MLB Player Props Expert Advice: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26
- Mr Wager
- Jul 26, 2024, 9:30:53 AM
MLB Player Props Expert Advice: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26
Photo Credit: © Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks (53-50) are set to host the Pittsburgh Pirates (52-50) in the first game of a three-game series at Chase Field, Phoenix, on Friday, July 26, at 9:40 PM EDT. Both teams are currently third in their respective divisions, the NL West for the Diamondbacks and the NL Central for the Pirates.
The Diamondbacks have been solid at home with a 26-24 record and boast the ninth-best team slugging percentage in MLB at .410. Their recent form has been strong, winning seven of their last ten games, including an impressive .246 batting average and a 3.33 ERA during this stretch.
The Pirates have mirrored this success on the road, also holding a 26-24 away record. They have won eight of their last ten games, outscoring opponents by 16 runs, with a .256 batting average and a stellar 2.10 ERA over that period. Notably, the Pirates have an outstanding 38-4 record in games where they out-hit their opponents.
This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season, adding an extra layer of intrigue and unpredictability to the matchup. Arizona's Christian Walker, who leads the team with 43 extra-base hits, and Ketel Marte, who is on a hot streak with four home runs and 12 RBIs in the last ten games, will be key players to watch. For the Pirates, Connor Joe and Oneil Cruz have been in good form, with Cruz hitting five doubles and two home runs in the last ten games.
The Diamondbacks are favored with a moneyline of -172, while the Pirates are at +144. The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 runs.
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Player Prop Odds
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Here are the prop odds for Lourdes Gurriel Jr.:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+320)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+220)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+140)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-145)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+115)
Player Analysis
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been a consistent performer for the Diamondbacks this season. He is hitting .275 with an OPS of .820, showcasing his ability to get on base and contribute to the team's offense. Gurriel Jr. has also shown power, with 15 home runs and 51 RBIs, making him a threat in the middle of the lineup. His recent form has been impressive, and his ability to hit for both power and average makes him a valuable asset for Arizona.
Opposing Analysis
The Pirates' pitching staff will have their hands full with Gurriel Jr. and the rest of the Diamondbacks' lineup. Pittsburgh's probable starter, Luis Ortiz, has been solid this season with a 5-2 record, a 2.57 ERA, and a 1.11 WHIP. However, Ortiz will need to be at his best to navigate through a Diamondbacks lineup that includes other dangerous hitters like Christian Walker and Ketel Marte.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ortiz (PIT) | 5-2 | 2.57 | 1.11 | 73.2 | 61 | 59 | 21 | 3 |
| Z. Gallen (ARI) | 7-5 | 3.64 | 1.25 | 81.2 | 75 | 80 | 27 | 8 |
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Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have been a solid team this season, with a 53-50 record overall. Their offense is led by Christian Walker, who has 23 home runs and 70 RBIs, and Ketel Marte, who is hitting .296. Arizona's pitching staff has been reliable, with Zac Gallen leading the way with a 7-5 record and a 3.64 ERA. The Diamondbacks' bullpen has also been effective, with 26 saves on the season.
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have also been competitive, with a 52-50 record. Their offense is led by Connor Joe, who has 18 doubles and 30 RBIs, and Oneil Cruz, who has been hot recently with five doubles and two home runs in the last ten games. On the pitching side, Luis Ortiz has been impressive with a 2.57 ERA, and the Pirates' bullpen has contributed 23 saves.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Walston | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Kyle Nelson | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Drey Jameson | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Falter | RP | Arm | 15-Day IL |
| Daulton Jefferies | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Jared Jones | RP | Lat | 15-Day IL |
| Hunter Stratton | RP | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Tricep | 60-Day IL |
| Dauri Moreta | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Endy Rodriguez | C | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Johan Oviedo | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | 5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | 3-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | 1-2 | L |
| @ Kansas City | 4-10 | L |
| @ Kansas City | 6-2 | W |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | 8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | 4-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | 0-6 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 2-1 | W |
| vs St. Louis | 1-2 | L |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been in good form and has the ability to get multiple hits in a game. With the favorable odds for over 1.5 total bases at +115, this prop bet offers good value. Considering his recent performance and the matchup against Luis Ortiz, who has been solid but not untouchable, Gurriel Jr. has a good chance to exceed this total.
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