MLB Player Props Betting Forecast: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles on 7/30

MLB Player Props Betting Forecast: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles on 7/30

Photo Credit: © Reggie Hildred-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Toronto Blue Jays (50-57) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (63-44) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on July 30, 2024, at 6:35 PM EDT. This matchup marks the ninth encounter between these two teams this season, with the series currently tied 4-4. The Blue Jays are coming off a mixed bag of performances recently, with a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, showing a batting average of .279 but struggling with a 5.66 ERA. On the contrary, the Orioles have had a rough patch, posting a 4-6 record and a 5.11 ERA in their last 10 games while hitting .260 as a team.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a standout player for Toronto, recently showcasing his offensive skills with a four-hit game, pushing his batting average to .311, along with 21 home runs and 69 RBIs. The Blue Jays have historically performed well when they have more hits than their opponents, boasting a 36-8 record in such scenarios. For the Orioles, Anthony Santander and Adley Rutschman continue to be key contributors, with Santander recently hitting four home runs in his last 10 games.

As the teams prepare for the game, the Orioles will be starting Corbin Burnes (10-4, 2.45 ERA), while Chris Bassitt (8-9, 3.78 ERA) takes the mound for the Blue Jays. The weather is expected to be partly sunny with temperatures around 93°F, potentially offering favorable conditions for hitters.

Player Prop Odds

Here are the current prop odds for Vladimir Guerrero Jr.:

• Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +370
• Batter Hits (1.5): Over +210
• Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +155
• Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +100
• Batter Singles (0.5): Under -155
• Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +115

Player Analysis

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a critical component of the Blue Jays' offense this season. His batting average of .311 places him among the league's elite hitters. With 21 home runs and 69 RBIs, Guerrero demonstrates a potent combination of power and average. He has also managed to hit a considerable number of doubles, tallying 25 this season, indicating consistent extra-base hit production.

In recent games, Guerrero has shown exceptional form, and his ability to get on base is pivotal for the Blue Jays' lineup. His four-hit game against the Orioles just prior positions him as a potential threat for multiple hits in this upcoming matchup. The prop odds suggest that betting on Guerrero to hit over 1.5 total hits (+210) could be enticing, considering he has been consistently producing against opposing pitchers.

Opposing Analysis

Corbin Burnes, the Orioles' starting pitcher, has been exceptional this season with a 2.45 ERA and 121 strikeouts over 132 innings. While he is effective against right-handed batters, Guerrero's recent form against similar pitching could present a challenge for Burnes. The Orioles' pitching staff has allowed a decent number of hits and runs in their recent outings, demonstrating vulnerabilities that Guerrero could exploit, especially considering his current hot streak.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts	Walks
Chris Bassitt (TOR)	8-9	3.78	112	47
Corbin Burnes (BAL)	10-4	2.45	121	30

Team Previews

The Toronto Blue Jays have had a rollercoaster of a season, currently sitting in fifth place in the AL East. They have demonstrated their offensive prowess with a total of 522 runs scored, ranking fourth in the league. However, their pitching has been inconsistent, with an ERA of 3.79, ranking eighth overall. The team's hitting has been a strong point, with a batting average of .252, placing them ninth in the league.

On the other hand, the Baltimore Orioles have had a solid season, sitting at the top of the AL East. Their offensive output has not been as strong as their record suggests, with only 430 runs scored and a batting average of .238, which is 20th in the league. However, their pitching, led by Burnes, has been a stronghold, with an overall ERA of 4.51. The Orioles will look to leverage their home-field advantage to secure a win against the Blue Jays.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Jordan Romano	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Bo Bichette	SS	10-Day IL (calf)
James McCann	C	Probable (nose)

Recent Games

Toronto Blue Jays

Opponent	Score	Result
vs Detroit	L 5-4	Loss
vs Detroit	L 7-3	Loss
vs Detroit	W 5-4	Win
vs Tampa Bay	L 4-2	Loss
vs Tampa Bay	W 6-3	Win

Baltimore Orioles

Opponent	Score	Result
vs Texas	W 9-1	Win
vs Texas	W 8-4	Win
vs Texas	L 3-2	Loss
vs Miami	L 6-3	Loss
vs Miami	L 6-3	Loss

Prediction

Given Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s recent performance and the favorable prop odds for him hitting over 1.5 total hits (+210), we recommend placing a bet on this prop. With the recent form he has displayed against strong pitchers like Burnes and the Orioles' susceptibility to quality hitters, Guerrero is well-positioned to capitalize on this opportunity.

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