MLB Player Props Betting Strategies: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26

MLB Player Props Betting Strategies: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26

Photo Credit: © Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-50, third in the NL Central) head to Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (53-50, third in the NL West) on Friday, July 26th, at 9:40 p.m. EDT. This marks the beginning of a three-game series between the two teams. The Diamondbacks have been impressive at home with a 26-24 record and boast the ninth-best team slugging percentage in MLB at .410. Meanwhile, the Pirates have matched that home record on the road and have a 38-4 record in games where they out-hit their opponents.

Arizona enters the game with a recent 7-3 record in their last ten games, sporting a .246 batting average and a 3.33 ERA, having outscored their opponents by 17 runs. The Pirates are equally formidable with an 8-2 record over their last ten games, a .256 batting average, and a remarkable 2.10 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 16 runs.

Both teams are dealing with injuries. The Diamondbacks have several key players on the 60-Day IL, including Merrill Kelly and Eduardo Rodriguez, while the Pirates have a variety of pitchers on the 15-Day and 60-Day IL, such as Bailey Falter and Ryan Borucki.

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Player Prop Odds

Joshua Palacios:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-190)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+200)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+135)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+140)

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Player Analysis

Joshua Palacios has been a consistent contributor for the Pirates this season. Palacios holds a respectable .250 batting average with 15 home runs and 51 RBIs. Over his past ten games, he has been hitting well, and his ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a crucial part of Pittsburgh's lineup.

In the upcoming matchup against the Diamondbacks, Palacios will be facing Zac Gallen, who has a 7-5 record with a 3.64 ERA. Palacios has shown a tendency to perform well against right-handed pitchers, and Gallen's slightly elevated ERA suggests there could be opportunities for Palacios to capitalize.

Opposing Analysis

Zac Gallen of the Diamondbacks has had a solid season with a 7-5 record and a 3.64 ERA. He has struck out 80 batters in 81.2 innings pitched. However, Gallen’s WHIP of 1.25 indicates that he allows a fair number of base runners, which could be advantageous for hitters like Palacios.

Gallen's recent form has been decent, but he has shown vulnerabilities, especially against patient hitters who can drive up his pitch count and find gaps in the defense. Palacios, with his disciplined approach, could exploit these weaknesses to get on base and possibly drive in runs.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
L. Ortiz (PIT)	5-2	2.57	1.11	73.2	61	59	21	3
Z. Gallen (ARI)	7-5	3.64	1.25	81.2	75	80	27	8

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Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates:

The Pirates have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 8th in hits (879) and 3rd in runs (509). They have a team batting average of .252, which ranks 9th in MLB. Defensively, they have struggled with a team ERA of 4.50 (26th) and 42 errors (30th). Key players such as Connor Joe and Oneil Cruz have been instrumental in their recent success.

Arizona Diamondbacks:

The Diamondbacks have had a mixed season, showing strength in their home games with a 26-24 record. They have the 9th best team slugging percentage in the league at .410. Their pitching staff has performed well, with an ERA of 3.77 (11th). However, offensively they are ranked lower with 800 hits (25th) and 422 runs (23rd). Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been standout performers for the team.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Bailey Falter	RP	Arm	15-Day IL
Daulton Jefferies	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Ryan Borucki	RP	Tricep	60-Day IL

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Blake Walston	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	Shoulder	60-Day IL

Recent Games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Philadelphia	8-7	W
vs Philadelphia	4-1	W
vs Philadelphia	0-6	L
vs St. Louis	2-1	W
vs St. Louis	1-2	L
vs St. Louis	5-0	W

Arizona Diamondbacks

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Chicago	5-2	W
@ Chicago	3-0	W
@ Chicago	1-2	L
@ Kansas City	4-10	L
@ Kansas City	6-2	W
@ Kansas City	8-6	W

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Prediction

Joshua Palacios has been a consistent hitter for the Pirates, and with Zac Gallen's tendency to allow base runners, Palacios is likely to get at least one hit in this game. His recent form and the favorable matchup make this prop a strong pick.

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