MLB Player Props Betting Guide: Reds vs Rays on 7/28

MLB Player Props Betting Guide: Reds vs Rays on 7/28

Photo Credit: © Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds are set to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays on July 28th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. This intriguing matchup features two teams with contrasting forms and aspirations for the season. The Reds, led by Hunter Greene, are looking to build on their recent form, while the Rays, with Shawn Armstrong on the mound, aim to leverage their home-field advantage.

The Reds have been competitive, holding a 53-52 record overall, including a balanced 28-28 at home and 25-24 on the road. Their recent games have seen mixed results, with a notable 4-1 victory against Atlanta and a 3-2 extra-innings win over the Rays. However, they've also faced defeats, including an 8-5 loss to Washington.

On the other hand, the Rays have a 50-54 record, struggling more at home with a 25-28 record compared to 25-26 on the road. They have shown resilience with wins such as a 13-0 demolition of Toronto and a 4-0 victory over the Reds. Yet, they also suffered losses like a 9-1 defeat to New York.

This game promises to be a thrilling contest, with both teams needing a win to boost their standings and momentum for the rest of the season.

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Player Prop Odds

For Josh Lowe, we have the following player prop odds:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450), Under 0.5 (-900)
• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-130), Under 0.5 (-105)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+245), Under 0.5 (-360)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+175), Under 0.5 (-245)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+165), Under 0.5 (-230)
• Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+340), Under 0.5 (-550)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-130), Under 0.5 (-105)

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Player Analysis: Josh Lowe

Josh Lowe has been a consistent performer for the Tampa Bay Rays this season. With a batting average of .266, he has demonstrated his ability to get on base and contribute to the team's offense. Lowe's power is evident with 18 home runs, and he has also driven in 64 RBIs, showcasing his knack for producing runs in crucial situations.

Lowe's speed on the bases is another asset, as he has managed several stolen bases this season. His versatility and ability to contribute in various aspects of the game make him a valuable player for the Rays.

Opposing Analysis: Reds' Pitching

The Cincinnati Reds' pitching staff, led by Hunter Greene, presents a formidable challenge. Greene has been impressive with a 7-4 record, a 3.14 ERA, and 133 strikeouts in 117.1 innings. His ability to control games and limit opposing hitters makes him a tough opponent for any batter, including Josh Lowe.

However, the Reds' bullpen has been inconsistent, which could provide opportunities for the Rays' hitters. The key for Lowe will be to capitalize on any mistakes made by the Reds' relievers and continue his productive season.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Hunter Greene (CIN)	7-4	3.14	1.09	117.1	80	133	48	10
Shawn Armstrong (TB)	2-2	5.64	1.61	44.2	53	49	19	5

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Team Previews

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have had a mixed season, with their hitting ranking 23rd in hits (813) and runs (415), and a batting average of .234. Their pitching has been slightly better, with a team ERA of 4.15, but they rank only 20th in this category. Defensively, they have committed 54 errors, ranking 16th.

Their hitting leaders include Jonathan India (.266 BA), Elly De La Cruz (18 HR), and Spencer Steer (64 RBIs). On the mound, Hunter Greene has been their standout performer with a 7-4 record and 133 strikeouts.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays have also had an up-and-down season, ranking 28th in hits (775) and batting average (.230), but 15th in runs scored (459). Their pitching has been more solid, with a team ERA of 3.83, ranking 12th. However, their defense has struggled, committing 65 errors, ranking 4th worst in the league.

Key players for the Rays include Yandy Diaz (.272 BA), Isaac Paredes (16 HR), and Paredes again leading in RBIs with 55. Shawn Armstrong, despite his struggles with a 5.64 ERA, will need to step up in this game.

Team Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Peyton Burdick	RF	Sun, Jul 28	Undisclosed	Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
Luke Maile	C	Sun, Jul 28	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 28

Tampa Bay Rays

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Richard Lovelady	RP	Sun, Jul 28	Forearm	Expected to be out until at least Jul 28

Recent Games

Cincinnati Reds

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Washington	L 8-5	L
Sat, Jul 20	@ Washington	L 5-4	L
Sun, Jul 21	@ Washington	L 5-2	L
Mon, Jul 22	@ Atlanta	W 4-1	W
Wed, Jul 24	@ Atlanta	W 9-4	W

Tampa Bay Rays

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ New York	L 6-1	L
Sat, Jul 20	@ New York	W 9-1	W
Sun, Jul 21	@ New York	W 6-4	W
Mon, Jul 22	@ New York	L 9-1	L
Tue, Jul 23	@ Toronto	W 4-2	W

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Prediction

Given Josh Lowe's recent form and the matchup against the Reds' bullpen, the pick is for Josh Lowe to record over 0.5 hits (-130). His consistency at the plate and the potential vulnerability of the Reds' relievers make this a favorable bet.

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