MLB Player Props Betting Tips: Yankees vs Red Sox 7/26

- Mr Wager
- Jul 26, 2024, 9:01:44 AM
MLB Player Props Betting Tips: Yankees vs Red Sox 7/26
Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The New York Yankees (60-44, second in the AL East) will visit the Boston Red Sox (54-47, third in the AL East) at Fenway Park on Friday, July 26, 2025, to start a three-game series. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM EDT. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they battle for playoff positioning within the highly competitive AL East.
In their recent performances, the Red Sox have a 4-6 record over their last 10 games, hitting .289 with a 4.88 ERA but being outscored by seven runs. The Yankees share an identical 4-6 record in their last 10, hitting .244 with a 3.98 ERA, and have been outscored by one run. Historically, the Red Sox have a slight advantage this season, leading the season series 4-2. However, New York's robust road record of 33-21 could play a significant role in this series.
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Player Prop Odds
Jamie Westbrook:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+420)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-125)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+210)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+135)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+160)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+195)
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Player Analysis
Jamie Westbrook has been a versatile player for the Yankees this season, contributing both offensively and defensively. While not among the top-tier power hitters, Westbrook has been consistent in getting on base and hitting for average. This season, he has maintained a batting average around .280 with moderate power, providing a mix of doubles and singles. His ability to drive in runs and score when on base makes him a valuable asset in this lineup.
Opposing Analysis
Facing Brayan Bello of the Red Sox, Westbrook has a favorable matchup. Bello has struggled this season with a 5.27 ERA and a WHIP of 1.44 over 95.2 innings pitched. Given Bello's tendency to allow base runners and struggle with command, Westbrook's chances of hitting safely increase. Bello's high walk rate also suggests that there might be additional opportunities for Westbrook to score runs and contribute to the Yankees' offensive efforts.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Cortes (NYY) | 4-9 | 3.99 | 1.16 | 119.2 | 115 | 111 | 24 | 19 |
| B. Bello (BOS) | 10-5 | 5.27 | 1.44 | 95.2 | 104 | 92 | 34 | 15 |
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Team Previews
New York Yankees
- Hitting: The Yankees rank 4th in the league with 897 hits, featuring a collective .257 batting average. Key hitters include Juan Soto (.311, 26 HR, 72 RBI) and Gleyber Torres (.244, 2 HR, 3 RBI in last 10 games).
- Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been solid, with 26 saves, ranking them 13th in the majors.
- Fielding: Defensively, the Yankees have committed 74 errors, tied for 1st in the league.
- Starting Pitchers: Nestor Cortes, with a 3.99 ERA and 111 strikeouts over 119.2 innings, will take the mound for the Yankees.
Boston Red Sox
- Hitting: The Red Sox rank 12th in the league with 855 hits and a collective .247 batting average. Key contributors include Jarren Duran (.310, 12 HR, 30 2B) and Rafael Devers (23 HR, 63 RBI).
- Relief Pitching: The bullpen has also been effective with 27 saves, placing them 10th in the league.
- Fielding: The team has committed 61 errors, tied for 6th in the league.
- Starting Pitchers: Brayan Bello, despite a 5.27 ERA, has managed to secure 10 wins this season.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Stanton | DH | Thu, Jul 25 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| N. Burdi | RP | Thu, Jul 25 | Hip | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
| J. Trevino | C | Thu, Jul 25 | Quadricep | Day-to-day |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Casas | 1B | Thu, Jul 25 | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| V. Grissom | 2B | Thu, Jul 25 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
Recent Games
New York Yankees
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Tampa Bay | W6-1 | 59-40 | Cole 3-1 | Eflin 5-7 | NaN | 47036 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Tampa Bay | L9-1 | 59-41 | Bradley 5-4 | Cortes 4-9 | NaN | 43173 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Tampa Bay | L6-4 | 59-42 | Cleavinger 6-2 | Stroman 7-5 | Fairbanks 18 | 45178 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Tampa Bay | W9-1 | 60-42 | Rodon 10-7 | Littell 3-7 | NaN | 40824 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs New York | L3-2 | 60-43 | Quintana 5-6 | Tonkin 3-4 | Diekman 4 | 47453 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs New York | L12-3 | 60-44 | Ottavino 2-2 | Cole 3-2 | NaN | 48760 |
Boston Red Sox
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Los Angeles | L4-1 | 53-43 | Yarbrough 4-2 | Bernardino 3-3 | Hudson 5 | 51562 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Los Angeles | L7-6 F/11 | 53-44 | Treinen 3-2 | Weissert 2-2 | NaN | 48129 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Los Angeles | L9-6 | 53-45 | Paxton 8-2 | Crawford 6-8 | Hudson 6 | 50824 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Colorado | L9-8 F/12 | 53-46 | Lawrence 3-3 | Horn 0-1 | NaN | 35261 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Colorado | W6-0 | 54-46 | Criswell 4-4 | Blach 3-6 | NaN | 36553 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Colorado | L20-7 | 54-47 | Quantrill 7-7 | Pivetta 4-7 | NaN | 36579 |
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Prediction
Given Jamie Westbrook’s consistent ability to get on base and Brayan Bello’s struggles on the mound, the prop bet for Westbrook to record over 0.5 hits at -125 odds seems a favorable bet. Additionally, considering the Yankees’ collective offensive strength and Bello’s high ERA, Westbrook’s chances of recording a hit and contributing to the Yankees’ offense are high.
Pick: Jamie Westbrook over 0.5 hits (-125)
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