MLB Player Props Bets: Guardians vs Phillies 7/28

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 1:58:20 AM
MLB Player Props Bets: Guardians vs Phillies 7/28
Photo Credit: © Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cleveland Guardians are set to face the Philadelphia Phillies on July 28th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Guardians, sporting a 65-39 record, are currently first in the AL Central, while the Phillies, with a 62-42 record, are positioned second in the NL East. This matchup promises to be an exciting one as both teams have been performing well recently. The Guardians have been strong both at home (38-17) and on the road (27-22), while the Phillies have shown formidable prowess at home with a 33-15 record. The weather forecast for the game is mostly sunny with a high temperature of 85°F, providing an excellent backdrop for the event.
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Player Prop Odds
Bo Naylor Props:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+475), Under 0.5 (-900)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-130), Under 0.5 (-105)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+235), Under 0.5 (-340)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+175), Under 0.5 (-245)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+150), Under 0.5 (-210)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-130), Under 0.5 (-105)
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Player Analysis
Bo Naylor, the promising catcher for the Cleveland Guardians, has been making his mark in the league with his consistent performance. In his recent games, Naylor has shown a knack for getting on base and contributing to the team's offensive efforts. His batting average and ability to hit in crucial situations make him a key player to watch in this matchup against the Phillies. With prop bets on his doubles, hits, RBIs, runs scored, singles, and total bases, bettors have multiple angles to consider when placing their wagers on Naylor.
Opposing Analysis
For this game, Joey Cantillo is the probable starting pitcher for the Philadelphia Phillies. While Cantillo is relatively new to the league and lacks extensive MLB experience, his minor league stats suggest that he has potential. However, facing a seasoned hitter like Bo Naylor could be a challenging task for him. The Phillies' bullpen has been solid, which might limit Naylor's opportunities, but his track record against less experienced pitchers gives him an edge.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kolby Allard (CLE) | -- | -- | -- |
| Joey Cantillo (PHI) | -- | -- | -- |
Team Previews
Cleveland Guardians
Hitting: The Guardians rank tied for 5th in hits (899), 6th in runs (501), and 4th in batting average (.256). They have shown consistency in their offensive output, making them a formidable opponent.
Relief Pitching: The Guardians' bullpen has been reliable with 27 saves, ranking tied for 10th. Their ERA of 3.46 ranks 2nd in the league, showcasing their pitching depth.
Fielding: With 59 errors, the Guardians are tied for 9th in the league, indicating a solid defensive unit.
Starting Pitchers: Kolby Allard, the probable starter, has shown promise in his outings. While his stats are not available, his performance will be crucial in setting the tone for the game.
Philadelphia Phillies
Hitting: The Phillies rank tied for 20th in hits (819) and 13th in runs (474). Their batting average of .241 places them 16th in the league. Despite these middling numbers, they have key players like Bryce Harper who can change the game.
Relief Pitching: The Phillies' bullpen has been exceptional with 37 saves, ranking tied for 1st. Their ERA of 3.63 is 4th best in the league, indicating strong bullpen performance.
Fielding: The Phillies have committed 55 errors, placing them tied for 14th in the league, which suggests some room for improvement defensively.
Starting Pitchers: Joey Cantillo will be making his appearance. While his major league experience is limited, he will need to rely on his minor league success to navigate through the Guardians' lineup.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | SP | Tue, Jul 23 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| James Karinchak | RP | Tue, Jul 23 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 10 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
| Alec Bohm | 3B | Sat, Jul 27 | Ankle | Probable for Jul 28 |
Recent Games
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| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs San Diego | W7-0 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs San Diego | L7-0 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs San Diego | L2-1 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Detroit | L8-2 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Detroit | W5-4 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Pittsburgh | L8-7 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Pittsburgh | L4-1 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Pittsburgh | W6-0 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Minnesota | L7-2 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Minnesota | W3-0 | W |
Prediction
Considering Bo Naylor's recent performance and the inexperience of Joey Cantillo in the major leagues, there is a strong chance that Naylor will make an impact in this game. The prop bet for Bo Naylor to get over 0.5 hits at odds of -130 looks promising. Additionally, the over 0.5 runs scored prop at +175 could offer good value given his ability to get on base and the overall strength of the Guardians' lineup.
Pick: Over 0.5 Hits (-130)
Pick: Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+175)
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