MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28
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MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28

MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28

MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28

Photo Credit: © Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds (50-54, fourth in the NL Central) face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (53-52, fourth in the AL East) in a crucial matchup at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida on Sunday, July 28th, 2024, at 11:35 a.m. EDT. Both teams are aiming to secure a series win with a victory in this game. The Reds, with a 25-26 road record, and the Rays, with a 28-28 home record, have shown flashes of brilliance but have struggled with consistency. The Reds are coming off a loss (4-0) against the Rays, while the Rays managed to even the series with that win.

Historically, these teams have been well-matched, making each game a nail-biter. The Reds' hitters have a collective .392 slugging percentage, ranking them 10th in the NL, while the Rays have gone 32-6 in games where they’ve scored at least five runs, indicating their offensive prowess. Key performers like Isaac Paredes for the Rays, who has 16 home runs and 55 RBIs, and Spencer Steer for the Reds, who has 15 home runs and 64 RBIs, will be crucial in this matchup.

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Player Prop Odds

For Taylor Walls in tonight's game, the player prop odds are as follows:

  • Batter Hits 0.5: Over +115, Under -160
  • Batter RBIs 0.5: Over +310, Under -475
  • Batter Runs Scored 0.5: Over +200, Under -280
  • Batter Singles 0.5: Over +210, Under -300
  • Batter Total Bases 0.5: Over +115, Under -160

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Player Analysis

Taylor Walls has been a steady contributor to the Rays' lineup. Although his batting average sits at .230, Walls has shown flashes of brilliance, especially in high-leverage situations. Over the past 10 games, Walls has been getting on base, contributing to the Rays' offense with timely hits and smart base running. Given his recent form, Walls is poised to make an impact in this crucial matchup against the Reds.

Opposing Analysis

The Reds will be starting Hunter Greene, who boasts a 7-4 record with a 3.14 ERA and 133 strikeouts this season. Greene has been a dominant force on the mound, making it challenging for opposing hitters to get on base. However, the Rays' lineup has shown resilience and the ability to adapt, making it a potentially exciting contest between Greene's pitching and the Rays' hitting.

Pitching Probables

Player W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Hunter Greene (CIN) 7-4 3.14 1.09 117.1 80 133 48 10
Shawn Armstrong (TB) 2-2 5.64 1.61 44.2 53 49 19 5

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Team Previews

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have had an up-and-down season, currently standing at 50-54. Their hitting has been inconsistent, with a team batting average of .234, ranking them 23rd in the league. However, their pitching has shown promise, especially their bullpen, which is tied for 4th in saves with 33. The Reds will rely heavily on their starting pitcher, Hunter Greene, to keep the Rays' offense in check.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays are slightly ahead in their division with a 53-52 record. Their offensive numbers are somewhat deceptive, with a team batting average of .230, ranking them 28th, but they have shown the capability to score runs in bunches. Their pitching staff, led by Shawn Armstrong, has struggled at times, with Armstrong holding a 5.64 ERA. The Rays' bullpen will need to step up to support their starting pitchers.

Team Injuries

Player Position Updated Injury Injury Status
Peyton Burdick RF Sun, Jul 28 Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
Luke Maile C Sun, Jul 28 Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 28

Recent Games

Cincinnati Reds

DATE OPPONENT RESULT W-L WIN LOSS SAVE ATT
Fri, Jul 19 @ Washington L8-5 47-51 Corbin 2-9 Montas 4-8 Finnegan 26 38402
Sat, Jul 20 @ Washington L5-4 47-52 Law 6-2 Wilson 1-2 Finnegan 27 32734
Sun, Jul 21 @ Washington L5-2 47-53 Garcia 2-3 Sims 1-4 Finnegan 28 23967
Mon, Jul 22 @ Atlanta W4-1 48-53 Greene 7-4 Lopez 7-4 NaN 38779
Tue, Jul 23 @ Atlanta Postponed Postponed Postponed Postponed Postponed Postponed
Wed, Jul 24 @ Atlanta W9-4 49-53 Moll 2-1 Winans 0-2 NaN 34407
Wed, Jul 24 @ Atlanta Postponed Postponed Postponed Postponed Postponed
Fri, Jul 26 @ Tampa Bay W3-2 F/10 50-53 Martinez 4-5 Rodriguez 1-2 Diaz 20 20441
Sat, Jul 27 @ Tampa Bay L4-0 50-54 Littell 4-7 Abbott 9-7 NaN 23464

Tampa Bay Rays

DATE OPPONENT RESULT W-L WIN LOSS SAVE ATT
Fri, Jul 19 @ New York L6-1 48-49 Cole 3-1 Eflin 5-7 NaN 47036
Sat, Jul 20 @ New York W9-1 49-49 Bradley 5-4 Cortes 4-9 NaN 43173
Sun, Jul 21 @ New York W6-4 50-49 Cleavinger 6-2 Stroman 7-5 Fairbanks 18 45178
Mon, Jul 22 @ New York L9-1 50-50 Rodon 10-7 Littell 3-7 NaN 40824
Tue, Jul 23 @ Toronto W4-2 51-50 Alexander 3-3 Berrios 8-8 Fairbanks 19 38575
Wed, Jul 24 @ Toronto L6-3 51-51 Cabrera 3-2 Adam 4-2 NaN 32276
Thu, Jul 25 @ Toronto W13-0 52-51 Bradley 6-4 Bassitt 8-9 NaN 41148
Fri, Jul 26 vs Cincinnati L3-2 F/10 52-52 Martinez 4-5 Rodriguez 1-2 Diaz 20 20441
Sat, Jul 27 vs Cincinnati W4-0 53-52 Littell 4-7 Abbott 9-7 NaN 23464

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Prediction

Pick: Over 0.5 Batter Hits for Taylor Walls (+115)

Taylor Walls has been consistent in getting on base recently, and with Hunter Greene on the mound for the Reds, it presents an opportunity for Walls to capitalize on any mistakes. Betting on Walls to get at least one hit at +115 provides good value given his current form and the Reds' pitching staff's occasional inconsistency. With the Rays' offense clicking, Walls should find himself in favorable hitting situations.

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