MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Yankees vs Red Sox 7/27

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 27, 2024, 8:36:45 AM
MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Yankees vs Red Sox 7/27
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Game Summary
On July 27, 2024, the New York Yankees (60-45, second in the AL East) will face off against the Boston Red Sox (55-47, third in the AL East) at Fenway Park. The game is scheduled to start at 7:15 p.m. EDT. Both teams have had their ups and downs recently, with the Yankees looking to bounce back from a recent loss, while the Red Sox aim to extend their three-game home winning streak.
In their last ten games, both teams have posted a 4-6 record. The Red Sox have a collective .297 batting average and a 5.58 ERA, while the Yankees have a .258 batting average and a 4.39 ERA. Historically, the Red Sox hold a 5-2 advantage in the season series against the Yankees this year.
The key players to watch include Jarren Duran, who has 30 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs for the Red Sox, and Juan Soto, who has 20 doubles, four triples, and 26 home runs while hitting .307 for the Yankees. Both teams have several players on the injured list, which could impact their performances.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Austin Wells:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+290)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+230)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-120)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-120)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+110)
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Player Analysis
Austin Wells has been a standout performer for the Yankees, particularly in the last ten games. He has gone 11-for-30 with four home runs, showcasing his power and ability to deliver in crucial moments. Wells' recent form indicates that he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact, which bodes well for his prop bets.
Opposing Analysis
The Red Sox will be sending Kutter Crawford to the mound, who has had a solid season with a 6-8 record, 3.37 ERA, and 112 strikeouts. However, the Yankees' lineup has a .429 slugging percentage, the fourth-best in MLB, and they are capable of capitalizing on any mistakes Crawford might make. Given the Yankees' offensive capabilities, Wells has a good chance of hitting the over on several of his prop bets.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 7-5 | 3.51 | 1.30 | 110.1 | 97 | 83 | 47 | 17 |
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 6-8 | 3.37 | 1.05 | 117.2 | 95 | 112 | 29 | 19 |
Team Previews
New York Yankees
The Yankees are hitting .258 as a team, ranking third in the league. They have accumulated 911 hits and 489 runs, showcasing their offensive prowess. On the mound, their pitching staff has a collective ERA of 3.84, with 27 saves, indicating a solid bullpen.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox are hitting .248 as a team and have scored 520 runs, the highest in MLB. Their pitching staff has a collective ERA of 3.67, ranking fifth in the league. Despite their offensive and pitching strengths, they have committed 61 errors, ranking seventh in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | 10-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Nick Burdi | RP | 60-Day IL (hip) |
| Anthony Rizzo | 1B | 60-Day IL (wrist) |
| Clarke Schmidt | SP | 60-Day IL (lat) |
Recent Games
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New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Tampa Bay | 6-1 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | 1-9 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | 4-6 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | 9-1 | W |
| vs New York | 2-3 | L |
Boston Red Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Los Angeles | 1-4 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | 6-7 (11) | L |
| @ Los Angeles | 6-9 | L |
| @ Colorado | 8-9 (12) | L |
| @ Colorado | 6-0 | W |
Prediction
Given Austin Wells' recent hot streak and the Yankees' offensive capabilities, the best prop bet appears to be on Wells to exceed 1.5 total bases. Crawford's pitching, while solid, could be vulnerable to the Yankees' explosive lineup.
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
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