MLB Player Props Betting Analysis: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/28
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:24:10 AM
MLB Player Props Betting Analysis: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/28
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Game Summary
On July 28, the Texas Rangers will take on the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Both teams are in the midst of a tight race in their respective divisions, and this game could have significant implications for their playoff hopes. The Rangers have been struggling recently, losing six of their last ten games, while the Blue Jays have managed to stay afloat with a 5-5 record in their last ten.
Historically, these teams have had a competitive rivalry, with the Blue Jays holding a slight edge in recent matchups. The last series between these two teams saw the Blue Jays take two out of three games from the Rangers, including a 7-3 victory in their most recent encounter.
Both teams are expected to start their key pitchers, with Jose Berrios taking the mound for the Blue Jays and Jon Gray for the Rangers. Berrios has been solid this season with an 8-8 record and a 4.08 ERA, while Gray has posted a 5-4 record with a 3.73 ERA. The pitching duel promises to be an exciting one, with both teams looking to capitalize on any mistakes made by their opponents.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Jonah Heim:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370), Under 0.5 (-600)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-180), Under 0.5 (+135)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+195), Under 0.5 (-280)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+160), Under 0.5 (-220)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+105), Under 0.5 (-145)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-180), Under 0.5 (+135)
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Player Analysis
Jonah Heim has been an important part of the Texas Rangers' lineup this season. Currently batting .282, Heim has shown the ability to get on base consistently. He has hit 19 home runs and driven in 53 runs, making him a key offensive contributor for the Rangers. Heim's ability to make contact and drive the ball into the gaps makes him a threat to get extra bases in any given at-bat.
Opposing Analysis
Jose Berrios, the probable starting pitcher for the Toronto Blue Jays, has had a solid season with an 8-8 record and a 4.08 ERA. Berrios has been effective at limiting hits, allowing just 111 hits in 123.2 innings pitched. However, he has given up 22 home runs, which could be a point of vulnerability that the Rangers' hitters, including Heim, could exploit.
Pitching Probables
Here are the probable starting pitchers for today's game:
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Gray (TEX) | 5-4 | 3.73 | 78 |
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 8-8 | 4.08 | 92 |
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Team Previews
Texas Rangers
The Texas Rangers have struggled this season with a 48-56 record. Offensively, the team ranks 21st in batting average at .236 and 26th in runs scored with 416. Their pitching has also been a weak point, ranking 27th with a 4.54 ERA. However, players like Jonah Heim and Corey Seager have been bright spots in the lineup, providing much-needed power and run production.
Toronto Blue Jays
The Toronto Blue Jays have been slightly better with a 51-54 record. The team ranks 17th in batting average at .240 and 18th in runs scored with 446. Their pitching staff has been more effective, ranking 16th with a 3.99 ERA. The Blue Jays' lineup features stars like Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who leads the team with a .301 batting average, 18 home runs, and 62 RBIs.
Team Injuries
Texas Rangers
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Pruitt | RP | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| Cody Bradford | SP | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Romano | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Sep 6 |
Recent Games
Texas Rangers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Baltimore | 1-9 | L |
| vs Baltimore | 4-8 | L |
| vs Baltimore | 3-2 | W |
| vs Chicago | 4-3 (10) | W |
| vs Chicago | 3-2 | W |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit | 4-5 | L |
| vs Detroit | 3-7 | L |
| vs Detroit | 5-4 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | 2-4 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | 6-3 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Jonah Heim - Over 0.5 Hits (-180)
Jonah Heim has been a consistent hitter for the Rangers this season, and given Jose Berrios' tendency to give up home runs, Heim has a good chance to get at least one hit in this game. The odds of -180 for over 0.5 hits provide value for a player of Heim's caliber.
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Photo Credit: © Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
