MLB Player Props Forecast: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins 7/25

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:03:54 AM
MLB Player Props Forecast: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins 7/25
Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles will face off against the Miami Marlins on Thursday, July 25th, 2024 at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Scheduled for a 12:10 PM EDT start, this matchup features a contrast in team trajectories. The Orioles, leading the AL East with a 60-41 record, look to end their three-game road losing streak. On the other hand, the Marlins, sitting at the bottom of the NL East with a 37-65 record, aim to capitalize on their recent home field advantage where they have secured a 22-33 record.
In their previous encounters this season, the Marlins have managed to take advantage, winning both matchups against the Orioles. This third meeting carries significant importance for both clubs. The Orioles need to regain their momentum, especially with a formidable offense led by Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander. Conversely, the Marlins, boosted by players like Jazz Chisholm, are fighting to turn their season around.
The Orioles come into this game with a .252 team batting average, ranking seventh in the MLB, while the Marlins are not far behind, hitting .252 as well, ranking ninth. Despite the Marlins' struggles, they have shown an ability to outperform when they outhit their opponents, boasting a 27-12 record in such scenarios. This game promises to be a fascinating battle of offenses, with the Orioles looking to leverage their hitting prowess and the Marlins hoping to exploit their home advantage.
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Player Prop Odds
For this matchup, let's take a look at player prop odds for Nick Gordon:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+440)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-155)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+230)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+195)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+195)
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Player Analysis
Nick Gordon has been a valuable contributor for the Orioles this season. With a solid batting average and the ability to get on base, he is a key player in Baltimore's lineup. Gordon's versatility at the plate allows him to adapt to different pitching styles, making him a consistent threat. Over the past ten games, Gordon has been showing improvement, which bodes well for this matchup against the Marlins.
Opposing Analysis
The Marlins pitching staff has been struggling, particularly Roddery Munoz, who will be starting against the Orioles. Munoz has a 1-5 record with a 5.14 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. His inconsistency on the mound is something the Orioles hitters, including Gordon, will look to exploit. The Marlins bullpen has also been shaky, providing further opportunities for the Orioles to score.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 10-4 | 2.38 | 1.04 | 124.2 | 101 | 116 | 29 | 14 |
| Roddery Munoz (MIA) | 1-5 | 5.14 | 1.39 | 56.0 | 49 | 47 | 29 | 15 |
Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
The Baltimore Orioles have been impressive this season, leading the AL East with a 60-41 record. Their offense is spearheaded by Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander. Henderson, in particular, has been a standout with a .285 batting average, 28 home runs, and 66 RBIs. Their pitching staff, anchored by Corbin Burnes, has also been solid with Burnes maintaining a 2.38 ERA and 116 strikeouts over 124.2 innings. Despite recent struggles, the Orioles have a strong road record (30-19) and are capable of turning things around.
Miami Marlins
The Miami Marlins have had a challenging season, currently holding a 37-65 record and sitting at the bottom of the NL East. However, they have shown flashes of potential, especially when they manage to out-hit their opponents. Jazz Chisholm has been a key player for the Marlins with 14 doubles, four triples, and 13 home runs. The Marlins' pitching, specifically their starters, have struggled, with Roddery Munoz being a prime example. The bullpen has provided some stability, but overall, the Marlins need to improve their consistency.
Team Injuries
| Team | Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | Dane Myers | RP | 10-Day IL (ankle) |
| Marlins | Ryan Weathers | SP | 60-Day IL (finger) |
| Marlins | Sixto Sanchez | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Marlins | Braxton Garrett | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Marlins | Jesus Luzardo | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Marlins | Josh Simpson | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Marlins | Eury Perez | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Marlins | Sandy Alcantara | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Orioles | Jorge Mateo | SS | Day-to-Day (elbow) |
| Orioles | Albert Suarez | RP | Day-to-Day (shin) |
| Orioles | Danny Coulombe | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Orioles | Kyle Bradish | SP | 60-Day IL (UCL sprain) |
| Orioles | Tyler Wells | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Orioles | John Means | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Orioles | Felix Bautista | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
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Baltimore Orioles
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Texas | 9-1 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Texas | 8-4 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Texas | 2-3 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Miami | 3-6 | L |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Miami | 3-6 | L |
Miami Marlins
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs New York | 6-4 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs New York | 0-1 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs New York | 4-2 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs New York | 4-6 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Baltimore | 6-3 | W |
Prediction
Given the current form of both teams and the specific matchups, a strong prop bet to consider is Nick Gordon to record over 0.5 hits at -155. Gordon has been consistent at the plate, and with Roddery Munoz's struggles on the mound for the Marlins, Gordon is well-positioned to get at least one hit in this game.
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