MLB Player Props Expert Picks: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/31

A Plus Picks
Jul 31, 2024, 12:50:39 AM

Photo Credit: © Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The New York Yankees will take on the Philadelphia Phillies on July 31 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. This matchup features two competitive teams vying for playoff positioning as the season progresses. The Yankees currently sit at 65-42, leading the AL East, while the Phillies hold a record of 64-45, contending in the NL Wild Card race.

Both teams have shown strong performances in recent games. The Yankees have a solid batting average of .256, ranking 4th in the league, and have accumulated 516 runs this season. Their pitching staff has been impressive as well, boasting an ERA of 3.53, good for 3rd in the MLB. Cristopher Sanchez, slated to start for the Yankees, has been a reliable pitcher with a 7-6 record and a 3.05 ERA, making him a crucial part of their rotation.

The Phillies, led by Nestor Cortes, have a slightly higher ERA of 4.13, but their offensive firepower has been notable, scoring 553 runs this season, which ranks them first in the league. With stars like Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm leading the charge, the Phillies are a team that can put runs on the board quickly.

This matchup is highly anticipated, especially considering the historical rivalry between the two franchises. The Yankees have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 14-4 in their last encounter. As both teams strive for playoff berths, this game will be critical in determining their trajectories as they head into the final stretch of the season.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are the current player prop odds for Austin Hays:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+320)
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+280)
Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+480)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+155)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-105)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+120)

Player Analysis

Austin Hays has been a consistent performer for the Yankees this season. His batting average currently stands at .293, making him one of the most reliable hitters in the lineup. With 24 home runs and 72 RBIs, Hays has proven to be a significant offensive contributor. His ability to hit for power, combined with a knack for getting on base, makes him a valuable asset for the Yankees.

Opposing Analysis

The Phillies’ pitching staff, particularly Nestor Cortes, will present a challenge for Hays. Cortes has been effective against left-handed hitters, which could limit Hays’ effectiveness, particularly in terms of total bases and home runs. However, if Hays can capitalize on any mistakes, he could easily surpass the prop odds set for him.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts	Innings Pitched
Nestor Cortes (PHI)	4-9	4.13	116	124.1
Cristopher Sanchez (NYY)	7-6	3.05	91	115.0

Team Previews

New York Yankees

The Yankees are having a stellar season with an overall record of 65-42. They rank highly in several offensive categories, including 5th in hits (924) and 6th in runs scored (516). Their pitching staff has also been impressive, with a 3rd ranked ERA of 3.53 and a solid bullpen that has contributed to their overall success.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies, with a record of 64-45, are a formidable opponent. They lead the MLB in runs scored (553) and are 10th in hits (909). Their pitching has been decent, with a 5th ranked ERA of 3.68. The combination of a powerful lineup and decent pitching makes them a tough team to face.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Status
Gerrit Cole	SP	Tue, Jul 30	Rest	Out until at least Aug 4
Taijuan Walker	SP	Mon, Jul 29	Finger	Out until at least Aug 7

Recent Games

New York Yankees

Date	Opponent	Result
Jul 19	vs Tampa Bay	W 6-1
Jul 20	vs Tampa Bay	L 9-1
Jul 21	vs Tampa Bay	L 6-4
Jul 22	vs Tampa Bay	W 9-1
Jul 29	@ Philadelphia	W 14-4

Philadelphia Phillies

Date	Opponent	Result
Jul 19	@ Pittsburgh	L 8-7
Jul 20	@ Pittsburgh	L 4-1
Jul 21	@ Pittsburgh	W 6-0
Jul 26	vs Cleveland	L 3-1
Jul 29	vs New York	L 14-4

Prediction

Given Austin Hays' current form and the favorable odds, the best player prop bet is for him to score over 0.5 runs (-105). The Yankees' strong lineup and the potential for high-scoring innings against the Phillies' pitching make this a solid bet. Hays has been a key contributor to the Yankees' offense, and with Cortes on the mound, he has a good chance to cross the plate.

Pick: Over 0.5 Runs Scored for Austin Hays

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