MLB Player Props Game Picks: Orioles vs Marlins 7/25

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 25, 2024, 8:50:26 AM
MLB Player Props Game Picks: Orioles vs Marlins 7/25
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Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles (60-41, first in the AL East) face off against the Miami Marlins (37-65, fifth in the NL East) on Thursday, July 25, 2024, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. The game is scheduled to start at 12:10 p.m. EDT. The Orioles are looking to snap a three-game road losing streak, while the Marlins aim to extend their recent success at home.
Miami has a 37-65 overall record and a 22-33 record at home. The Marlins have won 27 out of the 39 games where they have outhit their opponents. On the other hand, the Orioles have a 60-41 overall record and are 30-19 on the road. Baltimore boasts the seventh-best team batting average in MLB at .252.
In their last 10 games, the Marlins have a 5-5 record with a .287 batting average and a 4.14 ERA, although they have been outscored by two runs. The Orioles, meanwhile, are 3-7 in their last 10 games with a .228 batting average and a 4.86 ERA, being outscored by 14 runs.
The top performers for the Marlins include Jazz Chisholm Jr., who has 14 doubles, four triples, and 13 home runs, and Xavier Edwards, who is 14-for-33 with a double over the last 10 games. For the Orioles, Gunnar Henderson leads the team with a .285 batting average, 19 doubles, five triples, 28 home runs, and 63 RBIs. Anthony Santander has also been in fine form, going 13-for-40 with four home runs and nine RBIs over the past 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
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For Jazz Chisholm Jr.:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+420)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-170)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+250)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+125)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+105)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+265)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+155)
Player Analysis
Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been a standout performer for the Marlins this season. With a batting average of .251, he has accumulated 14 doubles, four triples, and 13 home runs. His ability to impact the game both with power and speed makes him a crucial player for the Marlins. Chisholm has also been effective in driving in runs, with 49 RBIs so far. Over the last 10 games, he continues to be a reliable hitter, contributing significantly to the Marlins' offensive efforts.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is known for his aggressive base running, which is reflected in his stolen bases. His speed and agility allow him to take extra bases and score runs, adding another dimension to his offensive game. With odds of +265 for over 0.5 stolen bases, this prop bet presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity for bettors.
Opposing Analysis
The Orioles' pitching staff has been inconsistent this season. Corbin Burnes, who is likely to start for the Orioles, has a record of 10-4 with an impressive 2.38 ERA and 116 strikeouts over 124.2 innings pitched. Burnes has been the ace of the Orioles' rotation and will pose a significant challenge for Chisholm and the Marlins' lineup.
However, the Orioles' bullpen has been less reliable, with a team ERA of 4.86 over the last 10 games. This gives Chisholm and the Marlins an opportunity to capitalize in the later innings. The Orioles' defense has also been shaky, committing 71 errors this season, which is the second-highest in MLB.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 10-4 | 2.38 | 1.04 | 124.2 | 101 | 116 | 29 | 14 |
| Roddery Munoz (MIA) | 1-5 | 5.14 | 1.39 | 56.0 | 49 | 47 | 29 | 15 |
Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have had a strong season so far, led by their pitching staff and consistent offensive production. The team has a batting average of .252, ranking seventh in MLB. Gunnar Henderson has been their standout performer, leading the team in batting average, home runs, and RBIs. Anthony Santander has also been in good form, providing crucial hits and driving in runs.
However, the Orioles' bullpen has struggled recently, with a team ERA of 4.86 over the last 10 games. The team's defense has also been a concern, committing 71 errors, which is the second-highest in MLB. This could be an opportunity for the Marlins to capitalize and score runs.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have had a tough season, but they have shown signs of improvement recently. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been their standout performer, contributing both offensively and defensively. The team has a batting average of .251, and they have been able to score runs consistently when they manage to outhit their opponents.
The Marlins' pitching staff has been inconsistent, with Roddery Munoz struggling with a 5.14 ERA. However, their bullpen has shown resilience, and the team has managed to win games where they have outhit their opponents. The Marlins' defense has also been solid, committing fewer errors compared to the Orioles.
Team Injuries
Baltimore Orioles
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | 2B | Wed, Jul 24 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 13 |
| Albert Suarez | RP | Wed, Jul 24 | Shin | Day-to-day |
Miami Marlins
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers | SP | Tue, Jul 23 | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 23 |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Tue, Jul 23 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Recent Games
Baltimore Orioles
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Texas | W9-1 | 59-38 | Burnes 10-4 | Eovaldi 6-4 | NaN | 36336 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Texas | W8-4 | 60-38 | Rodriguez 12-4 | Scherzer 1-3 | NaN | 38410 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Texas | L3-2 | 60-39 | Heaney 4-10 | Kremer 4-6 | Yates 17 | 31808 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Miami | L6-3 | 60-40 | Puk 4-8 | Suarez 5-4 | Scott 17 | 10410 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Miami | L6-3 | 60-41 | Nardi 2-1 | Webb 1-5 | Scott 18 | 12127 |
Miami Marlins
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs New York | W6-4 | 34-63 | Bender 4-2 | Manaea 6-4 | Scott 15 | 16542 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs New York | L1-0 | 34-64 | Severino 7-3 | Munoz 1-5 | Diaz 11 | 21902 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs New York | W4-2 | 35-64 | Cronin 2-2 | Scott 0-3 | Scott 16 | 19418 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs New York | L6-4 | 35-65 | Peterson 5-0 | Chirinos 0-2 | Diaz 12 | 13068 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Baltimore | W6-3 | 36-65 | Puk 4-8 | Suarez 5-4 | Scott 17 | 10410 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Baltimore | W6-3 | 37-65 | Nardi 2-1 | Webb 1-5 | Scott 18 | 12127 |
Prediction
Given the recent form of both teams and the individual performance of Jazz Chisholm Jr., the following prop bets seem promising:
Chisholm's ability to hit for both power and average, combined with the Orioles' recent struggles in pitching and defense, make this a favorable bet. Additionally, considering his aggressive base running, there is


