MLB Player Props Bets: San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles 7/26

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 26, 2024, 11:20:24 AM
MLB Player Props Bets: San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles 7/26
Photo Credit: © Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The San Diego Padres (55-50, second in the NL West) are set to take on the Baltimore Orioles (61-41, first in the AL East) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore on Friday, July 26th at 7:05 p.m. EDT. The Padres come into this matchup riding a five-game win streak, showcasing impressive form both at the plate and on the mound. This game marks the first meeting between the two teams this season.
The Orioles have been a powerhouse in the American League, leading the AL with 160 home runs, averaging an impressive 1.6 homers per game. With a solid 30-22 record at home, they will look to leverage their home-field advantage against the Padres. On the other hand, the Padres boast a solid road record of 29-22 and have shown that they can light up the scoreboard, going 40-5 in games where they scored at least five runs.
Key performers for the Orioles include Gunnar Henderson, who leads the team with a .284 batting average, and Anthony Santander, who has been on fire recently, going 14-for-41 with five home runs and 10 RBIs over the past 10 games. For the Padres, Jurickson Profar has been a consistent contributor with 33 extra base hits, while Kyle Higashioka has been productive with 10 hits, including three home runs, in his last 32 at-bats.
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Player Prop Odds
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Xander Bogaerts Player Props:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+190)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+145)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-110)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-170)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+105)
Player Analysis
Xander Bogaerts has been a key contributor for the Padres this season, consistently delivering at the plate. His ability to hit for contact and power makes him a threat in any given game. Bogaerts is hitting .284 on the year with 19 doubles, five triples, and 16 home runs. His recent form has been impressive, with multiple hits in several games over the past month. With the Padres on a hot streak, Bogaerts will look to continue his strong performance against the Orioles.
Opposing Analysis
The Baltimore Orioles will send Grayson Rodriguez to the mound. Rodriguez has been one of the more consistent pitchers for the Orioles with a 12-4 record, 3.83 ERA, and 120 strikeouts over 105.2 innings this season. Despite his solid numbers, Rodriguez has shown vulnerability to giving up hits, with opponents batting .238 against him. This could provide an opportunity for Bogaerts to capitalize, especially considering the Padres' recent offensive surge.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Mazur | 1-3 | 7.84 | 1.84 | 31.0 | 38 | 21 | 19 | 5 |
| Grayson Rodriguez | 12-4 | 3.83 | 1.22 | 105.2 | 96 | 120 | 33 | 13 |
Team Previews
San Diego Padres: The Padres rank 6th in hits (891) and 4th in runs (506) in the MLB. They have a team batting average of .253, which is 7th in the league. Their pitching staff has been reliable with a team ERA of 3.73, ranking 7th. They also have 32 saves, placing them 6th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 46 errors, tied for 25th.
Baltimore Orioles: The Orioles lead the league with 934 hits and a team batting average of .262. They are 12th in runs scored (476) and have an ERA of 4.03, ranking 18th. Their bullpen has recorded 25 saves, tying them for 17th. Defensively, they have committed 50 errors, tied for 20th.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | RP | 15-Day IL (adductor) |
| Joe Musgrove | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Fernando Tatis Jr | SS | 10-Day IL (quadricep) |
| Luis Patino | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Orioles Injuries:
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | 2B | 10-Day IL (elbow) |
| Albert Suarez | RP | day-to-day (shin) |
| Danny Coulombe | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Kyle Bradish | SP | 60-Day IL (ucl sprain) |
| Tyler Wells | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| John Means | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Felix Bautista | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
Padres Recent Games:
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Cleveland | L 7-0 | L |
| @ Cleveland | W 7-0 | W |
| @ Cleveland | W 2-1 | W |
| @ Washington | W 4-0 | W |
| @ Washington | W 12-3 | W |
Orioles Recent Games:
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | W 9-1 | W |
| @ Texas | W 8-4 | W |
| @ Texas | L 3-2 | L |
| @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
| @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Xander Bogaerts (+105)
Given Xander Bogaerts' recent performance and Grayson Rodriguez's susceptibility to giving up hits, the Over 1.5 Total Bases for Bogaerts at +105 odds is a solid bet. Bogaerts has been consistent at the plate and should be able to capitalize on Rodriguez's occasional lapses, especially with the Padres' offense in great form.
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