MLB Player Props Betting Analysis: Braves vs Mets 7/26
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 26, 2024, 8:08:39 AM
MLB Player Props Betting Analysis: Braves vs Mets 7/26
Photo Credit: © Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves (54-47, second in the NL East) face off against the New York Mets (54-48, third in the NL East) on Friday, July 26, 2024, at Citi Field in Queens, New York, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. Both teams are neck-and-neck in the standings, making this matchup crucial for divisional positioning.
The Braves are currently on a five-game losing streak and are looking to turn their fortunes around. They have a 24-26 record on the road and are fourth in the NL in home runs with a total of 115, averaging 1.1 per game. Meanwhile, the Mets have a 27-26 record at home and are 54-48 overall. The Mets have been particularly strong when scoring five or more runs, boasting a 37-15 record in such games.
In their last 10 games, the Mets have a 7-3 record with a .249 batting average and a 3.84 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 12 runs. On the other hand, the Braves have struggled, going 3-7 with a .219 batting average and a 4.04 ERA, being outscored by 13 runs. The Mets lead the season series 4-3 against the Braves, adding another layer of intrigue to this matchup.
Scan to Download the iOS App
Scan to Download the Android App
Player Prop Odds
Here are the prop odds for Austin Riley:
- Batter Doubles Over 0.5 (+380)
- Batter Hits Over 1.5 (+260)
- Batter Home Runs Over 0.5 (+430)
- Batter RBIs Over 0.5 (+180)
- Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5 (-125)
- Batter Singles Over 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Total Bases Over 1.5 (+120)
Get real-time odds and tips! Join KingPin on iOS or Android.
Player Analysis
Austin Riley has been a standout performer for the Braves. Over the past 10 games, he has gone 11-for-37 with five doubles, a home run, and two RBIs. This recent form indicates that Riley is seeing the ball well and making solid contact. His season stats include a .259 batting average, 18 home runs, and 63 RBIs. Riley's ability to hit for power and average makes him a key player in the Braves' lineup and a strong candidate for prop bets.
Opposing Analysis
The Mets will be starting Kodai Senga, who is making his season debut. While there are no current stats for Senga, the Braves' hitters will look to capitalize on any early-season jitters or lack of command. The Mets' bullpen has been solid, with a 3.50 ERA, ranking 3rd in the league, but the Braves' hitters will aim to get to Senga early.
Pitching Probables
Unlock detailed analysis! Join KingPin on iOS or Android.
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5-5 | 3.92 | 1.22 | 101 |
| Kodai Senga (NYM) | 0-0 | -- | -- | -- |
Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
- Hitting: The Braves rank 9th in hits (876), 6th in runs (496), and 11th in batting average (.249). Marcell Ozuna leads the team with a .305 average, 28 home runs, and 80 RBIs.
- Relief Pitching: The Braves have accumulated 28 saves, ranking 9th in the league. Their bullpen ERA stands at 4.15, ranking 20th.
- Fielding: The Braves have committed 70 errors, ranking 3rd in the league.
- Starting Pitchers: Charlie Morton holds a 3.92 ERA with 101 strikeouts over 103.1 innings pitched.
New York Mets
- Hitting: The Mets rank 18th in hits (818), 20th in runs (424), and 17th in batting average (.240). Francisco Lindor has been a key contributor with 22 home runs and 63 RBIs.
- Relief Pitching: The Mets bullpen has 26 saves, ranking 13th. They hold a 3.50 ERA, ranking 3rd in the league.
- Fielding: The Mets have committed 43 errors, ranking 28th in the league.
- Starting Pitchers: Kodai Senga will be making his season debut, adding an element of uncertainty to the Mets' starting rotation.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | OF | Hamstring | 60-Day IL |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | Wrist | 10-Day IL |
| Max Fried | P | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | OF | Knee | 60-Day IL |
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | OF | Knee | 10-Day IL |
| Shintaro Fujinami | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Stay updated on team performance. Join KingPin on iOS or Android.
Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis | 3-2 | W |
| St. Louis | 5-9 | L |
| St. Louis | 2-6 | L |
| Cincinnati | 1-4 | L |
| Cincinnati | 4-9 | L |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Miami | 6-4 | L |
| Miami | 1-0 | W |
| Miami | 4-2 | L |
| Miami | 6-4 | W |
| New York | 3-2 | W |
Prediction
Pick: Austin Riley Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Reasoning: Austin Riley has been in solid form recently, hitting for extra bases frequently. Given his recent performance and the favorable odds, betting on Riley to accumulate over 1.5 total bases offers good value. With a new pitcher on the mound for the Mets, Riley has a strong chance to exploit any weaknesses in Senga's debut.
Get more expert picks!
Scan to Download the iOS App
Scan to Download the Android App
