MLB Player Props Forecast: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/26

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 26, 2024, 12:20:47 AM
MLB Player Props Forecast: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/26
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Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds will face off against the Tampa Bay Rays on July 26th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons, as the Reds (52-51) are battling to stay above .500, while the Rays (49-53) aim to climb back into the playoff mix. Both teams have had their share of ups and downs, but this game promises to be a competitive affair with significant implications for both squads.
The Reds are coming off a split series against the Atlanta Braves, where they managed to win two out of four games. Their offense has struggled recently, ranking 27th in runs scored (400) and 23rd in batting average (.233). On the other hand, the Rays have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in their recent series win against the Toronto Blue Jays. Their pitching staff, which boasts a 13th-ranked ERA of 3.86, will be crucial in this game.
Historically, the Reds and Rays have had limited encounters, but the Rays have generally held the upper hand. With the game being played at Tropicana Field, an indoor venue, weather conditions will not play a factor. This controlled environment should provide a level playing field for both teams, making it an intriguing matchup.
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Player Prop Odds
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Will Benson:
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (+105), Under 0.5 (-145)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+275), Under 0.5 (-425)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+185), Under 0.5 (-260)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+230), Under 0.5 (-340)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (+105), Under 0.5 (-145)
Player Analysis
Will Benson has been a key contributor for the Cincinnati Reds this season. As an outfielder, Benson has shown impressive prowess at the plate, boasting a solid batting average and contributing to the team's offensive efforts. Although he has not been a standout in terms of home runs or RBIs, his consistency in getting on base and scoring runs has been invaluable.
Benson's current stats highlight his capability to impact the game in various ways. He has a batting average of .233, with a notable number of singles and total bases. His ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities makes him a valuable asset for the Reds, especially in tight games like this one against the Rays.
Opposing Analysis
For this matchup, Benson will face Shane Baz, the starting pitcher for the Tampa Bay Rays. Baz has had a mixed season, with a record of 0-1 and an ERA of 3.95. While he has shown potential, his limited innings pitched (13.2) and a high WHIP of 1.76 indicate that he can be susceptible to giving up hits and runs.
Against left-handed hitters like Benson, Baz has struggled to maintain consistency. This presents an opportunity for Benson to capitalize and potentially exceed the prop odds set for him in this game. The Rays' bullpen, although ranked 13th in ERA, has also shown vulnerabilities, which Benson and the Reds can exploit.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 8-3 | 3.51 | 89 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 0-1 | 3.95 | 12 |
Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds have had a turbulent season, sitting at a record of 52-51. Their offense has been inconsistent, ranking 27th in runs scored and 23rd in batting average. However, their pitching staff, led by Nick Lodolo, has been a bright spot. Lodolo's 8-3 record and 3.51 ERA have provided stability in an otherwise shaky rotation.
The Reds' bullpen has also been effective, ranking 4th in saves with 33. However, their defense has been average, with 52 errors ranking them 17th in the league. The key for the Reds will be to find offensive consistency and support their strong pitching staff.
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays, with a record of 49-53, have had a season filled with highs and lows. Their pitching staff, despite some inconsistencies, ranks 13th in ERA. Shane Baz, while showing potential, has struggled with control, which has inflated his WHIP to 1.76.
Offensively, the Rays have been better than the Reds, ranking 14th in runs scored. However, their batting average of .231 is 28th in the league. The Rays' defense has been a liability, with 65 errors ranking them 4th worst in the league. To win this game, they will need to tighten up their defense and get timely hits.
Team Injuries
Cincinnati Reds
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Williamson | SP | Wed, Jul 24 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 |
| Luke Maile | C | Wed, Jul 24 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Lovelady | RP | Wed, Jul 24 | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Wander Franco | SS | Wed, Jul 24 | Personal | Out for the season |
Recent Games
Cincinnati Reds
| Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|
| @ Washington | L 8-5 | Loss |
| @ Washington | L 5-4 | Loss |
| @ Washington | L 5-2 | Loss |
| @ Atlanta | W 4-1 | Win |
| @ Atlanta | W 9-4 | Win |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | L 6-1 | Loss |
| @ New York | W 9-1 | Win |
| @ New York | W 6-4 | Win |
| @ New York | L 9-1 | Loss |
| @ Toronto | W 4-2 | Win |
Prediction
Pick: Will Benson Over 0.5 Hits (+105)
Given Benson's consistency at the plate and Shane Baz's struggles with control, Benson is likely to get at least one hit in this game. The odds of +105 provide good value for this prop bet.
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Photo Credit: © Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
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