MLB Player Props Guide: Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers 7/29

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:39:52 PM
MLB Player Props Guide: Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers 7/29
Photo Credit: © Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
On Monday, July 29th, 2024, the Cleveland Guardians (63-42) will face off against the Detroit Tigers (52-55) at Comerica Park in Detroit. The game is set to begin at 6:40 PM EDT. The Guardians, who are first in the AL Central, will be looking to extend their lead, while the Tigers, currently fourth in the same division, aim to inch closer to a .500 record. This matchup is the 12th meeting between these two teams this season, with the Tigers holding a slight advantage, having won 6 of the previous 11 games.
The Guardians have had a solid season thus far, boasting a respectable 30-27 away record. Leading the way for Cleveland is Steven Kwan, who is hitting .342 with 14 doubles, 2 triples, and 11 home runs. José Ramírez, another key player, has been consistent over the past 10 games, going 10-for-37 with a home run and 5 RBIs.
On the other side, the Tigers have shown resilience at home with a 25-26 record. Matt Vierling has been a standout performer for Detroit, recording 18 doubles, 5 triples, and 13 home runs. Riley Greene has also been in fine form, hitting 4 doubles in his last 10 games. Despite their struggles, Detroit has proven to be a team that can hit home runs, and they will look to capitalize on that strength in this series opener.
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Player Prop Odds
Josh Naylor Prop Odds:
- Doubles (0.5): Over (+370), Under (-650)
- RBIs (0.5): Over (+155), Under (-210)
- Runs Scored (0.5): Over (+125), Under (-165)
- Singles (0.5): Over (-130), Under (-105)
Player Analysis
Josh Naylor has been a significant contributor to the Cleveland Guardians' offense this season. He currently holds a .238 batting average with 22 home runs and 72 RBIs. Naylor's ability to drive in runs has made him a key player in the Guardians' lineup. Over the past 10 games, though his average has dipped, he remains a threat with his power and run-producing capabilities. With an over/under of 0.5 RBIs at +155, bettors might find value in betting on Naylor to drive in at least one run in this matchup, especially considering his recent form.
Opposing Analysis
The Detroit Tigers will be sending Jack Flaherty to the mound. Flaherty has been impressive this season, posting a 7-5 record with a 2.95 ERA and 133 strikeouts. Flaherty has been particularly effective at limiting runs, which could make it challenging for Naylor to accumulate RBIs. However, the Guardians' offense has shown the ability to get to quality pitchers, and Naylor's propensity for timely hits could still come into play.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 8-4 | 3.50 | 130 |
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 7-5 | 2.95 | 133 |
Team Previews
Cleveland Guardians
The Guardians' offense has been steady, ranking 7th in the AL with a .240 team batting average. Steven Kwan and José Ramírez have been the standout performers. The relief pitching has been solid, with the team posting a 3.92 ERA, ranking 14th in the league. Defensively, the Guardians have committed 60 errors, placing them 8th in the league.
Detroit Tigers
Detroit has had a mixed season but has shown flashes of power, particularly in games where they hit multiple home runs. The Tigers rank 16th in the league with a .240 team batting average. The pitching staff, led by Jack Flaherty, has been a bright spot with a 3.67 ERA, ranking 4th in the league. The bullpen has been reliable, leading the league with 38 saves. Defensively, the Tigers have committed 56 errors, ranking 15th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Hentges | RP | 15-Day IL (undisclosed) |
| Matthew Boyd | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Shane Bieber | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Trevor Stephan | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| James Karinchak | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
Recent Games
Cleveland Guardians
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Philadelphia | W3-1 | W |
| @ Philadelphia | L8-0 | L |
| @ Philadelphia | W4-3 | W |
| vs Detroit | L3-0 | L |
| vs Detroit | W2-1 | W |
Detroit Tigers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Minnesota | W7-2 | W |
| vs Minnesota | L9-3 | L |
| vs Minnesota | L5-0 | L |
| vs Cleveland | W8-2 | W |
| vs Cleveland | L5-4 | L |
Prediction
Given the odds and recent form, a strong player prop bet would be Josh Naylor to get Over 0.5 RBIs at +155. The Guardians' offense has the potential to get to Jack Flaherty early, and Naylor's ability to drive in runs makes this a value bet.
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