MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers

- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:10:56 AM
MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers
Photo Credit: © Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Minnesota Twins will face off against the Detroit Tigers on July 28th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. The Twins are looking to bounce back after a tough stretch of games, while the Tigers aim to maintain their momentum in the AL Central.
The Twins have struggled on the road, with a 27-29 record away from Target Field. Their hitting has been inconsistent, ranking 24th in batting average at .233 and 17th in runs scored with 448. However, their pitching has kept them competitive, with a 3.92 ERA ranking 14th in the league.
On the other hand, the Tigers have been solid at home, boasting a 29-21 record at Comerica Park. Their offense ranks 7th in both batting average (.253) and runs scored (498). The Tigers' pitching staff has been effective, holding a 4.10 ERA (19th) and ranking 7th in saves with 30.
The starting pitchers for this matchup are Bailey Ober for the Twins and Alex Faedo for the Tigers. Ober has a 9-5 record with a 4.04 ERA, while Faedo has a 5-1 record with a 3.47 ERA. Both pitchers have shown flashes of brilliance this season, making this an intriguing matchup on the mound.
Historically, these teams have had competitive matchups, with the Tigers recently taking a series win against the Twins. This game will be crucial for both teams as they battle for positioning in the AL Central standings.
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Player Prop Odds
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Javier Baez:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+414), Under 0.5 (-754)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-160), Under 0.5 (+116)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+252), Under 0.5 (-384)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+172), Under 0.5 (-244)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+102), Under 0.5 (-139)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-160), Under 0.5 (+116)
Player Analysis: Javier Baez
Javier Baez has been a key contributor for the Detroit Tigers this season. Known for his aggressive hitting and flashy defensive plays, Baez has displayed his all-around skills at shortstop. He has a batting average of .233 with 13 home runs and 42 RBIs. Although his average isn't stellar, Baez has the ability to change the game with a single swing.
Baez's recent form has been encouraging, as he has improved his plate discipline and reduced strikeouts. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset in the Tigers' lineup. With Comerica Park's spacious outfield, Baez could take advantage of extra-base hit opportunities.
Opposing Analysis: Minnesota Twins Pitching
Bailey Ober, the probable starter for the Twins, has been reliable this season. With a 9-5 record and a 4.04 ERA, Ober has shown the ability to keep hitters off balance. He has struck out 110 batters in 107 innings while allowing 88 hits.
Ober's strength lies in his ability to locate his pitches and induce weak contact. However, he has allowed 17 home runs this season, which could be a concern against a power hitter like Baez. The Twins' bullpen has been solid, but they will need Ober to deliver a quality start to contain the Tigers' offense.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 9-5 | 4.04 | 110 |
| Alex Faedo (DET) | 5-1 | 3.47 | 45 |
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Team Previews
Minnesota Twins
The Twins' hitting has been inconsistent, ranking 24th in batting average at .233 and 17th in runs scored with 448. Their pitching has been a strong point, with a 3.92 ERA ranking 14th in the league. Defensively, they are solid with 60 errors, ranking 8th.
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers' offense ranks 7th in both batting average (.253) and runs scored (498). Their pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA (19th) and ranks 7th in saves with 30. Defensively, they have committed 49 errors, ranking 23rd.
Team Injuries
Minnesota Twins
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 2B | Sun, Jul 28 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
Detroit Tigers
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 14 |
| Riley Greene | LF | Fri, Jul 26 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
Recent Games
Minnesota Twins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Milwaukee | L 8-4 F/12 | 54-43 |
| vs Milwaukee | L 8-7 | 54-44 |
| vs Philadelphia | W 7-2 | 55-44 |
| vs Philadelphia | L 3-0 | 55-45 |
| vs Philadelphia | W 5-4 | 56-45 |
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Detroit Tigers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Toronto | W 5-4 | 48-50 |
| @ Toronto | W 7-3 | 49-50 |
| @ Toronto | L 5-4 | 49-51 |
| @ Cleveland | W 8-2 | 50-51 |
| @ Cleveland | L 5-4 | 50-52 |
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Prediction
Pick: Javier Baez Over 0.5 Total Bases (-160)
Given Baez's current form and the favorable matchup against Bailey Ober, taking the over on Baez's total bases seems like a solid bet. Ober's tendency to allow home runs could benefit Baez, who has the power to capitalize on such opportunities.
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