MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers

Mr Wager
Jul 29, 2024, 4:48:28 PM

Photo Credit: © Albert Cesare/The Cincinnati Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK / USA TODAY NETWORK

Game Summary

The Detroit Tigers will host the Cleveland Guardians on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 6:40 PM EDT at Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan. The Tigers, sitting fourth in the AL Central, are looking to improve their 52-55 record and gain ground in the standings. The Guardians, leading the AL Central with a 63-42 record, aim to continue their dominance.

Detroit enters the game with a 25-26 record at home and has shown a knack for power hitting, boasting a 24-4 record in games where they hit at least two home runs. Cleveland, on the other hand, has a 30-27 road record and a team batting average of .240, ranking seventh in the AL.

This will be the 12th meeting between these two teams this season, with the Tigers holding a slight edge in the season series at 6-5. Key performers for the Tigers include Matt Vierling, who has 18 doubles, five triples, and 13 home runs, and Riley Greene, who is batting .324 over the last 10 games. For the Guardians, Steven Kwan leads with a .342 batting average, while Jose Ramirez has been hot with a home run and five RBIs in the last 10 games.

Both teams have been evenly matched in their last 10 games, each posting a 5-5 record. However, the Tigers have a slight edge in ERA at 3.62 compared to the Guardians' 3.24. Injuries could play a role in this matchup, with key players like Riley Greene and Casey Mize on the IL for the Tigers, and Sam Hentges and Shane Bieber out for the Guardians.

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Player Prop Odds

Ryan Kreidler:

Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+320), Under 0.5 (-500)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+245), Under 0.5 (-360)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+175), Under 0.5 (-245)

Player Analysis

Ryan Kreidler has been a consistent performer for the Tigers this season. While his RBI and run-scoring numbers aren't eye-popping, he has shown the ability to come through in clutch situations. With a batting average hovering around .244, Kreidler has been reliable, especially against right-handed pitching.

His performance against the Guardians this season has been noteworthy, contributing key hits and playing solid defense. Given his current form and the Tigers' need for offensive support, Kreidler is poised to make an impact in tonight's game.

Opposing Analysis

For hitting props, analyzing the opposing pitcher is crucial. Cleveland's starting pitcher, Tanner Bibee, has been solid this season with an 8-4 record, a 3.50 ERA, and 130 strikeouts. Bibee has shown the ability to limit damage, but he has struggled at times with control, issuing walks that could provide opportunities for hitters like Kreidler.

Bibee's recent form suggests he may be vulnerable, especially against a Tigers lineup that can capitalize on mistakes. Detroit's hitters, including Kreidler, will need to be patient and wait for their pitch to drive in runs.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	Team	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Tanner Bibee	Guardians	8-4	3.50	130
Jack Flaherty	Tigers	7-5	2.95	133

Team Previews

Detroit Tigers

Offensively, the Tigers have been inconsistent but have shown flashes of power, especially with players like Matt Vierling and Riley Greene. Detroit ranks 13th in runs scored with 478 and maintains a team batting average of .240.

Their pitching has been a strong point, with a team ERA of 3.67, ranking fourth in the league. Jack Flaherty has been a standout, boasting a 2.95 ERA and 133 strikeouts. The Tigers' bullpen has also been effective, leading the league with 38 saves.

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians have been solid offensively, with key contributors like Steven Kwan and Jose Ramirez. They rank seventh in the AL with a .240 team batting average and have scored 455 runs this season.

Their pitching staff has been reliable, with a team ERA of 3.92, ranking 14th in the league. Tanner Bibee has been a notable performer, and the Guardians will rely on him to keep the Tigers' offense in check.

Team Injuries

Detroit Tigers

Player	Position	Injury Status
Riley Greene	OF	10-Day IL (hamstring)
Kerry Carpenter	OF	60-Day IL (spine)
Reese Olson	P	15-Day IL (shoulder)
Parker Meadows	OF	10-Day IL (hamstring)
Casey Mize	P	15-Day IL (hamstring)
Sawyer Gipson-Long	P	60-Day IL (groin)

Cleveland Guardians

Player	Position	Injury Status
Sam Hentges	RP	15-Day IL (undisclosed)
Matthew Boyd	SP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Shane Bieber	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Trevor Stephan	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
James Karinchak	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)

Recent Games

Detroit Tigers

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Toronto	W5-4	W
@ Toronto	W7-3	W
@ Toronto	L5-4	L
@ Cleveland	W8-2	W
@ Cleveland	L5-4	L

Cleveland Guardians

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs San Diego	W7-0	W
vs San Diego	L7-0	L
vs San Diego	L2-1	L
vs Detroit	L8-2	L
vs Detroit	W5-4	W

Prediction

Considering the current form of both teams and the pitching matchup, our pick for the game is:

Pick: Over 7 runs

With both teams having a strong offensive presence and the pitching matchup slightly favoring the hitters, we expect a high-scoring affair. The Tigers' ability to hit home runs and the Guardians' consistent batting average make the over on 7 runs a solid choice.

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