	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Recent Games

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Pittsburgh Pirates

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Philadelphia	W 8-7	W
vs Philadelphia	W 4-1	W
vs Philadelphia	L 6-0	L
vs St. Louis	W 2-1	W
vs St. Louis	L 2-1	L

Arizona Diamondbacks

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Chicago	W 5-2	W
@ Chicago	W 3-0	W
@ Chicago	L 2-1	L
@ Kansas City	L 10-4	L
@ Kansas City	W 6-2	W

Prediction

Given Jack Suwinski's recent form and his favorable matchup against Brandon Pfaadt, the prop bet for Suwinski to record over 0.5 hits at -170 odds looks promising. Suwinski has been consistent against right-handed pitching, and Pfaadt's struggles against left-handed hitters provide a good opportunity for Suwinski to get on base.

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