MLB Player Props Betting Tips: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27

MLB Player Props Betting Tips: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27

Photo Credit: © Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

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Game Summary

The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-51, third in the NL Central) will face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (54-50, third in the NL West) at Chase Field in Phoenix on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 8:10 p.m. EDT. The Diamondbacks currently lead the series 1-0 after a closely contested 4-3 victory in the first game. Arizona has a strong home record of 27-24 and a total record of 54-50. They have a remarkable success rate when scoring five or more runs, boasting a 41-10 record in such games.

Conversely, the Pittsburgh Pirates have a nearly balanced road record of 26-25 and an overall record of 52-51. Their pitching staff has been relatively effective, maintaining the sixth-ranked team ERA in the National League at 3.78. Both teams have shown solid recent form, each going 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have a .254 batting average and 3.64 ERA over that span, while the Pirates have posted a .258 batting average and an impressive 2.53 ERA.

Key players to watch include Corbin Carroll for the Diamondbacks, who has 16 doubles, seven triples, six home runs, and 35 RBIs. Ketel Marte has also been on fire, going 14-for-35 with four home runs over the last 10 games. For the Pirates, Oneil Cruz has 21 doubles, a triple, and 15 home runs, while Bryan Reynolds is 14-for-38 with a home run and five RBIs over the last 10 games.

This game promises to be an exciting matchup with both teams looking to secure a crucial victory as they battle for playoff positions.

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Player Prop Odds

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Lourdes Gurriel Jr.:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+250), Under 0.5 (-350)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+185)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+140), Under 0.5 (-190)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+100), Under 0.5 (-135)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-140), Under 0.5 (+110)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-110), Under 1.5 (-120)

Player Analysis

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been a consistent performer for the Arizona Diamondbacks this season. He has shown a balanced skill set, contributing both in terms of power and average. Gurriel Jr. has accumulated 21 doubles, 15 home runs, and 51 RBIs so far this season. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player in the Diamondbacks' lineup.

Over the past 10 games, Gurriel Jr. has been particularly effective, contributing crucial hits and maintaining a high batting average. His versatility in hitting both doubles and home runs adds significant value to the Diamondbacks' offensive strategy.

Opposing Analysis

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a respectable pitching staff, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking them sixth in the National League. However, their bullpen has shown vulnerability in high-pressure situations. Marco Gonzales, the probable starting pitcher for the Pirates, has a 2.70 ERA and has been effective in his limited appearances this season. Gonzales has allowed 28 hits and struck out 19 batters over 26.2 innings pitched.

While Gonzales has been solid, the Pirates' bullpen has been less reliable, which could be a factor in the later innings. This gives an edge to hitters like Lourdes Gurriel Jr., especially in prop bets involving hits and total bases.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	Strikeouts
Marco Gonzales (PIT)	1-1	2.70	1.27	19
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI)	4-6	3.74	1.10	111

Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates

• Hitting: The Pirates have accumulated 888 hits (8th in MLB) and scored 513 runs (3rd in MLB) with a team batting average of .253 (8th in MLB).
• Relief Pitching: The Pirates have recorded 24 saves (19th in MLB) and have a team ERA of 4.49 (26th in MLB).
• Fielding: The Pirates have committed 42 errors (30th in MLB), indicating strong defensive play.
• Starting Pitchers: Marco Gonzales has a 2.70 ERA over 26.2 innings with 19 strikeouts.

Arizona Diamondbacks

• Hitting: The Diamondbacks have 807 hits (26th in MLB) and scored 425 runs (23rd in MLB) with a team batting average of .232 (25th in MLB).
• Relief Pitching: The Diamondbacks have recorded 26 saves (14th in MLB) and have a team ERA of 3.78 (11th in MLB).
• Fielding: The Diamondbacks have committed 50 errors (21st in MLB), indicating room for defensive improvement.
• Starting Pitchers: Brandon Pfaadt has a 3.74 ERA over 120.1 innings with 111 strikeouts.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Blake Walston	RP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Merrill Kelly	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Kyle Nelson	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Drey Jameson	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Player	Position	Injury Status
Bailey Falter	RP	15-Day IL (arm)
Daulton Jefferies	SP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Jared Jones	SP	15-Day IL (lat)
Ryan Borucki	RP	60-Day IL (tricep)
Dauri Moreta	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Endy Rodriguez	C	60-Day IL (elbow)
Johan Oviedo	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

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Opponent	Score	W/L
Philadelphia	8-7	W
Philadelphia	4-1	W
Philadelphia	0-6	L
St. Louis	2-1	W
St. Louis	1-2	L

Opponent	Score	W/L
Chicago	5-2	W
Chicago	3-0	W
Chicago	1-2 (10)	L
Kansas City	4-10	L
Kansas City	6-2	W

Prediction

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