MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds 7/29
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds will host the Chicago Cubs in the opening game of a three-game series at Great American Ball Park on Monday, July 29th, 2024. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Reds come into this matchup with a 50-55 record, placing them fifth in the NL Central division. They have struggled at home with a 25-28 record but have shown resilience, especially when their offense is firing on all cylinders. Cincinnati has a remarkable 35-8 record when scoring at least five runs.
On the other hand, the Chicago Cubs hold a 51-56 record, putting them in fourth place in the same division. The Cubs have had issues on the road, posting a 24-31 record away from Wrigley Field. Nevertheless, Chicago has been formidable when their bats are hot, boasting a 20-6 record in games where they hit at least two home runs. Historically, the Reds have had the upper hand in this season series, leading 5-2.
This game will feature an intriguing pitching matchup between Jameson Taillon of the Cubs and Carson Spiers of the Reds. Both pitchers have had solid performances this season, making this a must-watch game for MLB fans and bettors alike.
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Player Prop Odds
Mike Tauchman - Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+311), Under 0.5 (-504)
Mike Tauchman - Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+184), Under 0.5 (-264)
Mike Tauchman - Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+110), Under 0.5 (-151)
Mike Tauchman - Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-103), Under 0.5 (-133)
Mike Tauchman - Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+139), Under 1.5 (-194)
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Player Analysis
Mike Tauchman has been a consistent performer for the Chicago Cubs this season. Known for his versatility and ability to get on base, Tauchman has been an integral part of the Cubs' lineup. He has a batting average of .268, with 16 home runs and 60 RBIs, making him one of the key contributors to the Cubs' offensive efforts. Tauchman's ability to draw walks and his discipline at the plate make him a threat in any at-bat. Over the last 10 games, Tauchman has continued to perform well, maintaining a steady presence in the Cubs' batting order.
Opposing Analysis
Carson Spiers, the rookie pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds, will be facing the Cubs. Spiers has a 3-2 record with a 3.83 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in 47 innings pitched. While he has shown promise, Spiers has also had his struggles, particularly with control, as evidenced by his nine walks and five home runs allowed. The Cubs' lineup, featuring power hitters like Ian Happ and Patrick Wisdom, could pose significant challenges for Spiers, especially if they can capitalize on his occasional lapses in command.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (Cubs) | 7-5 | 2.96 | 1.15 | 100.1 | 94 | 78 | 21 | 12 |
| Carson Spiers (Reds) | 3-2 | 3.83 | 1.26 | 47.0 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 5 |
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
Hitting: The Cubs have a team batting average of .228, ranking 28th in the league. They have accumulated 785 hits and scored 460 runs this season. Key players include Ian Happ, who leads the team with 40 extra-base hits, and Patrick Wisdom, who has been hot recently with three home runs and six RBIs in the last 10 games.
Relief Pitching: The Cubs' bullpen has been reliable, with 22 saves, ranking 24th in the league. Their overall ERA is 3.83, placing them 11th in MLB.
Fielding: Chicago has committed 65 errors this season, ranking 4th in MLB, indicating solid defensive capabilities.
Starting Pitchers: Jameson Taillon has been a standout with a 2.96 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in 100.1 innings pitched.
Cincinnati Reds
Hitting: The Reds have a team batting average of .233, ranking 24th in MLB. They have accumulated 830 hits and scored 440 runs. Key players include Spencer Steer, who has 24 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs, and 64 RBIs, and Elly De La Cruz, who has been hot over the last 10 games with two doubles, a triple, and three home runs.
Relief Pitching: Cincinnati's bullpen has recorded 23 saves, ranking 22nd in the league. Their overall ERA is 3.72, which is 6th best in MLB.
Fielding: The Reds have committed 53 errors this season, ranking 19th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Carson Spiers, although a rookie, has shown promise with a 3.83 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 47 innings.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 | Shoulder |
| Peyton Burdick | RF | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 | Undisclosed |
| Luke Maile | C | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 | Back |
| Carson Spiers | SP | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 | Shoulder |
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona | L 5-2 | L |
| vs Arizona | L 3-0 | L |
| vs Arizona | W 2-1 F/10 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | W 3-1 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | L 1-0 | L |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Given Mike Tauchman's recent form and the favorable matchup against Carson Spiers, betting on Tauchman to exceed 1.5 total bases at +139 odds offers good value. Tauchman's ability to get on base and his power potential make this prop bet an attractive option.
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