MLB Player Props Game Picks: Braves vs Mets 7/25

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 25, 2024, 9:06:07 AM
MLB Player Props Game Picks: Braves vs Mets 7/25
Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves (54-46, second in the NL East) are set to face off against the New York Mets (53-48, third in the NL East) on Thursday at 7:10 p.m. EDT at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The Braves are currently enduring a four-game losing streak and are eager to get back on the winning track. The Mets, on the other hand, have been performing relatively well with a recent record of 7-3 in their last 10 games, showcasing a solid .265 batting average and a 3.68 ERA.
This matchup marks the seventh meeting between these two teams this season, with the series currently tied at 3-3. The Mets have a balanced home record of 26-26 and have shown power at the plate with a 26-10 record in games where they've hit at least two home runs. The Braves, who are 24-25 on the road, will look to their hitters to step up, as they currently bat a collective .241, ranking 10th in the NL.
Key performers for the Mets include Francisco Lindor, who leads the team with a .259 batting average, 27 doubles, 21 home runs, and 60 RBIs. For the Braves, Marcell Ozuna has been a standout, leading the team with 48 extra-base hits, including 20 doubles and 28 home runs. Both teams are grappling with injuries, which could play a pivotal role in the game's outcome.
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Player Prop Odds
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For tonight's game, here are the player prop odds for Jose Iglesias:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +440
- Batter Hits (0.5): Over -195
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +280
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +165
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over -145
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +170
Player Analysis
Jose Iglesias has been in exceptional form recently, going 17-for-37 with two home runs and five RBIs over his last 10 games. His current batting average stands at .259, and he has shown remarkable consistency at the plate. Iglesias's ability to get on base and contribute to his team's scoring makes him a pivotal player for the Braves in tonight's game.
Opposing Analysis
Luis Severino will be on the mound for the Mets. Severino has had a solid season so far, with a 7-3 record, a 3.58 ERA, and 88 strikeouts over 115.2 innings pitched. However, Severino has shown some vulnerability, giving up 12 home runs this season. The Braves hitters, including Iglesias, will look to capitalize on this aspect of his game.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 13-3 | 2.70 | 0.95 | 110.0 | 81 | 140 | 24 | 7 |
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 7-3 | 3.58 | 1.18 | 115.2 | 96 | 88 | 40 | 12 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
Hitting: The Braves have a collective batting average of .241, ranking 10th in the NL. Marcell Ozuna leads the team with 48 extra-base hits and 28 home runs. Travis d'Arnaud has also been impressive, going 10-for-27 with a double, two home runs, and seven RBIs over the past 10 games.
Pitching: Chris Sale has been the ace for the Braves, boasting a 13-3 record with a 2.70 ERA and 140 strikeouts. The Braves' bullpen has accumulated 28 saves, ranking 9th in the league.
Fielding: The Braves have committed 70 errors this season, ranking 3rd in the league. Their defensive performance will be crucial in limiting the Mets' offensive threats.
New York Mets
Hitting: The Mets have a team batting average of .241, with Francisco Lindor leading the way. Lindor has been a consistent performer, hitting 21 home runs and driving in 60 runs. Jose Iglesias has also been in great form, contributing significantly over the past 10 games.
Pitching: Luis Severino will be key for the Mets on the mound. With a 7-3 record and a 3.58 ERA, Severino will look to contain the Braves' hitters. The Mets' bullpen has also been solid, with 26 saves, ranking 13th in the league.
Fielding: The Mets have committed 42 errors this season, ranking 29th in the league. Their fielding will need to be sharp to support Severino and limit the Braves' scoring opportunities.
Team Injuries
Atlanta Braves Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | CF | Wed, Jul 24 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 14 |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | Wed, Jul 24 | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
New York Mets Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | CF | Thu, Jul 25 | Ankle | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Recent Games
Atlanta Braves Recent Games
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs St. Louis | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | W3-2 F/10 | 54-42 | Johnson 3-1 | Roycroft 1-2 | NaN | 37042 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | L9-5 | 54-43 | Gray 10-6 | Elder 1-4 | Leahy 1 | 42168 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs St. Louis | L6-2 | 54-44 | Mikolas 8-8 | Schwellenbach 3-5 | NaN | 36348 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Cincinnati | L4-1 | 54-45 | Greene 7-4 | Lopez 7-4 | NaN | 38779 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Cincinnati | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Cincinnati | L9-4 | 54-46 | Moll 2-1 | Winans 0-2 | NaN | 34407 |
New York Mets Recent Games
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Miami | L6-4 | 49-47 | Bender 4-2 | Manaea 6-4 | Scott 15 | 16542 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Miami | W1-0 | 50-47 | Severino 7-3 | Munoz 1-5 | Diaz 11 | 21902 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Miami | L4-2 | 50-48 | Cronin 2-2 | Scott 0-3 | Scott 16 | 19418 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Miami | W6-4 | 51-48 | Peterson 5-0 | Chirinos 0-2 | Diaz 12 | 13068 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ New York | W3-2 | 52-48 | Quintana 5-6 | Tonkin 3-4 | Diekman 4 | 47453 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ New York | W12-3 | 53-48 | Ottavino 2-2 | Cole 3-2 | NaN | 48760 |
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Prediction
Given the current form of Jose Iglesias and the vulnerability of Luis Severino to give up home runs, a solid prop bet for tonight's game would be:
Pick: Over 0.5 hits for Jose Iglesias at -195 odds.
Iglesias has been consistent at the plate and should be able to get at least one hit against Severino, who has allowed 12 home runs this season. The odds of -195 reflect a likely outcome, making this a strong pick for tonight's game.
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