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MLB Player Props Game Picks: Phillies vs Pirates - 7/21

MLB Player Props Game Picks: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Photo Credit: © Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
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Game Summary
The Pittsburgh Pirates will host the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday, July 21st, at PNC Park, aiming to extend their three-game home winning streak. The Pirates, currently third in the NL Central with a 50-48 record, have been strong at home with a 24-24 record. They have a total of 101 home runs, ranking ninth in the NL. On the other hand, the Phillies are leading the NL East with a 62-36 record and have been decent on the road with a 25-20 record. Phillies hitters boast a .331 on-base percentage, the third-highest in the NL.
This game marks the seventh meeting between these teams this season, with the Pirates leading the series 4-2. Key players to watch include Andrew McCutchen, who has 11 doubles, a triple, and 13 home runs for the Pirates, and Bryce Harper, who leads the Phillies with a .299 batting average, 21 doubles, and 22 home runs. Over the last 10 games, the Pirates have an impressive 8-2 record, a .260 batting average, and a 3.13 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 23 runs. The Phillies, however, have struggled with a 4-6 record, a .246 batting average, and a 5.96 ERA, being outscored by 13 runs.
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Odds and Betting Lines
- Moneyline: Philadelphia Phillies -143, Pittsburgh Pirates +120
- Over/Under: 9 runs
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Phillips (PHI) | 1-0 | 4.50 | 0.90 | 12 |
| Marco Gonzales (PIT) | 1-0 | 2.45 | 1.23 | 15 |
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Team Previews
Philadelphia Phillies
Hitting: Bryce Harper leads the team with a .299 batting average, complemented by 21 doubles and 22 home runs. The Phillies' collective on-base percentage stands at an impressive .331, ranking third in the NL.
Relief Pitching: The Phillies' bullpen has been solid, with the team recording a 3.86 ERA, ranking 12th in the league. However, they have faced challenges recently, evident in their 5.96 ERA over the last 10 games.
Fielding: Philadelphia has committed 48 errors this season, placing them tied for 20th in the league. Their fielding will need to be sharp to secure a victory against the Pirates.
Starting Pitchers: Tyler Phillips, with a 4.50 ERA and 12 strikeouts, will need to deliver a strong performance to counter the Pirates' offense.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting: Andrew McCutchen has been a key player, with 11 doubles, a triple, and 13 home runs. The Pirates have a collective batting average of .258, ranking third in the NL, and have hit 101 home runs this season.
Relief Pitching: The Pirates' bullpen has been exceptional, boasting a 3.47 ERA, ranking third in the league. Their recent performance has been stellar, with a 3.13 ERA over the last 10 games.
Fielding: Pittsburgh has committed 57 errors, placing them tied for 10th in the league. Their solid fielding will be crucial in maintaining their winning streak.
Starting Pitchers: Marco Gonzales has been impressive with a 2.45 ERA and 15 strikeouts. His performance will be key in containing the Phillies' potent offense.
Team Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | SP | Back | Day-to-day |
| Luis Ortiz | RP | Ankle | 60-Day IL |
| Michael Rucker | RP | Hand | 60-Day IL |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Wrist | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Philadelphia Phillies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Pittsburgh | L 8-7 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | L 4-1 | L |
| @ Minnesota | Upcoming | Upcoming |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | W 8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W 4-1 | W |
| vs St. Louis | Upcoming | Upcoming |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Philadelphia Phillies | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | .233 AVG, .331 OBP | .258 AVG |
| Starting Pitching | 3.86 ERA | 3.47 ERA |
| Relief Pitching | 3.86 ERA | 3.47 ERA |
| Fielding | 48 Errors | 57 Errors |
Prediction
Pick: Bryan Reynolds to hit over 0.5 home runs (+450)
Bryan Reynolds has been a standout performer for the Pirates, showcasing his power with 18 home runs this season. Given his recent form and the Phillies' struggling bullpen, the odds of Reynolds hitting a home run are favorable. With an impressive +450 odds, betting on Reynolds to hit over 0.5 home runs offers great value for this matchup.
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