MLB Player Props Expert Advice: Orioles vs Marlins 7/25

- Mr Wager
- Jul 25, 2024, 8:29:02 AM
MLB Player Props Expert Advice: Orioles vs Marlins 7/25
Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles will be looking to break their three-game road losing streak as they face off against the Miami Marlins on July 25, 2024, at loanDepot Park in Miami, Florida. The first pitch is scheduled for 12:10 PM EDT. The Orioles, who are currently first in the AL East with a 60-41 record, have been struggling on the road, holding a 30-19 away record. They come into this matchup with the seventh-best team batting average in MLB at .252. On the other hand, the Marlins sit at the bottom of the NL East with a 37-65 record and have been better at home with a 22-33 record. They boast a strong record of 27-12 in games where they have more hits than their opponents.
In their previous matchups this season, the Orioles and Marlins have each shown their strengths and weaknesses. The Marlins have recently secured back-to-back wins against the Orioles with a 6-3 scoreline in both games. With Corbin Burnes (10-4, 2.38 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 116 strikeouts) taking the mound for the Orioles and Roddery Munoz (1-5, 5.14 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 47 strikeouts) pitching for the Marlins, the game promises to be an intriguing battle of pitching prowess and offensive potential.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Gunnar Henderson:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+255)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+185)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+390)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 1.5 (+340)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-120)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+450)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-135)
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Player Analysis
Gunnar Henderson has been a standout performer for the Orioles this season. He leads the team with a .285 batting average and has amassed 19 doubles, five triples, 28 home runs, 50 walks, and 63 RBIs. His consistent performance at the plate has been a crucial factor in the Orioles' success, especially his ability to get on base and drive in runs.
Over the last 10 games, Henderson has maintained his form, contributing significantly to the Orioles' offense. Given his current statistics and the odds provided, betting on Henderson to hit over 1.5 total bases at -135 seems like a solid choice. Additionally, considering his power-hitting ability, a bet on him to hit a home run at +390 could offer substantial value.
Opposing Analysis
Roddery Munoz, the Marlins' probable starting pitcher, has had a challenging season so far. With a 1-5 record, a 5.14 ERA, and a 1.39 WHIP, Munoz has struggled to keep opposing hitters in check. He has allowed 49 hits, 29 walks, and 15 home runs over 56 innings pitched, which indicates that he is prone to giving up big hits. This bodes well for a power hitter like Gunnar Henderson, who could capitalize on Munoz's vulnerabilities.
The Marlins' bullpen has also been inconsistent. While they have shown flashes of competence, their overall performance has left much to be desired. This further increases the likelihood of Henderson having a productive game at the plate.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 10-4 | 2.38 | 1.04 | 124.2 | 101 | 116 | 29 | 14 |
| Roddery Munoz (MIA) | 1-5 | 5.14 | 1.39 | 56.0 | 49 | 47 | 29 | 15 |
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Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles' offense has been one of their strengths this season. With a team batting average of .252, they rank seventh in MLB. Gunnar Henderson has been a key contributor, alongside Anthony Santander, who has been in great form recently, going 13-for-40 with four home runs and nine RBIs over the past 10 games. Despite their recent struggles, the Orioles' lineup remains potent and capable of turning the game around.
The Orioles' pitching, led by Corbin Burnes, has been solid. Burnes has a 10-4 record, a 2.38 ERA, and 116 strikeouts over 124.2 innings. His performance will be crucial in keeping the Marlins' hitters at bay.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins, while struggling overall, have shown they can be competitive, especially at home. Jazz Chisholm has been a standout with 14 doubles, four triples, and 13 home runs. Xavier Edwards has also been in great form, going 14-for-33 with a double over the last 10 games.
However, the Marlins' pitching, particularly their bullpen, has been inconsistent. Roddery Munoz, with his 5.14 ERA, will need to be at his best to contain the Orioles' hitters. The Marlins' defense will also need to step up, given their high error count this season.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | 2B | Day-to-day (Elbow) |
| Albert Suarez | RP | Day-to-day (Shin) |
| Danny Coulombe | RP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Kyle Bradish | SP | 60-Day IL (UCL Sprain) |
| Tyler Wells | SP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| John Means | SP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Felix Bautista | RP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers | OF | 10-Day IL (Ankle) |
| Ryan Weathers | SP | 60-Day IL (Finger) |
| Sixto Sanchez | SP | 60-Day IL (Shoulder) |
| Braxton Garrett | SP | 15-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Jesus Luzardo | SP | 60-Day IL (Back) |
| Josh Simpson | RP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Eury Perez | SP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Sandy Alcantara | SP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Texas | W 9-1 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Texas | W 8-4 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Texas | L 3-2 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs New York | L 1-0 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs New York | L 6-4 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
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Prediction
Given the recent form of Gunnar Henderson and the struggles of Roddery Munoz on the mound, our pick is for Gunnar Henderson to exceed 1.5 total bases. His consistent performance and the favorable matchup against Munoz make this a strong bet. Therefore, the prediction is:
Pick: Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (-135)
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