MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Pirates vs Astros 7/29
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 29, 2024, 5:49:27 AM
MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Pirates vs Astros 7/29
Photo Credit: © Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Houston Astros host the Pittsburgh Pirates in the first game of a three-game series at Minute Maid Park. This game is scheduled for Monday, July 29, 2024, at 8:10 p.m. EDT. The Astros are currently 55-50 and lead the AL West, boasting a respectable 30-22 home record. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 53-52, placing third in the NL Central with a 27-26 record on the road.
Both teams have shown mixed results recently. The Astros have gone 5-5 in their last ten games, with a .248 batting average and a 3.83 ERA. The Pirates have fared slightly better, going 6-4 with a .252 batting average and a 3.54 ERA.
Historically, this is the first meeting between these two teams this season. The Astros have a strong track record when they record eight or more hits, going 43-26 in such games. The Pirates, meanwhile, have been supported by a solid pitching staff, ranking sixth in the NL with a team ERA of 3.83.
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Player Prop Odds
For Yainer Diaz, the odds are as follows:
- Batter Doubles (Over 0.5): +350
- Batter Hits (Over 1.5): +260
- Batter RBIs (Over 0.5): +190
- Batter Runs Scored (Over 0.5): +145
- Batter Singles (Over 0.5): -125
- Batter Total Bases (Over 1.5): +135
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Player Analysis
Yainer Diaz has been a key contributor for the Astros this season, leading the team with 57 RBIs. His performance at the plate has been consistent, and he has shown the ability to come through in clutch situations.
With a batting average of .262, Diaz has been reliable in getting on base and driving in runs. His recent form is promising, and he will be looking to capitalize on the Pirates' pitching in this series opener.
Opposing Analysis
The Pirates will be starting Paul Skenes, who has been impressive this season with a 6-1 record and a 1.93 ERA. However, the Astros' offense has the firepower to challenge Skenes. Diaz, in particular, will be looking to exploit any mistakes Skenes might make.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6-1 | 1.93 | 0.87 | 74.2 | 52 | 97 | 13 | 8 |
| Jake Bloss (HOU) | 0-1 | 6.94 | 1.63 | 11.2 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 5 |
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Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have been solid this season, particularly on the mound. They rank sixth in the NL with a team ERA of 3.83. Offensively, they have the second-best batting average in the league at .262. Key players include Connor Joe and Oneil Cruz, who have been consistent contributors.
Houston Astros
The Astros' offense has struggled at times, ranking 25th in batting average at .232. However, they have key players like Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Pena who can change the game with their hitting. Their pitching staff has been decent, with a team ERA of 3.83, ranking 12th in the league.
Team Injuries
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 2B | 10-Day IL (Undisclosed) |
| Bailey Falter | RP | 15-Day IL (Arm) |
| Daulton Jefferies | RP | 15-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Jared Jones | SP | 15-Day IL (Lat) |
| Ryan Borucki | RP | 60-Day IL (Tricep) |
| Dauri Moreta | RP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Endy Rodriguez | C | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Johan Oviedo | SP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
Houston Astros
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | SP | 15-Day IL (Neck) |
| Cristian Javier | SP | 60-Day IL (Forearm) |
| Kyle Tucker | RF | 10-Day IL (Shin) |
| Jose Urquidy | SP | 60-Day IL (Forearm) |
| Oliver Ortega | RP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Bennett Sousa | RP | 60-Day IL (Shoulder) |
| Penn Murfee | RP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Luis Garcia | SP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | SP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Kendall Graveman | RP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
Recent Games
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Philadelphia | W 8-7 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Philadelphia | W 4-1 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Philadelphia | L 6-0 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs St. Louis | W 2-1 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs St. Louis | L 2-1 | L |
Houston Astros
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Seattle | W 3-0 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Seattle | W 4-2 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Seattle | L 6-4 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Oakland | L 4-0 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Oakland | L 8-2 | L |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz has been one of the most consistent hitters for the Astros, and with the Pirates' Paul Skenes on the mound, Diaz will need to step up. Considering his recent form and the fact that the odds for over 1.5 total bases are +135, this is a valuable pick. Diaz has the capability to get multiple hits or an extra-base hit, making the over 1.5 total bases a strong play.
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