MLB Player Props Bets: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/31

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 31, 2024, 12:50:00 AM
MLB Player Props Bets: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/31
Game Summary
The New York Yankees will be taking on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on July 31, 2024. Both teams have had strong seasons, with the Yankees holding a record of 65-42 and the Phillies at 64-45. The Yankees have been particularly dominant on the road, boasting a record of 27-22 away from home. Meanwhile, the Phillies have thrived at home with a 37-22 record.
In their most recent outings, the Yankees secured a decisive 14-4 victory against the Phillies, showcasing their offensive prowess. The Yankees have scored 516 runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league, while the Phillies lead the league with 553 runs. Historical matchups between these two teams have often been high-scoring affairs, making this game particularly intriguing for bettors.
As the game approaches, the Yankees will look to Cristopher Sanchez, who has a solid 3.05 ERA and a 7-6 record. He has been a reliable pitcher for the Yankees this season, consistently putting them in a position to win games. On the other hand, the Phillies will start Nestor Cortes, who has struggled at times with a 4.13 ERA and a 4-9 record. This pitching matchup sets the stage for an exciting game filled with scoring opportunities.
Player Prop Odds
Anthony Volpe:
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+210)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+150)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-145)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+115)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+410)
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+320)
Player Analysis
Anthony Volpe has emerged as a key player for the Yankees this season. With a batting average hovering around .260, he has shown the ability to get on base consistently. Volpe has also been a threat on the base paths, with a total of 15 stolen bases this season. His speed and agility make him a valuable asset in scoring positions, particularly against a pitcher like Nestor Cortes, who can sometimes struggle with base runners.
In his last 10 games, Volpe has recorded multiple hits in several outings, and with the Yankees' offense peaking, he could very well capitalize on the opportunities presented against the Phillies’ pitching staff. Particularly, his likelihood of getting at least one hit is bolstered by the aggressive nature of the Yankees' approach at the plate.
Opposing Analysis
The Phillies' pitching staff, particularly Nestor Cortes, presents a unique challenge for hitters. Cortes has a tendency to issue walks while also allowing a fair number of hits. He has given up 124 hits in just over 124 innings of work, which could play into Volpe's hands if he can be patient at the plate and make solid contact.
The Yankees have had success against left-handed pitchers this season, and Cortes’ 4.13 ERA suggests he is vulnerable to giving up runs. This context amplifies the potential for Volpe to not only get on base but to also drive in runs and score himself, especially if he can find himself in scoring positions.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | Innings Pitched |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes (PHI) | 4-9 | 4.13 | 116 | 124.1 |
| Cristopher Sanchez (NYY) | 7-6 | 3.05 | 91 | 115.0 |
Team Previews
The New York Yankees have been a powerful offensive team this season, ranking 6th in the league for runs scored. The Yankees have a strong batting average of .256 and have accumulated 924 hits so far. Their bullpen has been solid as well, with an ERA of 3.53, placing them 3rd in the league. With players like Aaron Judge and Anthony Volpe contributing heavily, the Yankees are poised to score runs.
On the other hand, the Philadelphia Phillies also have a potent lineup, leading the league with 553 runs. Their batting average of .251 is respectable, and their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.68, ranking 5th overall. Despite some recent struggles, the Phillies' offense is capable of exploding, especially at home where they thrive.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | SP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 4 |
| Taijuan Walker | SP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 7 |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | vs Tampa Bay | W 6-1 | 65-42 |
| Jul 20 | vs Tampa Bay | L 9-1 | 65-43 |
| Jul 21 | vs Tampa Bay | L 6-4 | 65-44 |
| Jul 22 | vs Tampa Bay | W 9-1 | 66-44 |
| Jul 29 | @ Philadelphia | W 14-4 | 67-44 |
Prediction
Given the current form and matchup, our pick is:
The odds suggest good value for Volpe to score at least one run in this high-scoring matchup. The Yankees have shown an ability to score runs and with Volpe's speed and ability to get on base, he is likely to cross home plate given the Yankees' offensive capabilities against a vulnerable pitcher like Cortes.
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