MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:55:36 AM
MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28
Photo Credit: © Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds (50-54, fourth in the NL Central) face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (53-52, fourth in the AL East) in a crucial matchup at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida on Sunday, July 28th, 2024, at 11:35 a.m. EDT. Both teams are aiming to secure a series win with a victory in this game. The Reds, with a 25-26 road record, and the Rays, with a 28-28 home record, have shown flashes of brilliance but have struggled with consistency. The Reds are coming off a loss (4-0) against the Rays, while the Rays managed to even the series with that win.
Historically, these teams have been well-matched, making each game a nail-biter. The Reds' hitters have a collective .392 slugging percentage, ranking them 10th in the NL, while the Rays have gone 32-6 in games where they’ve scored at least five runs, indicating their offensive prowess. Key performers like Isaac Paredes for the Rays, who has 16 home runs and 55 RBIs, and Spencer Steer for the Reds, who has 15 home runs and 64 RBIs, will be crucial in this matchup.
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Player Prop Odds
For Taylor Walls in tonight's game, the player prop odds are as follows:
- Batter Hits 0.5: Over +115, Under -160
- Batter RBIs 0.5: Over +310, Under -475
- Batter Runs Scored 0.5: Over +200, Under -280
- Batter Singles 0.5: Over +210, Under -300
- Batter Total Bases 0.5: Over +115, Under -160
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Player Analysis
Taylor Walls has been a steady contributor to the Rays' lineup. Although his batting average sits at .230, Walls has shown flashes of brilliance, especially in high-leverage situations. Over the past 10 games, Walls has been getting on base, contributing to the Rays' offense with timely hits and smart base running. Given his recent form, Walls is poised to make an impact in this crucial matchup against the Reds.
Opposing Analysis
The Reds will be starting Hunter Greene, who boasts a 7-4 record with a 3.14 ERA and 133 strikeouts this season. Greene has been a dominant force on the mound, making it challenging for opposing hitters to get on base. However, the Rays' lineup has shown resilience and the ability to adapt, making it a potentially exciting contest between Greene's pitching and the Rays' hitting.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 7-4 | 3.14 | 1.09 | 117.1 | 80 | 133 | 48 | 10 |
| Shawn Armstrong (TB) | 2-2 | 5.64 | 1.61 | 44.2 | 53 | 49 | 19 | 5 |
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Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds have had an up-and-down season, currently standing at 50-54. Their hitting has been inconsistent, with a team batting average of .234, ranking them 23rd in the league. However, their pitching has shown promise, especially their bullpen, which is tied for 4th in saves with 33. The Reds will rely heavily on their starting pitcher, Hunter Greene, to keep the Rays' offense in check.
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays are slightly ahead in their division with a 53-52 record. Their offensive numbers are somewhat deceptive, with a team batting average of .230, ranking them 28th, but they have shown the capability to score runs in bunches. Their pitching staff, led by Shawn Armstrong, has struggled at times, with Armstrong holding a 5.64 ERA. The Rays' bullpen will need to step up to support their starting pitchers.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Burdick | RF | Sun, Jul 28 | Undisclosed | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| Luke Maile | C | Sun, Jul 28 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
Recent Games
Cincinnati Reds
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Washington | L8-5 | 47-51 | Corbin 2-9 | Montas 4-8 | Finnegan 26 | 38402 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Washington | L5-4 | 47-52 | Law 6-2 | Wilson 1-2 | Finnegan 27 | 32734 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Washington | L5-2 | 47-53 | Garcia 2-3 | Sims 1-4 | Finnegan 28 | 23967 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Atlanta | W4-1 | 48-53 | Greene 7-4 | Lopez 7-4 | NaN | 38779 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Atlanta | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Atlanta | W9-4 | 49-53 | Moll 2-1 | Winans 0-2 | NaN | 34407 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Atlanta | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Tampa Bay | W3-2 F/10 | 50-53 | Martinez 4-5 | Rodriguez 1-2 | Diaz 20 | 20441 |
| Sat, Jul 27 | @ Tampa Bay | L4-0 | 50-54 | Littell 4-7 | Abbott 9-7 | NaN | 23464 |
Tampa Bay Rays
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ New York | L6-1 | 48-49 | Cole 3-1 | Eflin 5-7 | NaN | 47036 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ New York | W9-1 | 49-49 | Bradley 5-4 | Cortes 4-9 | NaN | 43173 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ New York | W6-4 | 50-49 | Cleavinger 6-2 | Stroman 7-5 | Fairbanks 18 | 45178 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ New York | L9-1 | 50-50 | Rodon 10-7 | Littell 3-7 | NaN | 40824 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Toronto | W4-2 | 51-50 | Alexander 3-3 | Berrios 8-8 | Fairbanks 19 | 38575 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Toronto | L6-3 | 51-51 | Cabrera 3-2 | Adam 4-2 | NaN | 32276 |
| Thu, Jul 25 | @ Toronto | W13-0 | 52-51 | Bradley 6-4 | Bassitt 8-9 | NaN | 41148 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | vs Cincinnati | L3-2 F/10 | 52-52 | Martinez 4-5 | Rodriguez 1-2 | Diaz 20 | 20441 |
| Sat, Jul 27 | vs Cincinnati | W4-0 | 53-52 | Littell 4-7 | Abbott 9-7 | NaN | 23464 |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 Batter Hits for Taylor Walls (+115)
Taylor Walls has been consistent in getting on base recently, and with Hunter Greene on the mound for the Reds, it presents an opportunity for Walls to capitalize on any mistakes. Betting on Walls to get at least one hit at +115 provides good value given his current form and the Reds' pitching staff's occasional inconsistency. With the Rays' offense clicking, Walls should find himself in favorable hitting situations.
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