MLB Player Props Betting Forecast: Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/30

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 30, 2024, 3:54:11 AM
MLB Player Props Betting Forecast: Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/30
Photo Credit: © Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Texas Rangers will face off against the St. Louis Cardinals on July 30th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. This matchup features two teams looking to improve their standings as the season progresses. The Rangers enter this game with a record of 54-52, currently sitting in the middle of the competitive AL West. They have shown flashes of brilliance but have struggled with consistency, especially in their recent outings. The Cardinals, with a record of 52-55, are also looking to bounce back from a tough stretch, having lost several close games recently.
Historically, the Rangers and Cardinals have had a competitive rivalry, making this game even more intriguing. Both teams have potent lineups, and fans can expect some exciting action. The Rangers have a solid batting average of .245, ranking 13th in the league, but their overall runs scored is a concern, sitting 24th with just 433 runs. The Cardinals, meanwhile, have a slightly lower average of .240 but have managed to score 452 runs, placing them 18th. This game could be pivotal for both teams as they aim to stay relevant in their respective playoff hunts.
As for the pitching matchup, Max Scherzer will take the mound for the Cardinals, bringing a 3.57 ERA and a solid track record, while Lance Lynn will pitch for the Rangers with a 4.17 ERA. The outcome will heavily depend on how these two pitchers perform, especially considering the offensive firepower both teams possess.
Player Prop Odds
For Josh Smith, the following player prop odds are available:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+350.0)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+250.0)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+190.0)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+100.0)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-130.0)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+130.0)
Player Analysis
Josh Smith has been a bright spot in the Cardinals' lineup, showcasing his versatility and offensive capabilities. Smith is currently batting .284, ranking him among the team's leaders in batting average. His ability to make contact consistently and get on base will be crucial in this matchup. With the Cardinals needing to score runs to compete, Smith's role in the batting order will be pivotal.
Statistically, Smith has performed well against right-handed pitching, which could bode well against Lance Lynn. Given Smith's recent form, he has been hitting well and contributing to the team's offensive efforts. With a current projection of getting at least one hit, the prop for over 1.5 hits (+250) seems like a solid wager considering his recent success.
Opposing Analysis
The Texas Rangers' pitching staff has shown vulnerabilities, particularly against left-handed batters. Lance Lynn, while experienced, has allowed a fair number of hits this season, giving Smith an opportunity to capitalize. The Rangers' bullpen has also struggled at times, which could lead to more scoring chances for Smith later in the game. Overall, the matchup favors Smith, especially given the Rangers' recent pitching inconsistencies.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer (STL) | 2-3 | 3.57 | 33 |
| Lance Lynn (TEX) | 5-4 | 4.17 | 94 |
Team Previews
The Texas Rangers enter this game averaging .245 at the plate and have managed to score 433 runs this season, indicating struggles in generating consistent offense. Their starting pitching has an ERA of 4.09, which is average, but they possess one of the best bullpens in the league with 37 saves, ranking them 2nd overall.
The St. Louis Cardinals, meanwhile, have an overall record of 52-55, with a batting average of .240 and a total of 452 runs scored. Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.05. The Cardinals have had recent struggles with their starting rotation, which has led to increased pressure on their offense to produce runs consistently. However, they do have a potent lineup capable of scoring against any pitcher, especially at home.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| T. Mahle | SP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| J. Gray | SP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 30 |
| E. Carter | LF | Expected to be out until at least Aug 20 |
| S. Matz | SP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| R. O'Brien | RP | Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Win/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | vs Baltimore | L9-1 | W |
| Jul 20 | vs Baltimore | L8-4 | L |
| Jul 21 | vs Baltimore | W3-2 | W |
| Jul 22 | vs Chicago | W4-3 F/10 | W |
| Jul 23 | vs Chicago | W3-2 | W |
Prediction
Considering Smith's recent form and the favorable matchup against Lynn, I predict he will exceed his prop totals. Therefore, I recommend betting on:
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