MLB Player Props Betting Guide: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/29

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:32:43 PM
MLB Player Props Betting Guide: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/29
Photo Credit: © James A. Pittman-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles are set to clash on July 29th at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. The game is a critical matchup for both teams as they look to maintain momentum in their respective divisions. The Blue Jays, currently holding a record of 62-43, have been performing exceptionally well, ranking 4th in runs with 522 and 8th in ERA with 3.79. On the other hand, the Orioles, with a record of 49-56, have struggled this season, particularly in hitting, where they rank 24th in hits and 25th in runs.
The Blue Jays' probable starting pitcher, Cade Povich, has a challenging ERA of 6.27 with a 1-4 record. In contrast, the Orioles will start Bowden Francis, who has a slightly better ERA of 5.82 and a 3-2 record. Historically, the Blue Jays have had the upper hand in this matchup, but the Orioles will be looking to capitalize on their home-field advantage.
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Player Prop Odds
For today's game, let's take a closer look at Gunnar Henderson's player prop odds:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+300)
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+200)
Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+350)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+135)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 1.5 (+340)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115)
Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+490)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-120)
Player Analysis
Gunnar Henderson has been a consistent performer for the Orioles this season. Currently, he holds a batting average of .283, which places him among the top hitters in the team. He's also been a significant contributor in terms of power, with 29 home runs and 68 RBIs to his name.
Henderson has shown a knack for getting on base and generating runs, making him a valuable asset for the Orioles' lineup. With a total MLB rating of 469.8, Henderson stands out as a key player to watch in this game. His ability to hit doubles and home runs, combined with his high batting average, makes the over on most of his props an attractive option.
Opposing Analysis
Cade Povich, the Blue Jays' probable starting pitcher, has struggled this season with a 6.27 ERA and a 1-4 record. Povich has allowed 33 hits and 7 home runs over 33 innings pitched, indicating that he can be vulnerable to power hitters like Henderson. The Blue Jays' bullpen, while generally strong, may also find it challenging to contain Henderson if Povich exits the game early.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowden Francis (BAL) | 3-2 | 5.82 | 34 |
| Cade Povich (TOR) | 1-4 | 6.27 | 24 |
Team Previews
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have been impressive this season, ranking 4th in runs scored and 8th in ERA. Their hitting lineup, led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. with a .301 batting average and 19 home runs, has been potent. The Blue Jays also boast a strong bullpen with 33 saves, ranking tied for 5th in the league.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have had a challenging season, particularly in hitting where they rank 24th in hits and 25th in runs. Despite this, players like Gunnar Henderson have been bright spots. The Orioles' pitching staff, with an ERA of 4.51, has struggled to keep opponents' runs in check. Injuries, such as John Means being out for the season, have further compounded their difficulties.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | CF | Probable for Jul 29 (Hip) |
| John Means | SP | Out for the season (Elbow) |
Recent Games
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit | L 5-4 | L |
| vs Detroit | L 7-3 | L |
| vs Detroit | W 5-4 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | L 4-2 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | W 6-3 | W |
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | W 9-1 | W |
| @ Texas | W 8-4 | W |
| @ Texas | L 3-2 | L |
| @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
| @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
Prediction
Pick: Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs (+350)
Given Cade Povich's struggles on the mound and Gunnar Henderson's power-hitting ability, the odds of +350 for Henderson to hit a home run are enticing. Povich has been prone to giving up home runs, and Henderson has demonstrated his capability to capitalize on such opportunities. Betting on the over for Henderson's home runs offers a high-reward potential.
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