MLB Player Props Betting Guide: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/29

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:41:37 PM
MLB Player Props Betting Guide: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/29
Photo Credit: © Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles are set to clash on July 29 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons. The Blue Jays have been a force in the AL East, whereas the Orioles have struggled to find consistency.
The Blue Jays come into this game with a solid record of 62-43, showcasing their dominance both at home and on the road. They have one of the best offenses in the league, ranking 6th in hits (915) and 4th in runs (522). Their pitching staff has also been impressive, with a team ERA of 3.79, ranking 8th in the league.
On the other hand, the Orioles have a 49-56 record and have faced numerous challenges this season. Their offense ranks 25th in runs (430) and their pitching staff has struggled with a 4.51 ERA, ranking 27th overall. Despite these struggles, they have shown flashes of potential, particularly in their recent games.
The pitching matchup for this game features Cade Povich for the Blue Jays and Bowden Francis for the Orioles. Povich has had a challenging season with a 1-4 record and a 6.27 ERA, while Francis has a 3-2 record with a 5.82 ERA.
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Player Prop Odds
For today's game, one of the player props to watch is for Justin Turner. Here are the odds:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+310.0)
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+170.0)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+155.0)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-135.0)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-180.0)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-105.0)
Player Analysis
Justin Turner has been a consistent performer for the Blue Jays this season. With a batting average of .301, he has been one of the key contributors to their offense. Turner has hit 19 home runs and driven in 64 RBIs, making him a threat at the plate. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset for prop bets.
Turner has been particularly effective against right-handed pitchers, which bodes well for his matchup against Bowden Francis. Given his recent form, betting on Turner to record over 1.5 total bases at odds of -105.0 seems like a solid pick.
Opposing Analysis
Bowden Francis, the probable starting pitcher for the Orioles, has had a mixed season with a 3-2 record and a 5.82 ERA. He has struggled with consistency, allowing 43 hits and 34 strikeouts in 38.2 innings pitched. The Blue Jays' strong offense will be a tough challenge for Francis.
The Orioles' bullpen has also been a weakness, ranking 27th in the league with a 4.51 ERA. This could provide additional opportunities for Turner and the Blue Jays' hitters to capitalize.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowden Francis (BAL) | 3-2 | 5.82 | 34 |
| Cade Povich (TOR) | 1-4 | 6.27 | 24 |
Team Previews
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have been one of the top teams in the league this season. Their offense ranks among the best, with key players like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leading the charge. Guerrero Jr. has a .301 batting average, 19 home runs, and 64 RBIs. The Blue Jays' pitching staff has also been solid, with a team ERA of 3.79.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have struggled this season, with a 49-56 record. Their offense ranks 25th in runs scored and their pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA. Despite these struggles, they have shown flashes of potential, particularly from players like Anthony Santander, who leads the team with 29 home runs and 68 RBIs.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | CF | Probable for Jul 29 (Hip) |
| John Means | SP | Out for the season (Elbow) |
Recent Games
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit | L5-4 | L |
| vs Detroit | L7-3 | L |
| vs Detroit | W5-4 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | L4-2 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | W6-3 | W |
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | W9-1 | W |
| @ Texas | W8-4 | W |
| @ Texas | L3-2 | L |
| @ Miami | L6-3 | L |
| @ Miami | L6-3 | L |
Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 total bases for Justin Turner (-105.0)
Justin Turner’s consistent performance and favorable matchup against Bowden Francis make the over 1.5 total bases a strong bet. Turner's ability to get on base and drive in runs should give him ample opportunities to exceed this prop.
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