MLB Player Props Betting Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
- Mr Wager
- Jul 26, 2024, 10:01:09 AM
MLB Player Props Betting Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
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Photo Credit: © Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves are set to face the New York Mets on Friday, July 26, 2024, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is scheduled to start at 7:10 p.m. EDT. This matchup brings significant interest as both teams are closely contending in the NL East. The Braves, currently sitting second in the division with a 54-47 record, are desperate to snap a five-game losing streak. On the other hand, the Mets, third in the NL East with a 54-48 record, are looking to continue their winning form after a recent 7-3 stretch in their last 10 games.
Historically, the Mets have a slight edge in the season series, leading 4-3 against the Braves. New York boasts a strong home record of 27-26 and has shown impressive offensive prowess, especially when scoring five or more runs in a game. Conversely, the Braves, who have a 24-26 road record, are known for their power-hitting capabilities, ranking fourth in the NL with 115 total home runs.
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Player Prop Odds
For Pete Alonso, the following prop odds are available:
- Batter Doubles Over 0.5 (+400)
- Batter Hits Over 0.5 (-175)
- Batter Home Runs Over 0.5 (+470)
- Batter RBIs Over 0.5 (+150)
- Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5 (-110)
- Batter Singles Over 0.5 (+110)
- Batter Total Bases Over 1.5 (+140)
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Player Analysis
Pete Alonso has been a significant force for the New York Mets this season. Known for his power-hitting, Alonso has racked up impressive stats, including a noteworthy number of home runs and RBIs. His ability to drive in runs and change the game's momentum with a single swing makes him a critical player to watch. With 22 home runs and 63 RBIs, Alonso's performance will be vital for the Mets' success against the Braves.
Opposing Analysis
For the Braves, veteran pitcher Charlie Morton will be on the mound. Morton has a season record of 5-5 with an ERA of 3.92 and 101 strikeouts over 103.1 innings pitched. Despite some inconsistencies, Morton has the experience and skill to challenge hitters like Alonso. The Braves' pitching staff must be cautious of Alonso's power and avoid giving him opportunities to capitalize on mistakes.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5-5 | 3.92 | 1.22 | 103.1 | 87 | 101 | 39 | 11 |
| Kodai Senga (NYM) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Atlanta Braves are known for their explosive hitting, ranking fourth in the NL with 115 home runs. Key players like Marcell Ozuna and Austin Riley have been instrumental in their offensive success. The Braves also have a solid relief pitching squad, with 28 saves ranking them ninth in the league. However, their starting pitching has shown vulnerabilities, evident in their 4.15 ERA. Fielding has been a concern as well, with 70 errors, the third-highest in the league.
New York Mets
The New York Mets have shown resilience and consistency, particularly in their pitching. With an ERA of 3.50, they rank third in the league, indicating strong performances from their pitching staff. Offensively, Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo have been standout players, delivering key hits and driving in runs. The Mets' fielding has been reliable, with only 43 errors, placing them among the best in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | CF | 60-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
| Max Fried | SP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | RF | 60-Day IL (knee) |
| Starling Marte | RF | 10-Day IL (knee) |
| Shintaro Fujinami | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
Recent Games
Atlanta Braves
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Jul 25 | @ New York | L 3-2 F/10 | 54-47 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Cincinnati | L 9-4 | 54-46 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Cincinnati | L 4-1 | 54-45 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs St. Louis | L 6-2 | 54-44 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | L 9-5 | 54-43 |
New York Mets
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Jul 25 | vs Atlanta | W 3-2 F/10 | 54-48 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ New York | W 12-3 | 53-48 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ New York | W 3-2 | 52-48 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Miami | W 6-4 | 51-48 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Miami | L 4-2 | 50-48 |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Pete Alonso (+140)
Pete Alonso has been a key offensive player for the Mets, and his power-hitting capabilities make him a strong candidate to accumulate total bases. Given his recent form and the pitching vulnerabilities of the Braves, betting on over 1.5 total bases for Alonso presents good value at +140.
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