MLB Player Props Betting Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27

MLB Player Props Betting Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27

Photo Credit: © Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Arizona Diamondbacks are set to face off in the second game of their series on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at Chase Field in Phoenix. The Diamondbacks currently hold a 1-0 lead in the series, following a narrow 4-3 victory in the opener. Both teams are in the hunt for playoff spots, sitting in third place within their respective divisions—NL Central for the Pirates and NL West for the Diamondbacks.

Arizona has been strong at home with a 27-24 record and an overall record of 54-50. The Diamondbacks have a significant edge when they score five or more runs, boasting a 41-10 record in such games. On the other side, the Pirates have been solid on the road with a 26-25 record and an overall record of 52-51. Pittsburgh’s pitching has been a bright spot, ranking sixth in the NL with a team ERA of 3.78.

This game will feature Marco Gonzales for the Pirates, who holds a 1-1 record with a 2.70 ERA and 19 strikeouts. The Diamondbacks will counter with Brandon Pfaadt, who has a 4-6 record, a 3.74 ERA, and an impressive 111 strikeouts. Given the recent form and statistical nuances, this game promises to be an exciting matchup.

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Player Prop Odds

For Nick Gonzales of the Pittsburgh Pirates, the following player prop odds are available:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+375), Under 0.5 (-600)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+260)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+210), Under 0.5 (-300)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+170), Under 0.5 (-225)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115), Under 0.5 (-110)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+145), Under 1.5 (-200)

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Player Analysis

Nick Gonzales has been one of the standout players for the Pittsburgh Pirates this season. His ability to get on base and contribute offensively has been crucial for the Pirates. Gonzales is currently hitting .296 with 21 doubles, 15 home runs, and 51 RBIs.

In recent games, Gonzales has continued to show his value. Over his last 10 games, he has gone 14-for-38 (.368) with a home run and five RBIs. His consistency at the plate makes him a valuable asset for the Pirates, and his ability to hit for both average and power provides multiple avenues for him to contribute to the team’s success.

Opposing Analysis

Brandon Pfaadt will be on the mound for the Arizona Diamondbacks. Pfaadt has had a solid season, with a 4-6 record, a 3.74 ERA, and 111 strikeouts over 120.1 innings pitched. He has been particularly effective against right-handed hitters, holding them to a .232 batting average.

However, Pfaadt has shown some vulnerability in giving up home runs, surrendering 14 so far this season. His ability to keep the ball in the park will be key, especially against a power hitter like Nick Gonzales. The Diamondbacks’ bullpen has also been reliable, with a team ERA of 3.78, but they have had their moments of inconsistency.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Marco Gonzales (PIT)	1-1	2.70	1.28	26.2	28	19	6	1
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI)	4-6	3.74	1.11	120.1	106	111	27	14

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Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have been balanced in their performance this season, with strengths in both hitting and pitching. They have the eighth-best batting average in the league at .253, and their pitching staff has held opponents to a team ERA of 4.49. Defensively, they have committed 42 errors, which ranks them 30th in the league.

Key players like Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz have been consistent contributors. Reynolds is hitting .254 with 16 doubles, seven triples, and six home runs. Cruz has also been effective, with a batting average of .249 and 15 home runs. The bullpen has 24 saves, ranking them tied for 19th in the league.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks have been solid overall, with a team batting average of .232 and an ERA of 3.78. They have scored 425 runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Defensively, they have committed 50 errors, which places them tied for 21st.

Offensively, players like Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte have been pivotal. Carroll has 16 doubles, seven triples, and six home runs, while Marte is hitting .296 with 21 doubles and 15 home runs. The bullpen has been reliable, with 26 saves, ranking them tied for 14th in the league.

Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player	Position	Injury Status
Bailey Falter	SP	15-Day IL (arm)
Daulton Jefferies	RP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Jared Jones	RP	15-Day IL (lat)
Ryan Borucki	RP	60-Day IL (tricep)
Dauri Moreta	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Endy Rodriguez	C	60-Day IL (elbow)
Johan Oviedo	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player	Position	Injury Status
Blake Walston	SP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Merrill Kelly	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Kyle Nelson	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Drey Jameson	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Philadelphia	W 8-7	W
vs Philadelphia	W 4-1	W
vs Philadelphia	L 6-0	L
vs St. Louis	W 2-1	W
vs St. Louis	L 2-1	L

Arizona Diamondbacks

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Chicago	W 5-2	W
@ Chicago	W 3-0	W
@ Chicago	L 2-1 (10)	L
@ Kansas City	L 10-4	L
@ Kansas City	W 6-2	W

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Prediction

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