MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/26

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 25, 2024, 9:53:58 PM
MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/26
Photo Credit: © Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds face off against the Tampa Bay Rays on July 26 at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. This matchup promises to be an intriguing one as both teams are looking to gain momentum in the latter half of the season. The Reds currently hold a record of 52-51, while the Rays stand at 49-53. The Reds have been mediocre on the road with a 25-24 record, and the Rays have almost an identical home record of 25-28.
The Reds have recently seen a mix of fortunes, winning two of their last five games. They recently defeated the Atlanta Braves twice in a row, showcasing their resilience. The Rays, on the other hand, have also had a mixed bag of results but recently scored a massive 13-0 win against the Toronto Blue Jays. This shows their potential for explosive performances.
Historically, the Reds and Rays have had limited encounters, making this game even more interesting as both teams are relatively unfamiliar with each other. The game will feature starting pitchers Nick Lodolo for the Reds and Shane Baz for the Rays. Both pitchers have had their moments this season, and their performances will be crucial in determining the outcome of this game.
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Player Prop Odds
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- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+310), Under 0.5 (-475)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+190), Under 1.5 (-270)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+265), Under 0.5 (-390)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+110), Under 0.5 (-150)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-155), Under 0.5 (+115)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+475), Under 0.5 (-900)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+115), Under 1.5 (-155)
Player Analysis
Amed Rosario has been a consistent performer for the Reds this season. Rosario has shown his ability to get on base with his batting average sitting around .271. His speed also makes him a threat on the bases, which is reflected in his stolen base stats. With 18 home runs and 64 RBIs, Rosario is an essential part of the Reds' lineup.
Recently, Rosario has been in good form, contributing significantly to the Reds' offense. In the last few games, he has managed to get multiple hits and has also driven in crucial runs. His ability to hit both singles and doubles makes him a versatile player, and his odds of getting over 1.5 hits or total bases are quite appealing.
Opposing Analysis
Shane Baz, the starting pitcher for the Rays, has had a mixed season so far. With an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.76, Baz has shown potential but has also struggled at times. In his limited innings this season, he has struck out 12 batters but has also allowed 17 hits and 7 walks. The Reds' lineup, featuring strong hitters like Rosario, could pose a significant challenge for Baz.
The Rays' bullpen has been relatively solid, but they will need Baz to deliver a strong performance to keep the Reds' hitters at bay. Given Rosario's current form and Baz's inconsistency, Rosario has a good chance of performing well in this game.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 8-3 | 3.51 | 89 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 0-1 | 3.95 | 12 |
Team Previews
The Cincinnati Reds have had a roller-coaster season, sitting at 52-51. Their offense has been subpar, ranking 27th in runs scored and 23rd in batting average. However, their pitching staff has been more reliable, with a team ERA of 4.21, ranking 22nd in the league. The Reds' bullpen has been a strong point, with 33 saves, ranking 4th in the league.
The Tampa Bay Rays have also struggled offensively, ranking 28th in both hits and batting average. However, their pitching has been more consistent, with a team ERA of 3.86, ranking 13th in the league. The Rays' defense has been shaky at times, ranking 4th in errors with 65 on the season.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Williamson | SP | Wed, Jul 24 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 |
| Luke Maile | C | Wed, Jul 24 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Lovelady | RP | Wed, Jul 24 | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Wander Franco | SS | Wed, Jul 24 | Personal | Out for the season |
Recent Games
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| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Washington | L8-5 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Washington | L5-4 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Washington | L5-2 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Atlanta | W4-1 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Atlanta | Postponed | P |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ New York | L6-1 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ New York | W9-1 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ New York | W6-4 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ New York | L9-1 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Toronto | W4-2 | W |
Prediction
Given Amed Rosario's recent form and the inconsistency of Shane Baz, our expert prediction is for Rosario to go over 1.5 total bases (+115). Rosario has been a consistent performer for the Reds and has a good chance to capitalize on Baz's struggles.
Pick: Over 1.5 total bases (+115)
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