MLB Player Props Expert Picks: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox | 7/27
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 27, 2024, 8:37:30 AM
MLB Player Props Expert Picks: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox | 7/27
Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Boston Red Sox will host the New York Yankees at Fenway Park on Saturday, July 27, at 7:15 p.m. EDT. This is a crucial matchup as both teams are vying for dominance in the AL East. The Red Sox, currently 55-47, are looking to extend their three-game home winning streak, while the Yankees, standing at 60-45, aim to bounce back from a recent slump.
Historically, the Red Sox have had the upper hand this season, leading the series 5-2. Both teams have displayed strong offensive capabilities, with the Red Sox boasting a collective .432 slugging percentage, ranking third in MLB, and the Yankees not far behind with a .429 slugging percentage, ranking fourth.
In their last 10 games, both teams have struggled, going 4-6. The Red Sox have been outscored by 12 runs, despite a .297 batting average, while the Yankees have a .258 batting average and have been outscored by two runs. Both teams will be looking to turn their fortunes around in this pivotal game.
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Player Prop Odds
Ben Rice Player Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+270)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+230)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+480)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+140)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-110)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+100)
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Player Analysis
Ben Rice has shown promise at the plate, particularly in the clutch moments. With his odds set at +270 for doubles and +230 for hits, he presents a lucrative option for bettors looking to capitalize on his recent form. Rice has been consistent in getting on base, and his over 1.5 hits prop looks particularly enticing given his ability to make contact.
Moreover, his odds of +480 for hitting a home run are tempting, especially against a pitcher like Kutter Crawford, who has allowed 19 home runs this season. Rice's power could be a game-changer, and this prop offers a high-reward option for those willing to take the risk.
Opposing Analysis
Kutter Crawford, the probable starter for the Red Sox, comes into this game with a 6-8 record, 3.37 ERA, and 112 strikeouts. While Crawford has been effective overall, his tendency to give up home runs (19 this season) could be a vulnerability that Rice exploits. Additionally, Crawford's WHIP of 1.05 suggests that while he doesn't allow many baserunners, those who do get on base often find ways to score.
The Yankees' lineup, with the likes of Juan Soto and Austin Wells, adds further pressure on Crawford, making it likely that he might pitch more cautiously, potentially leading to favorable matchups for Rice.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 7-5 | 3.51 | 83 |
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 6-8 | 3.37 | 112 |
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Team Previews
New York Yankees
The Yankees boast a strong lineup, led by Juan Soto, who is hitting .307 with 26 home runs. They have the fourth-best team slugging percentage in MLB at .429. Their pitching staff, anchored by Marcus Stroman, has been solid with a team ERA of 3.84. However, their defense has been a concern with 74 errors, the second-most in MLB.
Despite their recent struggles, the Yankees have been strong on the road, posting a 33-22 record. Their offensive depth and pitching consistency make them a formidable opponent for the Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox have been exceptional offensively, with a .432 slugging percentage, ranking third in MLB. Jarren Duran has been a key performer, with 30 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs. The Red Sox's pitching staff, led by Kutter Crawford, has a team ERA of 3.67, ranking fifth in MLB.
However, the Red Sox's defense has been slightly better than the Yankees, with 61 errors, ranking seventh. Their home record of 25-25 indicates some inconsistency at Fenway Park, but their recent three-game winning streak at home suggests they are finding their rhythm.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | Hamstring | 10-Day IL |
| Nick Burdi | RP | Hip | 60-Day IL |
| Anthony Rizzo | 1B | Wrist | 60-Day IL |
| Jose Trevino | C | Quadricep | 10-Day IL |
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Mata | RP | Hamstring | 60-Day IL |
| Kenley Jansen | RP | Heart | Day-to-day |
| Triston Casas | 1B | Rib | 60-Day IL |
| Trevor Story | SS | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Tampa Bay | W 6-1 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | L 9-1 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | L 6-4 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | W 9-1 | W |
| vs New York | L 3-2 | L |
Boston Red Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Los Angeles | L 4-1 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | L 7-6 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | L 9-6 | L |
| @ Colorado | L 9-8 | L |
| @ Colorado | W 6-0 | W |
Prediction
Given the recent performance of both teams and the prop odds for Ben Rice, the most favorable bet appears to be on Rice achieving over 1.5 total bases at +100. This prop offers a balanced risk-reward scenario, considering Rice's ability to get on base and extra-base hit potential against Kutter Crawford.
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100)
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