MLB Player Props Expert Advice: Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/29

- Mr Wager
- Jul 29, 2024, 5:30:12 AM
MLB Player Props Expert Advice: Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/29
Photo Credit: © Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Washington Nationals (49-57, fourth in the NL East) square off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (55-51, third in the NL West) at Chase Field in Phoenix on Monday at 9:40 p.m. EDT. This game marks the beginning of a three-game series between these two teams.
Arizona enters the series with a 55-51 overall record and a 28-25 record at home. The Diamondbacks have been strong offensively, evidenced by their 45-20 record when recording eight or more hits. Washington, meanwhile, has struggled on the road with a 26-30 record and an overall record of 49-57. The Nationals, however, have shown resilience, going 35-13 in games where they scored five or more runs.
The Diamondbacks and Nationals have already faced each other three times this season, making this their fourth meeting. Key players for the Diamondbacks include Ketel Marte, who boasts a .296 batting average, 20 doubles, two triples, and 23 home runs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has also been hot, going 11-for-39 with a home run and an RBI in his last 10 games. On the Nationals' side, Luis Garcia leads with a .276 batting average, 18 doubles, a triple, and 11 home runs. Juan Yepez is another standout, hitting 14-for-38 with two home runs and 12 RBI over the last 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
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Trey Lipscomb Player Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+430)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+270)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+180)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+130)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-135)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+430)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+145)
Player Analysis
Trey Lipscomb has been a critical component of the Nationals' lineup, though his performance has been somewhat inconsistent this season. Lipscomb is known for his ability to hit for power and his knack for driving in runs. He has a modest .276 batting average, with 18 doubles, one triple, and 11 home runs to his name this season.
In his recent games, Lipscomb has been showing signs of improvement. Over the last 10 games, he has notched 14 hits in 38 at-bats, including two home runs and 12 RBI. His ability to get on base and produce runs makes him a valuable asset for any prop bet.
Opposing Analysis
Jordan Montgomery, the probable starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, has struggled this season with a 6.11 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP. In 70.2 innings pitched, Montgomery has allowed 90 hits and 24 walks while striking out 47 batters. His inconsistency on the mound has made him vulnerable, especially against hitters who can capitalize on his mistakes.
The Nationals' offense, led by Lipscomb, will look to exploit Montgomery's weaknesses. Given Montgomery's tendency to give up hits, Lipscomb has a good chance to rack up bases and potentially drive in runs.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Parker (WSH) | 5-6 | 4.34 | 1.21 | 95.1 | 91 | 81 | 24 | 13 |
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 7-5 | 6.11 | 1.61 | 70.2 | 90 | 47 | 24 | 8 |
Team Previews
Washington Nationals
The Nationals have been inconsistent this season, sitting with a 49-57 record. Despite their struggles, they have shown the ability to score runs in bunches, especially when their key players are performing well. As a team, they rank 7th in batting average (.253) and 3rd in runs scored (527). However, their pitching has been a weak point, with a team ERA of 4.50, ranking 26th in the league.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have been slightly better, with a 55-51 record. Offensively, they have been solid, ranking 18th in hits (841) and 19th in runs scored (450). Their pitching has also been a concern, with a team ERA of 4.21, ranking 22nd in the league. Defensively, they have committed 59 errors, which is tied for 9th most in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Weems | RP | Lower Leg | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Cade Cavalli | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 15 |
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Cincinnati | W 8-5 | W |
| vs Cincinnati | W 5-4 | W |
| vs Cincinnati | W 5-2 | W |
| vs San Diego | L 4-0 | L |
| vs San Diego | L 12-3 | L |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W 5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | L 2-1 F/10 | L |
| @ Kansas City | L 10-4 | L |
| @ Kansas City | W 6-2 | W |
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Prediction
Given Trey Lipscomb's recent form and Jordan Montgomery's struggles on the mound, betting on Lipscomb to exceed 1.5 total bases at +145 seems like a valuable pick. His ability to get hits and Montgomery's susceptibility to giving them up make this a promising bet.
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