MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Braves vs Mets 7/25

MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Braves vs Mets 7/25

Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves (54-46), currently holding second place in the NL East, will face off against the New York Mets (53-48), who stand third in the same division. This exciting matchup will take place at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on Thursday, July 25th at 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Braves are on a four-game losing streak and are looking to bounce back with a win against a divisional rival.

The Mets have split their season series with the Braves, tied at 3-3. The Mets have performed decently at home with a .500 record (26-26), while the Braves have struggled slightly on the road with a 24-25 record. The Braves hitters have a batting average of .241, ranking 10th in the NL, while the Mets have a collective batting average of .259, led by superstar Francisco Lindor.

Lindor has been a standout for the Mets, boasting a .259 batting average, 27 doubles, 21 home runs, 40 walks, and 60 RBIs. He has been particularly hot over the last 10 games, going 17-for-37 with two home runs and five RBIs. For the Braves, Marcell Ozuna leads with 48 extra-base hits, including 28 home runs, and Travis d'Arnaud has been impressive with a .370 average over the last 10 games.

On the mound, the Braves will start Chris Sale (13-3, 2.70 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 140 strikeouts), while the Mets will counter with Luis Severino (7-3, 3.58 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 88 strikeouts). Both pitchers have been effective this season, making this a potentially low-scoring game.

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Player Prop Odds

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Francisco Lindor:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+270)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+420)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+190)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-110)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-105)
• Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+430)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+120)

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Player Analysis

Francisco Lindor has been a key player for the Mets this season, providing both power and consistency at the plate. With a .259 batting average, Lindor has 21 home runs and 63 RBIs, making him a constant threat to opposing pitchers. Over the past 10 games, Lindor has been red-hot, batting .459 with two home runs and five RBIs. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset for the Mets.

Lindor's performance against the Braves this season has been impressive. He has shown the ability to hit for power and average, making him a potential candidate to exceed his player prop lines. With the Braves' pitching staff struggling in recent games, Lindor has an excellent opportunity to capitalize on their weaknesses.

Opposing Analysis

The Braves' pitching staff, led by Chris Sale, has been effective overall, but they have shown signs of vulnerability. Sale, with a 2.70 ERA and 140 strikeouts, will pose a significant challenge for Lindor. However, Sale has allowed 7 home runs this season, and Lindor's power could exploit this weakness.

The Braves bullpen has also been inconsistent, ranking 20th in the league with a 4.18 ERA. This inconsistency could provide Lindor with additional opportunities to drive in runs and exceed his player prop lines.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Chris Sale (ATL)	13-3	2.70	0.95	110.0	81	140	24	7
Luis Severino (NYM)	7-3	3.58	1.18	115.2	96	88	40	12

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

The Braves have struggled recently, losing their last four games. Offensively, the team ranks 6th in the league in runs scored (493) and 10th in batting average (.251). Marcell Ozuna has been their most consistent power hitter, with 28 home runs and 80 RBIs. Travis d'Arnaud has also been a key contributor, especially in the last 10 games.

Hitting

Braves hitters are collectively batting .241, which puts them 10th in the NL. The team has shown power with 28 home runs from Marcell Ozuna, and Francisco Lindor has been a significant contributor with a .259 batting average.

Relief Pitching

The Braves' bullpen has been inconsistent, ranking 20th in ERA (4.18). They need to tighten up their performance to support their starting pitchers.

Fielding

Defensively, the Braves have committed 70 errors, ranking 3rd in the league. Improved fielding will be crucial in their efforts to end their losing streak.

New York Mets

The Mets have been performing well recently, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They have a balanced team with strong contributions from both their hitters and pitchers. Francisco Lindor has been a standout player, leading the team in several offensive categories.

Hitting

The Mets have a batting average of .259, led by Francisco Lindor. The team has shown power, hitting 21 home runs, and has been effective in driving in runs.

Relief Pitching

The Mets' bullpen has been solid, ranking 3rd in ERA (3.52). This strong performance has helped the team close out games effectively.

Fielding

Defensively, the Mets have committed 42 errors, ranking 29th in the league. They need to improve their fielding to support their pitchers and maintain their winning form.

Team Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Michael Harris II	CF	Wed, Jul 24	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
Ozzie Albies	2B	Wed, Jul 24	Wrist	10-Day IL

New York Mets

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Harrison Bader	CF	Thu, Jul 25	Ankle	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26

Recent Games

Atlanta Braves

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Wed, Jul 24	vs Cincinnati	L9-4	54-46	Moll 2-1	Winans 0-2	NaN	34407
Mon, Jul 22	vs Cincinnati	L4-1	54-45	Greene 7-4	Lopez 7-4	NaN	38779
Sun, Jul 21	vs St. Louis	L6-2	54-44	Mikolas 8-8	Schwellenbach 3-5	NaN	36348
Sat, Jul 20	vs St. Louis	L9-5	54-43	Gray 10-6	Elder 1-4	Leahy 1	42168
Sat, Jul 20	vs St. Louis	W3-2 F/10	54-42	Johnson 3-1	Roycroft 1-2	NaN	37042

New York Mets

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Wed, Jul 24	@ Miami	W12-3	53-48	Ottavino 2-2	Cole 3-2	NaN	48760
Tue, Jul 23	@ Miami	W3-2	52-48	Quintana 5-6	Tonkin 3-4	Diekman 4	47453
Mon, Jul 22	@ Miami	W6-4	51-48	Peterson 5-0	Chirinos 0-2	Diaz 12	13068
Sun, Jul 21	@ Miami	L4-2	50-48	Cronin 2-2	Scott 0-3	Scott 16	19418
Sat, Jul 20	@ Miami	W1-0	50-47	Severino 7-3	Munoz 1-5	Diaz 11	21902

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Prediction