MLB Player Props Betting Guide: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers - 7/26

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 26, 2024, 12:26:24 AM
MLB Player Props Betting Guide: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers - 7/26
Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
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Game Summary
As the Miami Marlins face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on July 26 at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, fans and bettors alike are gearing up for an intriguing matchup. The Marlins have been performing well, with a record of 59-43, while the Brewers have struggled this season with a 37-66 record. Both teams have had mixed recent performances, with the Marlins winning 4 out of their last 5 games and the Brewers winning 3 out of their last 5 games.
Historically, the Marlins have had the upper hand against the Brewers, winning 7 out of their last 10 meetings. This game will see Freddy Peralta (6-5, 3.88 ERA) starting for the Marlins, while Trevor Rogers (1-9, 4.59 ERA) will be on the mound for the Brewers. Both pitchers have had their ups and downs this season, but Peralta has been more consistent and effective overall.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Xavier Edwards in tonight's game:
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-160), Under 0.5 (115)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (320), Under 0.5 (-525)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (230), Under 0.5 (-330)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110), Under 0.5 (-125)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (390), Under 0.5 (-650)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-160), Under 0.5 (115)
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Player Analysis
Xavier Edwards has been a key player for the Miami Marlins this season. Despite his youth, he has shown remarkable consistency at the plate. Edwards boasts a batting average of .284 and has accumulated 68 RBIs and 16 home runs so far this season. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset for the Marlins.
Edwards has been particularly effective against right-handed pitchers, which bodes well for his matchup against the Brewers' Trevor Rogers. His speed on the base paths also adds an extra dimension to his game, making him a threat to steal bases and score runs.
Opposing Analysis
Trevor Rogers has had a challenging season for the Brewers, with a 1-9 record and a 4.59 ERA. He has struggled with control at times, walking 46 batters in 100 innings pitched. Rogers has also been prone to giving up the long ball, surrendering 11 home runs this season.
The Brewers' bullpen has not been much better, ranking 27th in the league with only 20 saves. This could provide additional opportunities for the Marlins' hitters, including Edwards, to capitalize on mistakes and drive in runs.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta (MIA) | 6-5 | 3.88 | 138 |
| Trevor Rogers (MIL) | 1-9 | 4.59 | 84 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have been one of the surprise teams this season, currently sitting at 59-43. Their success has been driven by a balanced attack, ranking 6th in hits (883) and 5th in batting average (.254). The Marlins' pitching staff has also been solid, with a team ERA of 3.74, good for 8th in the league.
Key players for the Marlins include William Contreras, who leads the team with a .284 batting average, and Willy Adames, who has 16 home runs and 68 RBIs. The Marlins' bullpen has been a strength, with 35 saves, the 3rd most in the league.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers have struggled mightily this season, with a 37-66 record. Their offense has been particularly anemic, ranking 29th in runs scored (362) and 21st in batting average (.236). The Brewers' pitching staff has also been a weakness, with a team ERA of 4.49, ranking 26th in the league.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been one of the few bright spots for the Brewers, leading the team with a .249 batting average and 50 RBIs. However, the Brewers' lack of depth and consistency has been a major issue.
Team Injuries
Miami Marlins
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers | SP | Tue, Jul 23 | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 23 |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Tue, Jul 23 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ross | SP | Thu, Jul 25 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 |
| Devin Williams | RP | Thu, Jul 25 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| DL Hall | SP | Thu, Jul 25 | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
Recent Games
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| vs New York | L 1-0 | L |
| vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| vs New York | L 6-4 | L |
| vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | W 8-4 F/12 | W |
| @ Minnesota | W 8-7 | W |
| @ Chicago | L 3-1 | L |
| @ Chicago | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-2 | W |
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Prediction
Given Xavier Edwards' consistent performance and the struggles of Trevor Rogers, betting on Edwards to get over 0.5 hits at -160 seems like a solid value. Additionally, his ability to score runs makes the over on 0.5 runs scored at 230 a compelling option. Rogers' high ERA and the Brewers' overall pitching woes provide a favorable matchup for Edwards.
Pick: Over 0.5 Hits (-160)
Pick: Over 0.5 Runs Scored (230)
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