MLB Player Props Betting Tips: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

- Mr Wager
- Jul 27, 2024, 11:31:45 AM
MLB Player Props Betting Tips: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Photo Credit: © Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves (54-48), third in the NL East, are set to face the New York Mets (55-48), second in the NL East, at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. EDT. The Braves, currently on a six-game losing streak, are desperate to turn their fortunes around. On the other hand, the Mets are riding high on a 5-3 advantage in the season series against the Braves.
Both teams have shown contrasting forms recently. The Mets have a solid home record of 28-26 and have won seven of their last ten games, boasting a .243 batting average and a 3.64 ERA in that span. In contrast, the Braves have struggled with a 24-27 record on the road and have lost seven of their last ten games, managing just a .223 batting average and a 4.54 ERA.
Historically, these teams have had fiercely competitive matchups. The Mets have been particularly effective when scoring five or more runs, holding a 38-15 record in such games. The Braves, however, have an impressive 40-8 record when out-hitting their opponents, indicating that their hitting prowess will be crucial if they hope to break their losing streak.
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Player Prop Odds
Marcell Ozuna Player Props:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+250)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+350)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+125)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-145)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+110)
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Player Analysis
Marcell Ozuna has been a standout performer for the Braves this season. With a batting average of .308, 20 doubles, 29 home runs, 47 walks, and 81 RBIs, Ozuna has been a consistent force at the plate. Over the last ten games, he has continued to produce, going 11-for-31 with two home runs and eight RBIs.
Ozuna's ability to hit for power and get on base makes him a dangerous hitter in any situation. His high batting average and on-base percentage indicate that he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact. Given his recent form and overall season performance, Ozuna is a strong candidate to hit the over on several of his player prop bets.
Opposing Analysis
The Mets' pitching staff will have their hands full containing Ozuna. Tylor Megill, the probable starter for the Mets, has an ERA of 5.08 and has struggled with consistency this season. In 39 innings pitched, Megill has given up 37 hits and 19 walks while striking out 49 batters. His high WHIP of 1.44 indicates that he allows a lot of base runners, which could spell trouble against a hitter of Ozuna's caliber.
The Mets' bullpen, while generally solid, has had its ups and downs. If Megill is unable to go deep into the game, the Mets' relievers will need to be sharp to keep Ozuna and the rest of the Braves' lineup in check.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Schwellenbach (ATL) | 3-5 | 4.62 | 1.16 | 50.2 | 49 | 49 | 10 | 7 |
| T. Megill (NYM) | 2-4 | 5.08 | 1.44 | 39.0 | 37 | 49 | 19 | 3 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have had a solid season so far, with a record of 54-48. Their hitting has been a strength, as they rank 5th in runs scored (504) and 9th in hits (884). The team has a batting average of .249, which ranks 11th in the league. Marcell Ozuna has been a standout performer, leading the team with a .308 batting average, 29 home runs, and 81 RBIs.
On the pitching side, the Braves have a team ERA of 4.15, which ranks 21st in the league. Their bullpen has been reliable, with 28 saves, ranking 9th. However, injuries have plagued their pitching staff, with key players like Max Fried, Spencer Strider, and Ronald Acuna Jr. on the injured list.
New York Mets
The Mets have had a strong season with a 55-48 record. Their pitching has been a standout, with a team ERA of 3.52, ranking 3rd in the league. Tylor Megill, despite his struggles, will look to bounce back and provide a solid start. The bullpen has contributed 26 saves, ranking tied-14th.
Offensively, the Mets have been average, ranking 21st in runs scored (428) and 18th in hits (825). Francisco Lindor has been a key contributor, leading the team with 22 home runs and 63 RBIs. Jose Iglesias has also been in good form, hitting 17-for-37 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, and five RBIs over the past ten games.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | CF | Fri, Jul 26 | Hamstring | 60-Day IL |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | Fri, Jul 26 | Wrist | 10-Day IL |
| Max Fried | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
| Spencer Strider | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Calf | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Dedniel Nunez | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Recent Games
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs St. Louis | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | W3-2 F/10 | 54-42 | Johnson 3-1 | Roycroft 1-2 | NaN |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | L9-5 | 54-43 | Gray 10-6 | Elder 1-4 | Leahy 1 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs St. Louis | L6-2 | 54-44 | Mikolas 8-8 | Schwellenbach 3-5 | NaN |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Cincinnati | L4-1 | 54-45 | Greene 7-4 | Lopez 7-4 | NaN |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Miami | L6-4 | 49-47 | Bender 4-2 | Manaea 6-4 | Scott 15 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Miami | W1-0 | 50-47 | Severino 7-3 | Munoz 1-5 | Diaz 11 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Miami | L4-2 | 50-48 | Cronin 2-2 | Scott 0-3 | Scott 16 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Miami | W6-4 | 51-48 | Peterson 5-0 | Chirinos 0-2 | Diaz 12 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ New York | W3-2 | 52-48 | Quintana 5-6 | Tonkin 3-4 | Diekman 4 |
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Prediction
Given Marcell Ozuna's recent form and overall season performance, he is well-positioned to have a strong game against the Mets. Tylor Megill's struggles on the mound, combined with the Mets' vulnerability to powerful hitters, make Ozuna a prime candidate to exceed his player prop totals.
Pick: Marcell Ozuna Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
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