MLB Player Props Betting Forecast: Cubs vs Reds 7/29

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 29, 2024, 5:27:11 AM
MLB Player Props Betting Forecast: Cubs vs Reds 7/29
Photo Credit: © Matt Pendleton-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds will host the Chicago Cubs in the first of a three-game series at Great American Ball Park on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT. The Reds, currently 50-55, are in fifth place in the NL Central, while the Cubs, at 51-56, are just one spot above them in fourth place. This game is crucial for both teams as they vie to improve their standings in the division.
In their most recent games, the Reds have struggled, going 4-6 in their last ten games with a .202 batting average and a 3.98 ERA. The Cubs have fared slightly better, going 5-5 with a .219 batting average and a 3.00 ERA. The Reds have a slight edge in the season series, leading 5-2 over the Cubs.
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Player Prop Odds
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Here are the player prop odds for TJ Friedl:
- Batter Doubles Over 0.5: +323
- Batter Hits Over 0.5: -199
- Batter RBIs Over 0.5: +165
- Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5: +116
- Batter Singles Over 0.5: -101
- Batter Stolen Bases Over 0.5: +340
- Batter Total Bases Over 1.5: +136
Player Analysis
TJ Friedl has been one of the key contributors for the Reds this season. In his last ten games, Friedl has shown a decent performance at the plate with a .250 batting average. He has managed to get on base consistently and has shown flashes of power with a few extra-base hits. Friedl's ability to get hits and score runs makes him an intriguing player to watch in the upcoming game against the Cubs.
Opposing Analysis
The Cubs' pitching staff has been solid this season, with a team ERA of 3.83, which ranks 11th in the MLB. Jameson Taillon, who is starting for the Cubs, has been particularly impressive with a 7-5 record, a 2.96 ERA, and 78 strikeouts over 100.1 innings. Taillon's ability to keep hitters off balance and limit runs will be crucial for the Cubs as they face the Reds' lineup.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 7-5 | 2.96 | 1.15 | 78 |
| Carson Spiers (CIN) | 3-2 | 3.83 | 1.26 | 41 |
Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs have had a mixed season so far with a 51-56 record. They have struggled on the road with a 24-31 record. Their hitting has been inconsistent, with a team batting average of .228, ranking 28th in the league. However, they have shown power, hitting at least two home runs in 20 games this season, winning 14 of those. Their pitching staff has been a bright spot, with a team ERA of 3.83, and the bullpen has contributed 22 saves.
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds have also had their ups and downs this season with a 50-55 record. They have performed better at home, with a 25-28 record. Their offense has been slightly better than the Cubs, with a team batting average of .233, ranking 24th in the league. Their pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.72, ranking 6th in the MLB. However, their bullpen has been shaky at times, with 23 saves on the season.
Team Injuries
Chicago Cubs
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Cincinnati Reds
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Burdick | RF | Undisclosed | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| Luke Maile | C | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| Carson Spiers | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | vs Arizona | 2-5 | L |
| Jul 20 | vs Arizona | 0-3 | L |
| Jul 21 | vs Arizona | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 22 | vs Milwaukee | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 23 | vs Milwaukee | 0-1 | L |
Cincinnati Reds
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | @ Washington | 5-8 | L |
| Jul 20 | @ Washington | 4-5 | L |
| Jul 21 | @ Washington | 2-5 | L |
| Jul 22 | @ Atlanta | 4-1 | W |
| Jul 24 | @ Atlanta | 9-4 | W |
Prediction
TJ Friedl has been a consistent performer for the Reds, and given his recent form and the odds provided, betting on him to achieve over 1.5 total bases at +136 seems promising. The Cubs' pitching staff, while solid, has shown vulnerabilities, and Friedl's ability to get extra-base hits makes this prop bet an attractive option.
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