MLB Player Props Game Picks: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/29

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 29, 2024, 5:37:14 AM
MLB Player Props Game Picks: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles
Photo Credit: © John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Toronto Blue Jays will take on the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 3:05 PM EDT. The Blue Jays, currently sitting at a 49-56 record and fifth in the AL East, are looking to extend their three-game win streak. The Orioles, leading the AL East with a 62-43 record, aim to maintain their dominance, especially at home where they hold a 31-24 record.
Recent performances show a mixed bag for both teams. The Blue Jays have been on a decent run, going 6-4 in their last ten games, though their pitching has struggled with a 5.40 ERA in that span. The Orioles are 5-5 in their last ten, with a 4.70 ERA and a .246 batting average. The season series between these teams is evenly split at 3-3, setting the stage for a thrilling contest.
Anthony Santander has been a standout performer for the Orioles, boasting 29 home runs and 68 RBIs with a .240 batting average. Colton Cowser has also been making waves, hitting .333 (12-for-36) with two home runs in the last ten games. For the Blue Jays, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a consistent force, hitting .301 with 22 doubles and 19 home runs. George Springer has also been in fine form, with three home runs in his last ten games.
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Player Prop Odds
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For Vladimir Guerrero Jr., the player prop odds are as follows:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+275), Under 0.5 (-429)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+146), Under 1.5 (-204)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+143), Under 0.5 (-199)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+110), Under 0.5 (-151)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-179), Under 0.5 (+129)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-111), Under 1.5 (-123)
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Player Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a standout performer for the Blue Jays this season. With a batting average of .301, 19 home runs, and 64 RBIs, Guerrero Jr. has proven to be a consistent offensive threat. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player for Toronto. In his last ten games, he’s shown a decent form, hitting multiple doubles and maintaining a high on-base percentage. Given his current form, betting on him to exceed his prop lines, especially in total bases and RBIs, seems like a favorable option.
Opposing Analysis
Zach Eflin will be taking the mound for the Orioles. Eflin has had a mixed season with a 5-7 record, 4.09 ERA, and 87 strikeouts over 110 innings pitched. While his WHIP of 1.16 indicates decent control, he has been prone to giving up hits, as evidenced by the 115 hits allowed this season. Guerrero Jr. has a favorable matchup against Eflin, particularly given Eflin's tendency to allow hits and Guerrero's ability to capitalize on such opportunities.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Rodriguez | 1-3 | 3.69 | 1.26 | 39.0 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 3 |
| Z. Eflin | 5-7 | 4.09 | 1.16 | 110.0 | 115 | 87 | 13 | 14 |
Team Previews
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have had a challenging season. Offensively, they rank ninth in the league with a .252 batting average and fourth in runs scored with 522. Their pitching staff has struggled at times, posting a 5.40 ERA over the last ten games, but their season ERA of 3.79 ranks eighth in the league. Defensively, they’ve committed 51 errors this season.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have been impressive, particularly at home. Their .315 on-base percentage ranks fifth in the AL. While their batting average is lower at .238, they have managed to score 430 runs this season. Their pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 4.09. However, they have had their share of defensive struggles, committing 58 errors.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kiermaier | CF | Sun, Jul 28 | Hip | Probable for Jul 29 |
| J. Means | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Elbow | Out for the season |
Recent Games
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Toronto Blue Jays
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Detroit | L5-4 | 44-53 | Flaherty 7-5 | Bassitt 8-8 | Holton 3 | 39697 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Detroit | L7-3 | 44-54 | Faedo 5-1 | Kikuchi 4-9 | NaN | 38583 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Detroit | W5-4 | 45-54 | Gausman 8-8 | Montero 1-3 | Green 7 | 38766 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Tampa Bay | L4-2 | 45-55 | Alexander 3-3 | Berrios 8-8 | Fairbanks 19 | 38575 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Tampa Bay | W6-3 | 46-55 | Cabrera 3-2 | Adam 4-2 | NaN | 32276 |
| Thu, Jul 25 | vs Tampa Bay | L13-0 | 46-56 | Bradley 6-4 | Bassitt 8-9 | NaN | 41148 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | vs Texas | W6-5 | 47-56 | Green 3-2 | Sborz 2-1 | NaN | 35065 |
| Sat, Jul 27 | vs Texas | W7-3 | 48-56 | Gausman 9-8 | Lorenzen 5-6 | NaN | 35917 |
| Sun, Jul 28 | vs Texas | W7-3 | 49-56 | Berrios 9-8 | Hernandez 3-1 | Pop 1 | 40052 |
Baltimore Orioles
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Texas | W9-1 | 59-38 | Burnes 10-4 | Eovaldi 6-4 | NaN | 36336 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Texas | W8-4 | 60-38 | Rodriguez 12-4 | Scherzer 1-3 | NaN | 38410 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Texas | L3-2 | 60-39 | Heaney 4-10 | Kremer 4-6 | Yates 17 | 31808 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Miami | L6-3 | 60-40 | Puk 4-8 | Suarez 5-4 | Scott 17 | 10410 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Miami | L6-3 | 60-41 | Nardi 2-1 | Webb 1-5 | Scott 18 | 12127 |
| Thu, Jul 25 | @ Miami | W7-6 F/10 | 61-41 | Cano 4-2 | Faucher 2-2 | Perez 2 | 17989 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | vs San Diego | L6-4 | 61-42 | Suarez 5-1 | Kimbrel 6-3 | NaN | 43692 |
| Sat, Jul 27 | vs San Diego | L9-4 | 61-43 | King 9-6 | Kremer 4-7 | NaN | 30008 |
| Sun, Jul 28 | vs San Diego | W8-6 | 62-43 | Perez 2-0 | Vasquez 3-6 | Cano 4 | 38411 |
Prediction
Given Vladimir


