MLB Player Props Guide: Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/28

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:01:55 AM
MLB Player Props Guide: Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/28
Photo Credit: © Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cleveland Guardians will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies on July 28th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Both teams have been performing exceptionally well this season, with the Guardians holding a record of 64-39 and the Phillies close behind at 62-42. This matchup promises to be a thrilling encounter between two top-tier teams, each looking to solidify their positions in their respective divisions.
The Guardians have been consistent both at home and away, with a road record of 27-22. Their batting lineup, led by Jose Ramirez, who has a stellar .340 batting average and 82 RBIs, has proven to be formidable. On the pitching side, the Guardians boast the second-best ERA in the league at 3.46.
On the other hand, the Phillies have been strong at home with a record of 33-15. The team is led by Bryce Harper, who has 24 home runs and 71 RBIs, and Alec Bohm, who boasts a .297 batting average. The Phillies' pitching staff, with an ERA of 3.63, ranks fourth in the league.
This game is crucial for both teams as they aim to maintain their momentum going into the latter part of the season. The weather is expected to be mostly sunny with temperatures around 85 degrees, perfect for baseball.
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Player Prop Odds
J.T. Realmuto Player Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+320), Under 0.5 (-500)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+360), Under 0.5 (-600)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+135), Under 0.5 (-185)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-110), Under 0.5 (-125)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100), Under 0.5 (-135)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+105), Under 1.5 (-140)
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Player Analysis
J.T. Realmuto, the star catcher for the Philadelphia Phillies, has been a consistent performer this season. With a batting average of .267, 12 home runs, and 47 RBIs, Realmuto has been a crucial part of the Phillies' lineup. His ability to hit in clutch situations and provide stability behind the plate makes him a valuable asset for the team.
Realmuto's versatility is evident in his stats, as he has recorded multiple doubles and home runs throughout the season. His ability to get on base and score runs has been instrumental in the Phillies' success. With an OBP of .345 and a slugging percentage of .492, Realmuto's offensive contributions cannot be overlooked.
Opposing Analysis
Kolby Allard, the probable starting pitcher for the Cleveland Guardians, will be looking to contain the Phillies' hitters. Allard has shown promise this season with a mix of fastballs and breaking pitches. However, the Phillies have a strong lineup with multiple power hitters, making this a challenging matchup for Allard.
The Guardians' bullpen has been solid, ranking 10th in saves, and will play a crucial role in maintaining the lead if the game is close. However, the Phillies' hitters, including Realmuto, have the capability to exploit any weaknesses in the pitching staff.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kolby Allard (CLE) | -- | -- | -- |
| Joey Cantillo (PHI) | -- | -- | -- |
Team Previews
Cleveland Guardians
The Cleveland Guardians have been one of the top teams this season, boasting impressive statistics across the board. Their hitting lineup includes stars like Steven Kwan and Jose Ramirez, who have been consistent performers. The Guardians rank 5th in hits and 6th in runs, with a team batting average of .256 (4th in the league).
Their relief pitching has been equally impressive, with the team ranking 2nd in ERA at 3.46. The Guardians' fielding has also been solid, with only 59 errors (9th in the league).
Philadelphia Phillies
The Philadelphia Phillies have a well-rounded team with strengths in both hitting and pitching. Led by Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm, the Phillies rank 13th in runs and 16th in batting average. Their pitching staff, with an ERA of 3.63, ranks 4th in the league, and their bullpen has been reliable with 37 saves (tied for 1st).
The Phillies' fielding has been decent, with 55 errors (14th in the league), and they have shown resilience in close games.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| James Karinchak | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 10 |
| Ranger Suarez | SP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
| Alec Bohm | 3B | Ankle | Probable for Jul 28 |
Recent Games
Cleveland Guardians
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Diego | W 7-0 | W |
| vs San Diego | L 7-0 | L |
| vs San Diego | L 2-1 | L |
| vs Detroit | L 8-2 | L |
| vs Detroit | W 5-4 | W |
Philadelphia Phillies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Pittsburgh | L 8-7 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | L 4-1 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | W 6-0 | W |
| @ Minnesota | L 7-2 | L |
| @ Minnesota | W 3-0 | W |
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Prediction
Given the current form of both teams and the individual performances, this game is expected to be a tightly contested matchup. However, with J.T. Realmuto's consistent ability to contribute both offensively and defensively, the player prop bet for him to score over 0.5 runs at odds of -110 seems promising. The Phillies' strong home record and Realmuto's recent form make this a solid pick.
Pick: Over 0.5 runs scored by J.T. Realmuto
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