MLB Player Props Guide: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28

MLB Player Props Guide: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28

Photo Credit: © Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds (50-54, fourth in the NL Central) will be facing off against the Tampa Bay Rays (53-52, fourth in the AL East) in the third and final game of their series on Sunday at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. The game is set to begin at 11:35 a.m. EDT.

Both teams are aiming to clinch the series with a win in this matchup. The Rays come into the game with a 53-52 overall record and a 28-28 record at home. They have shown a strong ability to win when their offense clicks, boasting a 32-6 record in games where they score at least five runs. On the other side, the Reds have a 50-54 overall record and are 25-26 on the road. The Reds' offense has been decent, ranking 10th in the NL with a collective .392 slugging percentage.

The top performers for the Rays include Isaac Paredes, who has 16 home runs, 51 walks, and 55 RBIs while hitting .247. Amed Rosario has been hot recently, going 13-for-31 with four doubles and an RBI over the past 10 games. For the Reds, Spencer Steer stands out with 24 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs, and 64 RBIs while hitting .239. Elly De La Cruz is also in fine form, going 13-for-40 with three doubles, a triple, and three home runs over the last 10 games.

Both teams have had mixed results in their last 10 games, with the Rays going 6-4 and the Reds 5-5. The Rays have outscored their opponents by 14 runs over this stretch, while the Reds have outscored their opponents by four runs.

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Player Prop Odds

Hunter Greene to record a win: No: -180 Yes: +130

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Player Analysis

Hunter Greene has had a strong season for the Reds, with a 7-4 record, a 3.14 ERA, and a 1.09 WHIP over 117.1 innings pitched. He has shown impressive strikeout ability, tallying 133 strikeouts against 48 walks and allowing only 10 home runs. Greene's ability to limit hits (80 hits allowed) and maintain a low WHIP reflects his control and effectiveness on the mound.

Opposing Analysis

The Tampa Bay Rays' offense has been inconsistent but capable of putting up runs in bunches. They have a .230 team batting average, ranking 28th in MLB, but have shown power potential with 459 runs scored, ranking 15th. Key hitters like Isaac Paredes and Amed Rosario have been productive, and the team has a knack for scoring big when it counts.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Hunter Greene (CIN)	7-4	3.14	133
Shawn Armstrong (TB)	2-2	5.64	49

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Team Previews

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have had a decent season, with a balanced mix of hitting and pitching. Their batting average stands at .234 (23rd in MLB), with 813 hits and 415 runs scored (27th in MLB). The team’s pitching has been solid, with a team ERA of 4.15, ranking 20th in MLB. Their defense has committed 54 errors, ranking 16th. Overall, the Reds have shown resilience, especially in close games.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays have underperformed relative to expectations, with a .230 team batting average (28th in MLB) and 775 hits (also 28th). They have scored 459 runs, ranking 15th. Their pitching has been a strength, with a team ERA of 3.83 (12th in MLB). Defensively, they have committed 65 errors, ranking 4th in MLB. The Rays have been inconsistent but have the potential to turn things around quickly.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Brent Suter	RP	Teres Major	15-Day IL
Carson Spiers	SP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Nick Martini	OF	Thumb	60-Day IL
Ryan Pepiot	SP	Knee	15-Day IL
Richard Lovelady	RP	Forearm	15-Day IL

Recent Games

Cincinnati Reds

Date	Opponent	Score	Result
Fri, Jul 19	@ Washington	L 8-5	Loss
Sat, Jul 20	@ Washington	L 5-4	Loss
Sun, Jul 21	@ Washington	L 5-2	Loss
Mon, Jul 22	@ Atlanta	W 4-1	Win
Wed, Jul 24	@ Atlanta	W 9-4	Win

Tampa Bay Rays

Date	Opponent	Score	Result
Fri, Jul 19	@ New York	L 6-1	Loss
Sat, Jul 20	@ New York	W 9-1	Win
Sun, Jul 21	@ New York	W 6-4	Win
Mon, Jul 22	@ New York	L 9-1	Loss
Tue, Jul 23	@ Toronto	W 4-2	Win

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Prediction

Given Hunter Greene's impressive strikeout numbers and the Rays' inconsistent offense, there's a good chance that Greene can limit Tampa Bay's scoring opportunities. However, considering the Reds' own offensive struggles and the unpredictability of baseball, the safe bet might be to go with the prop bet on Hunter Greene not recording a win.

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