MLB Player Props Betting Guide: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 29, 2024, 3:40:47 AM
MLB Player Props Betting Guide: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers
Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves will take on the Milwaukee Brewers on July 29th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. This matchup features two teams with strong seasons so far, with the Braves holding a 60-45 record and the Brewers close behind at 56-48. The Braves have been performing well both at home and on the road, while the Brewers have shown a solid presence at home. Historically, both teams have had competitive matchups, and this game is expected to be no different.
The Braves come into this game with strong offensive statistics, ranking 7th in hits and 9th in runs scored in the MLB. They also have a batting average of .254, which places them 5th in the league. On the pitching side, they have a solid ERA of 3.74, ranking 7th. The Brewers, on the other hand, have been more defensively inclined, with a 3rd-place ranking in ERA at 3.47. Offensively, they are in the middle of the pack in hits and runs, but their batting average of .239 indicates they can still be dangerous at the plate.
The starting pitchers for this game are Colin Rea for the Braves and Grant Holmes for the Brewers. Rea boasts a 9-3 record with a 3.60 ERA, while Holmes, primarily a reliever, has an impressive 2.70 ERA in limited innings. This pitching duel will be key in determining the outcome of the game, with both pitchers looking to control the opposition’s batting lineup.
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Player Prop Odds
The following are the player prop odds for Jarred Kelenic:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390), Under 0.5 (-700)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+450), Under 0.5 (-900)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+220), Under 0.5 (-310)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+100), Under 0.5 (-140)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100), Under 0.5 (-135)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+425), Under 0.5 (-750)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+135), Under 1.5 (-185)
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Player Analysis
Jarred Kelenic: The young outfielder for the Seattle Mariners has been a promising talent with a mix of power and speed. While Kelenic has shown flashes of brilliance, he has struggled with consistency at the plate. His current odds for hitting a home run or stealing a base are quite high (+450 and +425 respectively), indicating the potential value for bettors if he can capitalize on his opportunities. Kelenic's ability to get on base and score runs is also a key factor, with odds of +100 for scoring a run.
Opposing Analysis
Colin Rea (ATL): Rea has been a reliable starter for the Braves this season, sporting a 9-3 record and a 3.60 ERA. His ability to limit home runs and keep runners off base will be crucial in this matchup. With Kelenic's struggles against right-handed pitching, Rea has the upper hand, making it difficult for Kelenic to exceed his prop bets.
Grant Holmes (MIL): Holmes has been effective out of the bullpen with a 2.70 ERA. While he hasn't faced Kelenic extensively, his ability to shut down left-handed hitters could pose a challenge for Kelenic in late-game situations. Holmes' strikeout ability (21 Ks in 23.1 innings) also adds to the difficulty for Kelenic to reach base and accumulate hits.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Holmes | 0-0 | 2.70 | 0.94 | 23.1 | 17 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| C. Rea | 9-3 | 3.60 | 1.21 | 110.0 | 100 | 84 | 33 | 14 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves: The Braves have been a strong team this season, ranking high in several offensive and pitching categories. They are 7th in hits (907) and 9th in runs scored (498) with a batting average of .254. Their pitching staff has also been reliable, boasting a team ERA of 3.74, which ranks 7th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 55 errors, placing them in the middle of the pack.
Milwaukee Brewers: The Brewers have been a defensively strong team, with a team ERA of 3.47, which ranks 3rd in the league. Offensively, they have struggled a bit, ranking 19th in hits (839) and 21st in runs scored (441), with a batting average of .239. However, their ability to keep games close and rely on their pitching staff has been key to their success this season.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Lopez | SP | Sun, Jul 28 | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 3 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hudson | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Recent Games
Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis | 3-2 | W |
| St. Louis | 5-9 | L |
| St. Louis | 2-6 | L |
| Cincinnati | 1-4 | L |
| Cincinnati | 4-9 | L |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 8-4 | W |
| Minnesota | 8-7 | W |
| Chicago | 1-3 | L |
| Chicago | 1-0 | W |
| Chicago | 3-2 | W |
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Prediction
Given Colin Rea's strong performance this season and the Brewers' solid pitching staff, it will be challenging for Jarred Kelenic to exceed his prop bets. The Braves' offensive firepower combined with Rea's ability to limit runs makes this a tough matchup for Kelenic. Therefore, betting on the under for Kelenic's total bases at -185 seems like a solid pick.
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