MLB Player Props Guide: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays - 7/26
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 26, 2024, 8:12:36 AM
MLB Player Props Guide: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays
Photo Credit: © Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds will face off against the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday, July 26, 2024, at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Both teams are looking to improve their standings, with the Reds currently sitting at 49-53 and fourth in the NL Central, while the Rays hold a 52-51 record and are fourth in the AL East.
The Rays are coming off a stellar performance by Brandon Lowe, who had a four-hit game on Thursday. Tampa Bay has been solid at home with a 27-27 record and overall, they are 52-51. They have a strong record of 32-6 when they score five or more runs, indicating their offensive potential when they get going.
On the other hand, the Reds have a 24-25 record on the road and are 49-53 overall. Similar to the Rays, the Reds perform well when they score five or more runs, boasting a 35-8 record in such games. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season, adding an element of unpredictability to the matchup.
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Player Prop Odds
For Brandon Lowe, here are the player prop odds:
- Batter Doubles Over 0.5: +460
- Batter Hits Over 0.5: -165
- Batter Home Runs Over 0.5: +480
- Batter RBIs Over 0.5: +165
- Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5: +110
- Batter Singles Over 0.5: +125
- Batter Total Bases Over 1.5: +155
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Player Analysis
Brandon Lowe has been a key player for the Tampa Bay Rays this season. He boasts a .250 batting average with 19 doubles, a triple, and 16 home runs. Over the last 10 games, Lowe has been on fire, going 12-for-37 with two doubles and four home runs. This recent hot streak makes him a compelling candidate for player prop bets.
Opposing Analysis
Nick Lodolo will be the starting pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds. Lodolo has a solid 8-3 record with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 84.2 innings pitched. He has struck out 89 batters while allowing 70 hits and 25 walks. Given Lodolo's consistent performance, Lowe will face a formidable challenge, but his recent form suggests he could still perform well.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 8-3 | 3.51 | 1.12 | 84.2 | 70 | 89 | 25 | 10 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 0-1 | 3.95 | 1.76 | 13.2 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 2 |
Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds have been decent offensively, ranking 22nd in hits (806) and tied-25th in runs (413). Their batting average is .235, also 22nd in the league. On the pitching side, they have a team ERA of 4.17, ranking 21st. The Reds have committed 52 errors, tied for 17th in the league.
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays have struggled offensively, ranking 28th in hits (772) and 14th in runs (456). Their team batting average is .231, placing them 28th. However, their pitching has been more reliable with a team ERA of 3.86, ranking 13th. They have committed 65 errors, ranking 4th in the league.
Team Injuries
Cincinnati Reds Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Williamson | SP | Shoulder (Expected to be out until at least Sep 1) |
| Luke Maile | C | Back (Expected to be out until at least Jul 26) |
Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Richard Lovelady | RP | Forearm (Expected to be out until at least Jul 26) |
| Wander Franco | SS | Personal (Out for the season) |
Recent Games
Cincinnati Reds
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Washington | L 8-5 | 47-51 |
| @ Washington | L 5-4 | 47-52 |
| @ Washington | L 5-2 | 47-53 |
| @ Atlanta | W 4-1 | 48-53 |
| @ Atlanta | W 9-4 | 49-53 |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | L 6-1 | 48-49 |
| @ New York | W 9-1 | 49-49 |
| @ New York | W 6-4 | 50-49 |
| @ New York | L 9-1 | 50-50 |
| @ Toronto | W 4-2 | 51-50 |
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Prediction
Pick: Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits (-165)
Given Brandon Lowe's recent form, hitting 12-for-37 with four home runs in the last 10 games, and considering Nick Lodolo's solid but not overpowering performance on the mound, Lowe is a strong candidate to get at least one hit in this game. The odds of -165 for Over 0.5 Hits suggest this is a likely outcome.
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