MLB Player Props Guide: Dodgers vs Astros 7/27
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 27, 2024, 12:17:16 PM
MLB Player Props Guide: Dodgers vs Astros 7/27
Photo Credit: © Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers, currently holding a 62-43 record and sitting atop the NL West, will face off against the Houston Astros, who are 54-49 and lead the AL West. The game is scheduled for Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT at Minute Maid Park in Houston.
Both teams are coming off mixed performances in their recent games. The Dodgers have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, posting a .258 batting average and an ERA of 4.40. They have been outscored by their opponents by a narrow margin. On the other hand, the Astros have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, hitting .249 with an ERA of 2.97, outscoring their opponents by five runs.
Historically, these two teams have had some intense matchups, adding extra intrigue to this game. The Dodgers will be looking to snap a three-game road losing streak, while the Astros aim to capitalize on their home-field advantage, where they hold a 29-21 record.
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Player Prop Odds
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- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+320)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+240)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+440)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+160)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-130)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+110)
Player Analysis
Will Smith has been a consistent performer for the Dodgers this season. Smith is hitting .265 with 14 home runs, 47 RBIs, and a .368 on-base percentage. In his last 10 games, he has shown an uptick in performance, which includes multiple multi-hit games. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player to watch in this matchup.
Opposing Analysis
Opposing Smith will be Ronel Blanco, who has been stellar for the Astros this season. Blanco sports a 2.75 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 114.2 innings pitched, with 105 strikeouts. Blanco's ability to limit hits and his high strikeout rate will be a challenge for Smith, but Smith’s track record against high-caliber pitchers provides optimism.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wrobleski (LAD) | 0-1 | 4.40 | 13 |
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 9-5 | 2.75 | 105 |
Team Previews
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been strong offensively, ranking second in hits (927) and batting average (.262), and tied for 10th in runs scored (483). Their relief pitching has been solid, with 25 saves (tied for 17th) and a team ERA of 3.98 (15th). Defensively, they have committed 43 errors, ranking 29th in MLB.
Houston Astros
The Astros also boast a potent offense, ranking fourth in hits (908) and second in runs scored (516). Their pitching staff has been effective, with a team ERA of 3.77 (10th) and 33 saves (tied for 4th). However, they have committed 51 errors, placing them 19th in MLB.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | OF | 10-Day IL (groin) |
| Miguel Rojas | SS | 10-Day IL (forearm) |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | SP | 60-Day IL (tricep) |
| Dustin May | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow/esophagus) |
| Max Muncy | 3B | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
| Walker Buehler | SP | 15-Day IL (hip) |
| Michael Grove | RP | 15-Day IL (lat) |
| Mookie Betts | OF | 10-Day IL (hand) |
| Ryan Brasier | RP | 60-Day IL (calf) |
| Connor Brogdon | RP | 60-Day IL (foot) |
| Brusdar Graterol | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Emmet Sheehan | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Tony Gonsolin | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Justin Verlander | SP | 15-Day IL (neck) |
| Cristian Javier | SP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Kyle Tucker | OF | 10-Day IL (shin) |
| Jose Urquidy | SP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Oliver Ortega | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Bennett Sousa | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Penn Murfee | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Luis Garcia | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Kendall Graveman | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
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Los Angeles Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | 4-1 | W |
| vs Boston | 7-6 | W |
| vs Boston | 9-6 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 3-2 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 5-2 | W |
Houston Astros
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Seattle | 3-0 | W |
| @ Seattle | 4-2 | W |
| @ Seattle | 6-4 | L |
| @ Oakland | 4-0 | L |
| @ Oakland | 8-2 | L |
Prediction
Based on Will Smith’s recent performance and his ability to get on base, we predict that he will exceed 1.5 total bases in this game. The odds for this prop are +110, providing good value for bettors.
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
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