MLB Player Props Betting Tips: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
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MLB Player Props Betting Tips: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

MLB Player Props Betting Tips: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

MLB Player Props Betting Tips: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Photo Credit: © Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves (54-48), third in the NL East, are set to face the New York Mets (55-48), second in the NL East, at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. EDT. The Braves, currently on a six-game losing streak, are desperate to turn their fortunes around. On the other hand, the Mets are riding high on a 5-3 advantage in the season series against the Braves.

Both teams have shown contrasting forms recently. The Mets have a solid home record of 28-26 and have won seven of their last ten games, boasting a .243 batting average and a 3.64 ERA in that span. In contrast, the Braves have struggled with a 24-27 record on the road and have lost seven of their last ten games, managing just a .223 batting average and a 4.54 ERA.

Historically, these teams have had fiercely competitive matchups. The Mets have been particularly effective when scoring five or more runs, holding a 38-15 record in such games. The Braves, however, have an impressive 40-8 record when out-hitting their opponents, indicating that their hitting prowess will be crucial if they hope to break their losing streak.

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Player Prop Odds

Marcell Ozuna Player Props:

  • Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390)
  • Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+250)
  • Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+350)
  • Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+125)
  • Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-145)
  • Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115)
  • Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+110)

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Player Analysis

Marcell Ozuna has been a standout performer for the Braves this season. With a batting average of .308, 20 doubles, 29 home runs, 47 walks, and 81 RBIs, Ozuna has been a consistent force at the plate. Over the last ten games, he has continued to produce, going 11-for-31 with two home runs and eight RBIs.

Ozuna's ability to hit for power and get on base makes him a dangerous hitter in any situation. His high batting average and on-base percentage indicate that he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact. Given his recent form and overall season performance, Ozuna is a strong candidate to hit the over on several of his player prop bets.

Opposing Analysis

The Mets' pitching staff will have their hands full containing Ozuna. Tylor Megill, the probable starter for the Mets, has an ERA of 5.08 and has struggled with consistency this season. In 39 innings pitched, Megill has given up 37 hits and 19 walks while striking out 49 batters. His high WHIP of 1.44 indicates that he allows a lot of base runners, which could spell trouble against a hitter of Ozuna's caliber.

The Mets' bullpen, while generally solid, has had its ups and downs. If Megill is unable to go deep into the game, the Mets' relievers will need to be sharp to keep Ozuna and the rest of the Braves' lineup in check.

Pitching Probables

Player W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
S. Schwellenbach (ATL) 3-5 4.62 1.16 50.2 49 49 10 7
T. Megill (NYM) 2-4 5.08 1.44 39.0 37 49 19 3

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

The Braves have had a solid season so far, with a record of 54-48. Their hitting has been a strength, as they rank 5th in runs scored (504) and 9th in hits (884). The team has a batting average of .249, which ranks 11th in the league. Marcell Ozuna has been a standout performer, leading the team with a .308 batting average, 29 home runs, and 81 RBIs.

On the pitching side, the Braves have a team ERA of 4.15, which ranks 21st in the league. Their bullpen has been reliable, with 28 saves, ranking 9th. However, injuries have plagued their pitching staff, with key players like Max Fried, Spencer Strider, and Ronald Acuna Jr. on the injured list.

New York Mets

The Mets have had a strong season with a 55-48 record. Their pitching has been a standout, with a team ERA of 3.52, ranking 3rd in the league. Tylor Megill, despite his struggles, will look to bounce back and provide a solid start. The bullpen has contributed 26 saves, ranking tied-14th.

Offensively, the Mets have been average, ranking 21st in runs scored (428) and 18th in hits (825). Francisco Lindor has been a key contributor, leading the team with 22 home runs and 63 RBIs. Jose Iglesias has also been in good form, hitting 17-for-37 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, and five RBIs over the past ten games.

Team Injuries

Player Position Updated Injury Injury Status
Michael Harris II CF Fri, Jul 26 Hamstring 60-Day IL
Ozzie Albies 2B Fri, Jul 26 Wrist 10-Day IL
Max Fried SP Fri, Jul 26 Forearm 15-Day IL
Spencer Strider SP Fri, Jul 26 Elbow 60-Day IL
Player Position Updated Injury Injury Status
Kodai Senga SP Fri, Jul 26 Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
Shintaro Fujinami SP Fri, Jul 26 Shoulder 60-Day IL
Dedniel Nunez RP Fri, Jul 26 Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 8

Recent Games

DATE OPPONENT RESULT W-L WIN LOSS SAVE
Fri, Jul 19 vs St. Louis Postponed Postponed Postponed Postponed Postponed
Sat, Jul 20 vs St. Louis W3-2 F/10 54-42 Johnson 3-1 Roycroft 1-2 NaN
Sat, Jul 20 vs St. Louis L9-5 54-43 Gray 10-6 Elder 1-4 Leahy 1
Sun, Jul 21 vs St. Louis L6-2 54-44 Mikolas 8-8 Schwellenbach 3-5 NaN
Mon, Jul 22 vs Cincinnati L4-1 54-45 Greene 7-4 Lopez 7-4 NaN
DATE OPPONENT RESULT W-L WIN LOSS SAVE
Fri, Jul 19 @ Miami L6-4 49-47 Bender 4-2 Manaea 6-4 Scott 15
Sat, Jul 20 @ Miami W1-0 50-47 Severino 7-3 Munoz 1-5 Diaz 11
Sun, Jul 21 @ Miami L4-2 50-48 Cronin 2-2 Scott 0-3 Scott 16
Mon, Jul 22 @ Miami W6-4 51-48 Peterson 5-0 Chirinos 0-2 Diaz 12
Tue, Jul 23 @ New York W3-2 52-48 Quintana 5-6 Tonkin 3-4 Diekman 4

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Prediction

Given Marcell Ozuna's recent form and overall season performance, he is well-positioned to have a strong game against the Mets. Tylor Megill's struggles on the mound, combined with the Mets' vulnerability to powerful hitters, make Ozuna a prime candidate to exceed his player prop totals.

Pick: Marcell Ozuna Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)

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