MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers

MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers

Photo Credit: © Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Detroit Tigers will host the Cleveland Guardians to kick off a two-game series at Comerica Park on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 6:40 p.m. EDT. The Tigers, currently holding a 52-55 record overall and a 25-26 record at home, will face off against the Guardians, who are leading the AL Central with a 63-42 record and are 30-27 on the road. This matchup marks the 12th meeting between these teams this season, with the Tigers holding a slight edge in the season series at 6-5.

In their most recent performances, the Tigers have gone 5-5, with a team batting average of .207 and an ERA of 3.62, outscoring their opponents by five runs. Conversely, the Guardians also share a 5-5 record in their last ten games, hitting .214 with a 3.24 ERA but have been outscored by 13 runs.

Both teams have key players to watch. For the Tigers, Matt Vierling has been a standout with 18 doubles, five triples, and 13 home runs, while Riley Greene is batting .324 in his last ten games. The Guardians' Steven Kwan boasts a .342 average, and Jose Ramirez has been solid with 10 hits in his last 37 at-bats, including a home run and five RBIs.

Injuries have also impacted both teams. The Tigers will miss Riley Greene and Casey Mize, while the Guardians will be without key pitchers like Shane Bieber and Trevor Stephan.

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Player Prop Odds

Wenceel Perez:

• Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +450 / Under -800
• Batter Hits (0.5): Over -185 / Under +135
• Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +215 / Under -310
• Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +150 / Under -205
• Batter Singles (0.5): Over +100 / Under -135
• Batter Total Bases (0.5): Over -185 / Under +135

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Player Analysis

Wenceel Perez has been a reliable hitter for the Detroit Tigers this season, showcasing a good mix of power and contact ability. With a batting average hovering around .260, Perez has proven to be a consistent contributor to the Tigers' offense. Over his last ten games, Perez has maintained a solid approach at the plate, recording multiple hits in several games and driving in key runs. His ability to get on base and advance runners has been crucial for Detroit's lineup.

Opposing Analysis

The Cleveland Guardians' pitching staff, led by Tanner Bibee, has been formidable this season. Bibee himself boasts an 8-4 record with a respectable 3.50 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. The Guardians' pitchers have collectively held opponents to a .231 batting average, which ranks 26th in the league. However, their pitching staff has shown vulnerability in allowing runs in crucial situations. With Perez's ability to capitalize on such opportunities, he stands a good chance of making a significant impact in this game.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
T. Bibee (CLE)	8-4	3.50	1.09	115.2	95	130	31	14
J. Flaherty (DET)	7-5	2.95	0.96	106.2	83	133	19	15

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Team Previews

Cleveland Guardians

The Cleveland Guardians have been solid this season, particularly in their pitching and batting average, where they rank seventh in the AL at .240. Their pitching staff, led by Tanner Bibee, has a team ERA of 3.92, which ranks 14th in the league. In terms of fielding, the Guardians have committed 60 errors, placing them 8th in the league. Offensively, they have scored 455 runs, ranking 16th, and have a team batting average of .231.

Detroit Tigers

The Detroit Tigers have shown resilience this season, especially in their ability to hit home runs and close games. They rank 13th in runs scored with 478 and have a team batting average of .240, ranking 16th in the league. The Tigers' pitching staff has been a strength, with an ERA of 3.67, ranking 4th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 56 errors, placing them 15th in the league.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Sam Hentges	RP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Casey Mize	SP	Hamstring	15-Day IL
Riley Greene	LF	Hamstring	10-Day IL

Recent Games

Cleveland Guardians

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs San Diego	7-0	W
vs San Diego	0-7	L
vs San Diego	1-2	L
vs Detroit	2-8	L
vs Detroit	5-4	W

Detroit Tigers

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Toronto	5-4	W
@ Toronto	7-3	W
@ Toronto	4-5	L
@ Cleveland	8-2	W
@ Cleveland	4-5	L

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Prediction

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