MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Guardians vs Phillies 7/28

MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/28

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Photo Credit: © David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Cleveland Guardians are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies on July 28, 2023, at the Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Both teams have shown impressive performances this season, making this matchup highly anticipated. The Guardians come into this game with a 65-39 record, leading the Central Division, while the Phillies boast a 62-42 record, placing them second in the East Division.

Historically, the Guardians have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Phillies, winning four of the last seven encounters. However, the Phillies have a strong home record this season, going 33-15 at Citizens Bank Park, which could give them an edge in this contest.

Both teams are coming off a mixed bag of results in their last five games. The Guardians have gone 3-2, while the Phillies have mirrored this performance with a 3-2 record as well. With both teams looking to solidify their positions in their respective divisions, this game promises to be a thrilling encounter.

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Player Prop Odds

For Andres Gimenez:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390), Under 0.5 (-650)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+225), Under 0.5 (-320)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+150), Under 0.5 (-205)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-125), Under 0.5 (-110)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+140), Under 1.5 (-195)

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Player Analysis

Andres Gimenez has been a standout performer for the Guardians this season. With a batting average of .256, Gimenez has accumulated 899 hits, ranking tied-5th in the league. He has also contributed significantly in runs scored with 501, placing the Guardians 6th in this category. Gimenez's ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities will be crucial for the Guardians in this game.

Gimenez has shown a knack for hitting singles, with an over/under line set at 0.5 singles for this game. With the odds slightly favoring the under at -110, there is still value in taking the over at -125, considering his consistency at the plate. Additionally, his total bases line is set at 1.5, with the over offering a potential return at +140.

Opposing Analysis

The Phillies' pitching staff has been solid this season, with a team ERA of 3.63, ranking them 4th in the league. However, they have shown vulnerability against left-handed batters, and Gimenez, being a lefty, could exploit this weakness. The Phillies' probable starting pitcher, Joey Cantillo, has limited data available, but the team's overall pitching performance suggests a challenging matchup for Gimenez.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Kolby Allard (CLE)	--	--	--
Joey Cantillo (PHI)	--	--	--

Team Previews

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians have been impressive both offensively and defensively. They rank 4th in batting average (.256) and 2nd in ERA (3.46). Their fielding has been solid as well, with only 59 errors, placing them tied-9th in the league. Key hitters include Steven Kwan (.340 BA) and Jose Ramirez (24 HR, 82 RBI).

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies have a balanced team with strengths in both pitching and hitting. They rank 16th in batting average (.241) and 4th in ERA (3.63). Their fielding has been slightly better than the Guardians with 55 errors, placing them tied-14th. Key performers include Bryce Harper (24 HR) and Alec Bohm (.297 BA, 71 RBI).

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Matthew Boyd	SP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
James Karinchak	RP	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Aug 10

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Ranger Suarez	SP	Back	Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
Alec Bohm	3B	Ankle	Probable for Jul 28

Recent Games

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Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs San Diego	W 7-0	W
Sat, Jul 20	vs San Diego	L 7-0	L
Sun, Jul 21	vs San Diego	L 2-1	L
Mon, Jul 22	vs Detroit	L 8-2	L
Tue, Jul 23	vs Detroit	W 5-4	W

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Pittsburgh	L 8-7	L
Sat, Jul 20	@ Pittsburgh	L 4-1	L
Sun, Jul 21	@ Pittsburgh	W 6-0	W
Mon, Jul 22	@ Minnesota	L 7-2	L
Tue, Jul 23	@ Minnesota	W 3-0	W

Prediction

Given Gimenez's consistency at the plate and the Phillies' vulnerability against left-handed batters, taking the over on 0.5 singles for Gimenez at -125 odds offers good value. His ability to get on base will be crucial for the Guardians in this matchup.

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