MLB Player Props Forecast: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/26

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Photo Credit: © Jordan Godfree-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves, currently sitting second in the NL East with a 54-47 record, are looking to halt a five-game losing streak as they face off against the New York Mets, who are just behind them in third place with a 54-48 record. The game will take place at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on Friday, July 26, 2024, at 7:10 p.m. EDT.

Despite their recent struggles, the Braves have shown power at the plate, being fourth in the NL with 115 total home runs. The Mets, on the other hand, boast a strong home record of 27-26 and have been successful in games where they score five or more runs, holding a 37-15 record in such contests. This will be the eighth meeting between these teams this season, with the Mets leading the series 4-3.

Key players to watch include Francisco Lindor of the Mets, who has 27 doubles and 22 home runs this season, and Marcell Ozuna of the Braves, who has been on fire with 28 home runs and 80 RBIs while hitting .305.

The Braves hope veteran pitcher Charlie Morton (5-5, 3.92 ERA) can lead them to victory, while the Mets will counter with Kodai Senga, making his first start.

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Player Prop Odds

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Eddie Rosario - Atlanta Braves:

• Hits Over 0.5: -145
• RBIs Over 0.5: +230
• Runs Scored Over 0.5: +140
• Singles Over 0.5: +110
• Total Bases Over 1.5: +190

Player Analysis

Eddie Rosario has been a consistent performer for the Atlanta Braves this season. As of now, he has a batting average of .259 with 13 home runs and 40 RBIs. Rosario's ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player in the Braves' lineup. Over the past 10 games, he has shown his prowess by getting on base frequently and contributing significantly to the team's offensive output.

Rosario's prop odds for tonight's game are quite enticing. With his current form and the Braves' need to break their losing streak, betting on Rosario to get over 0.5 hits at -145 seems like a solid choice. Additionally, considering his recent performance, taking a chance on his RBIs prop at +230 could offer substantial value for bettors.

Opposing Analysis

Kodai Senga will be making his first start for the Mets. Although this is his debut, the Braves should not underestimate him. The Mets' pitching staff has been solid, and with a collective ERA of 3.50, they have managed to keep opposing offenses in check. However, Senga's inexperience at the MLB level might work in favor of the Braves' hitters, including Rosario.

Facing a new pitcher can sometimes be advantageous for experienced hitters like Rosario, who can use their knowledge and adaptability to their benefit. The Mets' bullpen, although strong, has had some inconsistent performances, which the Braves' lineup could exploit.

Pitching Probables

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Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Charlie Morton (ATL)	5-5	3.92	101
Kodai Senga (NYM)	0-0	N/A	N/A

Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

The Braves have a solid lineup, with power hitters like Marcell Ozuna and Austin Riley leading the charge. They rank fourth in the NL with 115 home runs and have a team batting average of .249. Their pitching staff, anchored by Charlie Morton, has a collective ERA of 4.15.

Their bullpen has been somewhat reliable, but they will need strong performances from both starters and relievers to turn their recent fortunes around. Defensively, the Braves have committed 70 errors, ranking third in the league, indicating a need for improvement in this area.

New York Mets

The Mets have a balanced team, with a solid offense and a strong pitching staff. Francisco Lindor and Jose Iglesias have been key contributors on offense, while their pitching staff, with an ERA of 3.50, has kept them competitive in most games.

The Mets' bullpen has also been effective, with 26 saves on the season. Defensively, they have committed 43 errors, ranking among the better teams in the league in this category. Their home record of 27-26 shows they are comfortable playing at Citi Field.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Michael Harris II	OF	60-Day IL (hamstring)
Ozzie Albies	2B	10-Day IL (wrist)
Max Fried	SP	15-Day IL (forearm)
Ronald Acuna Jr.	OF	60-Day IL (knee)

Player	Position	Injury Status
Kodai Senga	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Starling Marte	OF	10-Day IL (knee)
Shintaro Fujinami	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)

Recent Games

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Atlanta Braves

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Thu, Jul 25	@ New York	2-3	L
Wed, Jul 24	vs Cincinnati	4-9	L
Mon, Jul 22	vs Cincinnati	1-4	L
Sun, Jul 21	vs St. Louis	2-6	L
Sat, Jul 20	vs St. Louis	5-9	L

New York Mets

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Thu, Jul 25	vs Atlanta	3-2	W
Wed, Jul 24	@ New York	12-3	W
Tue, Jul 23	@ New York	3-2	W
Mon, Jul 22	@ Miami	6-4	W
Sun, Jul 21	@ Miami	2-4	L

Prediction

Pick: Eddie Rosario Over 0.5 Hits (-145)

Given Eddie Rosario's current form and his odds of -145 to get over 0.5 hits, this seems like a reliable bet. Rosario has been consistent at the plate, and facing a debutant pitcher like Kodai Senga could provide him with ample opportunities to get on base. Additionally, the Braves' desperation to break their losing streak might fuel a strong performance from their key hitters, including Rosario.

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