MLB Player Props Expert Advice: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/26

MLB Player Props Expert Advice: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/26

Photo Credit: © Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves are set to face off against the New York Mets on July 26th at Citi Field, Queens, New York. This matchup is critical as both teams are neck-and-neck in the NL East standings. The Braves enter the game with a 54-47 record, placing them second in the division, while the Mets hold a 54-48 record, just a half-game behind in third place. The Braves are looking to break a five-game losing streak, while the Mets aim to extend their winning momentum.

Historically, the Mets have had the upper hand in this season's matchups, leading the series 4-3. However, the Braves have showcased their power game by ranking fourth in the NL with 115 home runs. The Mets, on the other hand, have demonstrated resilience, especially when scoring five or more runs, boasting a 37-15 record in such games.

In their last 10 games, the Mets have been in better form with a 7-3 record, a .249 batting average, and a 3.84 ERA. In contrast, the Braves have struggled, posting a 3-7 record with a .219 batting average and a 4.04 ERA. Key players to watch include Francisco Lindor for the Mets, who has 22 home runs and 27 doubles, and Marcell Ozuna for the Braves, who has 28 home runs and an impressive .305 batting average.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are the odds for Mark Vientos' player props in the upcoming game:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450)
• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-175)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+175)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+155)

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Player Analysis: Mark Vientos

Mark Vientos has been a solid contributor to the Mets' batting lineup. His ability to make contact and drive in runs has been a crucial element for the team. Vientos has shown a penchant for hitting key singles and doubles, and his prop odds reflect his potential to impact the game significantly. With an over/under of 0.5 hits at -175, the bookmakers are expecting him to get on base at least once. Additionally, the over/under of 0.5 total bases at +155 suggests that Vientos could be a valuable asset in accumulating bases, whether through singles, doubles, or even home runs.

Opposing Analysis

Charlie Morton of the Braves will be taking the mound against the Mets. Morton has had a decent season with a 5-5 record, a 3.92 ERA, and 101 strikeouts in 103.1 innings pitched. However, Morton's tendency to allow 1.22 WHIP and his 11 home runs conceded indicate that he is susceptible to giving up hits, which could play into Vientos' favor. The Braves' bullpen has also been inconsistent, which could further benefit Vientos in the later innings.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Charlie Morton (ATL)	5-5	3.92	1.22	103.1	87	101	39	11
Kodai Senga (NYM)	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

The Braves' offense has been powered by Marcell Ozuna, who leads the team with 28 home runs and 80 RBIs. Austin Riley has also been productive, contributing with doubles and timely hits. The Braves are ranked 9th in hits (876) and 6th in runs (496), but their .249 batting average ranks 11th in the league. The Braves' pitching staff, led by Charlie Morton, has an ERA of 4.15, ranking them 20th overall.

New York Mets

The Mets have a balanced lineup with Francisco Lindor leading the charge with 22 home runs and 63 RBIs. The team has a .240 batting average and ranks 17th in hits (818) and tied-20th in runs (424). The Mets' pitching staff has been more effective, boasting a 3.50 ERA, which ranks 3rd in the league. The team's bullpen has been reliable, contributing to their 26 saves, ranking them tied-13th.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Michael Harris II	OF	60-Day IL (hamstring)
Ozzie Albies	2B	10-Day IL (wrist)
Harrison Bader	OF	Day-to-day (ankle)
Christian Scott	RP	15-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

Atlanta Braves

Opponent	Score	Result
@ New York Mets	2-3	L
vs Cincinnati Reds	4-9	L
vs Cincinnati Reds	1-4	L
vs St. Louis Cardinals	2-6	L
vs St. Louis Cardinals	5-9	L

New York Mets

Opponent	Score	Result
vs Atlanta Braves	3-2	W
@ New York Yankees	12-3	W
@ New York Yankees	3-2	W
@ Miami Marlins	6-4	W
@ Miami Marlins	1-0	W

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Prediction

Given the current form of both teams and the pitching matchup, it appears that Mark Vientos has favorable conditions to perform well. Considering Charlie Morton's struggles with allowing hits and the Braves' inconsistent bullpen, Vientos is likely to get on base. Therefore, our pick is:

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