MLB Player Props Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26
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MLB Player Props Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26

MLB Player Props Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26

MLB Player Props Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26

Photo Credit: © Sara Diggins/American-Statesman / USA TODAY NETWORK

Game Summary

The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Pittsburgh Pirates at Chase Field in Phoenix for the first game of a three-game series on Friday, July 26, 2024, at 9:40 p.m. EDT. The Diamondbacks, holding a 53-50 record, are third in the NL West, while the Pirates, with a 52-50 record, occupy the same position in the NL Central. Both teams have shown resilience in recent games, with the Diamondbacks going 7-3 and the Pirates 8-2 in their last 10 matchups.

As for the home team, Arizona boasts a strong slugging percentage, ranking ninth in MLB at .410. Christian Walker continues to be their offensive powerhouse with 23 home runs and 70 RBIs. On the other side, the Pirates have shown their mettle on the road with a 26-24 record. Oneil Cruz has been instrumental for Pittsburgh, delivering consistent performances with five doubles and two home runs over the last 10 games.

Both teams have key players on the injury list. The Diamondbacks are without Blake Walston, Merrill Kelly, Kyle Nelson, Eduardo Rodriguez, and Drey Jameson, all on the IL. The Pirates are missing Bailey Falter, Daulton Jefferies, Jared Jones, Hunter Stratton, Ryan Borucki, Dauri Moreta, Endy Rodriguez, and Johan Oviedo.

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Player Prop Odds

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Pitcher Record a Win: No -310, Yes +215

Player Analysis

Luis Ortiz (PIT): Luis Ortiz has been a revelation for the Pittsburgh Pirates this season. With a record of 5-2, an impressive ERA of 2.57, and a WHIP of 1.11, Ortiz has consistently delivered strong performances on the mound. Over 73.2 innings pitched, he has accumulated 59 strikeouts while allowing only 21 walks and 3 home runs. His ability to control the game and keep opposing hitters off balance has been a significant factor in his success.

Opposing Analysis

Facing Ortiz will be the Arizona Diamondbacks, who have shown offensive prowess but have struggled with consistency. The Diamondbacks have a team batting average of .232, ranking 26th in MLB, and have scored 422 runs this season. While Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been standout performers, the team as a whole has had its ups and downs. Ortiz will need to be cautious with Walker, who leads the team with 23 home runs, and Marte, who is hitting .296 over the past 10 games.

Pitching Probables

Luis Ortiz (PIT): 5-2, 2.57 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 59 strikeouts
Zac Gallen (ARI): 7-5, 3.64 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 80 strikeouts

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Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates: The Pirates have shown strong hitting capabilities, ranking 9th in team batting average at .252 and 3rd in runs scored with 509. Their pitching staff, however, has struggled with a team ERA of 4.50, placing them 26th in MLB. Defensively, they have committed 42 errors, ranking 30th.

Arizona Diamondbacks: The Diamondbacks' strength lies in their slugging percentage, which is among the best in MLB at .410. However, their batting average of .232 and run production have been below average. Their pitching staff has a respectable ERA of 3.77, ranking 11th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 50 errors, ranking 20th.

Team Injuries

Player Position Injury Status
Blake Walston SP 15-Day IL (elbow)
Merrill Kelly SP 60-Day IL (shoulder)
Kyle Nelson RP 60-Day IL (shoulder)
Eduardo Rodriguez SP 60-Day IL (shoulder)
Drey Jameson RP 60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
vs Philadelphia W 8-7 W
vs Philadelphia W 4-1 W
vs Philadelphia L 6-0 L
vs St. Louis W 2-1 W
vs St. Louis L 2-1 L

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Prediction

Pick: Luis Ortiz to Record a Win (+215)

Given Luis Ortiz's impressive form and the Pirates' recent strong performances, there's value in backing Ortiz to record a win at +215. The Diamondbacks have had inconsistencies in their batting lineup, and Ortiz's control and ability to limit home runs could be the decisive factor.

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